Hello, Does anyone know if Crystal Ball (past or future versions) provides or will provide the value of perfect information? If not, has anyone added it or...
I'm not sure how CB would go about "providing" the value of perfect information, since that value is highly dependent on what action(s) you would take...
In this case, the 6 marbles sampled all at once without replacement (and remixing) do not meet the conditions of independent Bernoulli trials. Thus, to...
Picking marbles from a bucket is a Hypergeometric process (sampling randomly without replacement from a finite population). The easiest way to calculate the...
Thanks Nick(guys). My gut was to go with the multiplication of dependent events approach(and worked this solution out), but I couldn't nail it down for sure...
Hi all, I wondered if anyone had done further analysis of mean- reverting price trends. I am specifically looking at commodity prices (hard commodities such as...
Andy, Stu Veale wrote a goods paper called "IDENTIFYING AND QUANTIFYING THE SECONDARY IMPACTS OF FLUCTUATING EXCHANGE RATES, INTEREST RATES, AND COMMODITY...
I am a new user to the group. So, Hi everyone! I have a product development team here at Motorola that is creating a product to go in to a market and customer...
Scott, Historical data is by no means necessary to create a valid Monte Carlo simulation. In fact, unless you believe that the future is going to look like...
Hi Pat, If you don't mind, I would be very interested in your paper on project schedules and budgets. Thanks! Charlie Schultz Scientific-Atlanta ... From: Pat...
Pat, Could you "cc" me the document as well? Thanks Frank Feuquay Senior Fundamental Analyst Special Valuations FPL Energy 700 Universe Blvd Juno Beach, FL...
All, I've asked Pat to upload them to the Files section of our site. If he agrees, look for them there soon. Bill ... contain ... intended ... hereby ... of...
Hello, This email message is a notification to let you know that a file has been uploaded to the Files area of the cbug2 group. File : /Late and Over...
cbug2@yahoogroups.com
Dec 18, 2004 4:55 pm
1019
Folks, One of the better articles that provide basic insights on project risk management. Well written and well structured. Question is: What if the example...
Budana, The first effect discussed in the paper (near-critical-path tasks causing delays) would be greatly diminished if P90s were used. Depending on the ...
Do you have a link to the article? Russell J. Ivanhoe MD VP Medical Affairs Paracor Medical Inc 610 North Mary Avenue Sunnyvale, CA 94085 Tel: 408.701.3250 ...
The article has been posted on the CBUG site under "Files". Go to Yahoo Groups, find the CBUG2 group, and look under Files. Cheers, Pat Leach _____ From:...
Hi: I have CB 7 version and Excel 2003, however, no tool bar appeared. p.s. I have checked the security level (to low) and diabled item (none), but they are...
John, Occasionally, and for no apparent reason, Excel will "turn off" the CB add-in on my computer, which results in loss of the CB toolbar, icons, and...
John et al., Crystal Ball 7 is fully supported on Microsoft Office 2003. The problem that you are likely running into is that the Crystal Ball add-in has been...
There seems to be an inconsistency in the way that CB handles the static setting depending on whether you go one step at a time or do a continuous run all the...
The best argument you could use is that their single-point business case can have no validity unless they have historic information. On a slightly more...
Pat, I expect you've had a few requests for your paper -- can I add my own? I've read the Megaprojects and Risk book and got a lot out of it but would welcome...
John, The requests were numerous enough to warrant posting the paper on the cbug2 site under Files. I think it's the sixth one from the top, entitled "Late ...
Dear All, I've downloaded Pat's paper as many of you have too. In the course of making large aggregate models for drilling oilwells we always come up against...
The usual problem with aggregating a very large number of items (whether assets in a portfolio, tasks along a Gantt chart, or whatever) is failure to capture...
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