Hi Folks, I think I have been down this path before. If an Assumption is "LogNormal" I need to extract the Geometric Mean and Geometric Std. Dev. results....
If I have raw data, I know how to fit different distributions to the data using Crystal Ball. However, say I have a particle size distribution...reported in...
Hi Again, I need to extract data from each Assumption. In particular I need to extract the values provided when you change the assumption parms from "Std Dev."...
I am searching for guidance on preparing a specification for the construction of a Crystal Ball model. Does anyone have a guideline or generic spec they can...
I am trying to automate the Batch Fit wizard in CB so that it can be run by an optimization code that will perform a DOE. Currently, I have an Excel macro that...
I see nobody has had a suggestion for your problem yet. Allow me to take a whack at it. I'm assuming that particle size is your uncertainty, and that the size...
To the original poster: I presume you already understand the Rummler-Rosin-Schuhmann methods? If not please send an email to jandell@.... _____ From:...
Hi there, Although not the original poster, I'd be interested in references you may have. Thanks. GM ... To the original poster: I presume you already...
There were some researchers around the 1940s and 1950s who modeled particle size distributions for mining and mineral processing. It turns out that their work...
Hi! I work on a monthly cell plan where operators have asimetric prices for calls in each other networks. Looking forward to exchange ideas with anybody who...
Hello, Does anyone know if Crystal Ball (past or future versions) provides or will provide the value of perfect information? If not, has anyone added it or...
I'm not sure how CB would go about "providing" the value of perfect information, since that value is highly dependent on what action(s) you would take...
In this case, the 6 marbles sampled all at once without replacement (and remixing) do not meet the conditions of independent Bernoulli trials. Thus, to...
Picking marbles from a bucket is a Hypergeometric process (sampling randomly without replacement from a finite population). The easiest way to calculate the...
Thanks Nick(guys). My gut was to go with the multiplication of dependent events approach(and worked this solution out), but I couldn't nail it down for sure...
Hi all, I wondered if anyone had done further analysis of mean- reverting price trends. I am specifically looking at commodity prices (hard commodities such as...
Andy, Stu Veale wrote a goods paper called "IDENTIFYING AND QUANTIFYING THE SECONDARY IMPACTS OF FLUCTUATING EXCHANGE RATES, INTEREST RATES, AND COMMODITY...
I am a new user to the group. So, Hi everyone! I have a product development team here at Motorola that is creating a product to go in to a market and customer...
Scott, Historical data is by no means necessary to create a valid Monte Carlo simulation. In fact, unless you believe that the future is going to look like...
Hi Pat, If you don't mind, I would be very interested in your paper on project schedules and budgets. Thanks! Charlie Schultz Scientific-Atlanta ... From: Pat...
Pat, Could you "cc" me the document as well? Thanks Frank Feuquay Senior Fundamental Analyst Special Valuations FPL Energy 700 Universe Blvd Juno Beach, FL...
All, I've asked Pat to upload them to the Files section of our site. If he agrees, look for them there soon. Bill ... contain ... intended ... hereby ... of...
Hello, This email message is a notification to let you know that a file has been uploaded to the Files area of the cbug2 group. File : /Late and Over...
cbug2@yahoogroups.com
Dec 18, 2004 4:55 pm
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Folks, One of the better articles that provide basic insights on project risk management. Well written and well structured. Question is: What if the example...
Budana, The first effect discussed in the paper (near-critical-path tasks causing delays) would be greatly diminished if P90s were used. Depending on the ...
Do you have a link to the article? Russell J. Ivanhoe MD VP Medical Affairs Paracor Medical Inc 610 North Mary Avenue Sunnyvale, CA 94085 Tel: 408.701.3250 ...