... Right. That would be far off topic. ... For futarchy as such, not much. They are just people who stay out of the market. Their consequences are about...
There is an interesting article here http://reason.com/news/show/135539.html on predictions about gay marriage "Why won't leading opponents of same-sex...
Good clarifying questions - I've been in this world so long I forget what it looks like to a normal person :). The types of online games where I think this...
... Interesting idea. I assume you mean a MMORG? What sort of utility function could you have? ... By new features/changes, do you mean that a dev team...
1. Thank you for the detailed reply. It was very helpful! 2. The more I study futarchy, the more I realize I was NOT a finance major back in college. By...
... You ask good questions. Some approaches: * The "side-bets" approach. In this approach, investors are expected to arrange their portfolios to control what...
1. Thanks for the links. 2. A GREAT question. Am I understanding you right in that you are looking for what TYPES of problems lend themselves to prediction ...
Thanks for the welcome. Had I read more of the old messages before making my first post, I would have seen some of what you thoughtfully laid out in our reply...
... investments represent a bunch of smart people trying to guess the future. What other areas do people think might have more accurate resource allocation...
Hi, Paul. Welcome to the list. ... That's a discussion I was trying to have and mostly didn't get. So thank you. But I'm going to answer your next bit...
Tom, This is not my area of expertise at all, so if the question I am about to propose is foolish I apologize in advance. Why can't we simply design the rules...
Howdy folks, My name is Paul Silva, I'm an entrepreneur who works primarily in the Angel Investing world (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Angel_investing). I...
[image: Futarchy] Pronounced FEW-tark-ee. A theoretical government controlled in part by speculative markets. Coined by Robin D. Hanson of George Mason...
I noticed the other day that the wikipedia page for futarchy is pretty bare. This is probably where most people are first introduced to the concept so even a...
A month ago we talked about how GDP+ might be measured (in "Measuring Welfare"). I suggested that part of GDP+ could be the sum of individual satisfaction...
... Fine. ... Yes, collusion does complicate the analysis. Adding a private insurance requirement on top of existing rules would reduce moral hazard because...
... Good job. I'm going to add that to the forum's links, if you have no objection. ... Good point. ... Yes. I've seen that somewhere before. ... Interesting...
... It seems to me that satisfaction reports are implicitly some sort of intertemporal comparison. Or at least the alternative bases for satisfaction reports...
... By not asking them to do intertemporal comparisons. You appear to have suggested doing those comparisons in order to solve problems associated with...
... You make a good point. Especially "how they think they ought to have felt" - that's something I hadn't considered. On the other hand, even though I summed...
... If we had a good measure of psychological well-being, that should solve this problem. I doubt we can solve the problem without measuring psychological...
... That is true. I'm tempted to suggest framing the question in a way that excluded mere age. Something like "Other than being N years older than you were,...
... well-being is what's being asked about. So the survey question would be something like "Are you better off than you were N years ago?" You could be better...
... The law of unintended consequences. This sort of discussion is largely an attempt to anticipate those consequences. ... Or, is there a way to measure...
I see many problems with these suggested measures Lifespan can be extended in all sorts of authoritarian ways. Ban smoking is an obvious one. Is there any way...
... I'm glad you asked that. I would include a component to measure self-reported satisfaction. Now, self-reported satisfaction ("happiness") is notoriously ...
... Life expectancy provides a fairly objective measure that is rather highly correlated with the concerns that I care about. Some care needs to be taken to...
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