http://www.lightningstorm.com/

I send this as a special notice--if you get a chance to look at this
link soon--it is one of the strongest strike activities I have seen.

Now THIS is an El Nino signal!!!!

** Aurora Watch In Effect **

The solar wind speed is still elevated this evening from coronal hole
effects, and an aurora watch remains in effect.  While geomagnetic
activity hasn't been very high, it was at least enough to generate
some aurora in Alaska, as can be seem from this gorgeous picture :
http://science.nasa.gov/spaceweather/aurora/images
2003/18feb03/Russell3.jpg
.  The sunspot number has increased a bit, and we may even have a
sunspot region that could be capable or producing an M-class flare.
Region 290 has been growing quickly and has developed a complex
magnetic field.  The high speed solar wind should last about another
24 hours before it begins to die down.

The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :

NOAA sunspot number : 66
SFI : 118
A index : 17
K index : 1

Solar wind speed : 656.3 km/sec
Solar wind density : 3.7 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 2.5 nPa

IMF : 5.1 nT
IMF Orientation : 1.0 nT South

Conditions for the last 24 hours :
No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

Forecast for the next 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.

Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to remain low.

Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active levels
for the next 24 hours. Conditions should calm to strictly unsettled
levels by the end of the period.

Recent significant solar flare activity :
None

The high speed solar wind is continuing, and doing so longer than I
would have thought.  The solar wind speed has been elevated since the
15th, although geomagnetic activity has been mostly subdued, save for
a couple of aurora outbreaks in Alaska.  I honestly don't know how
long the high speed solar wind will last.  There is another small
coronal hole that is coming into an Earth-pointing position, and the
high speed solar wind from it should be arriving on or about the 26th.
  Therefore, the solar wind speed could stay elevated for several more
days.  There are only two numbered sunspot regions visible tonight,
and the sunspot number is correspondingly low.  However, one of those
sunspot regions, region 290, has at least an outside chance of
producing an M-class flare.

The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :

NOAA sunspot number : 53
SFI : 107
A index : 12
K index : 3

Solar wind speed : 590.8 km/sec
Solar wind density : 3.7 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 2.0 nPa

IMF : 7.8 nT
IMF Orientation : 0.4 nT South

Conditions for the last 24 hours :
No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

Forecast for the next 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.

Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to be low.

Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled for the next three days.

Recent significant solar flare activity :
None

Greetings in the name of some long needed truth. Be sure you read the
last part of this message beginning with, "A most unusual . . ." or you
will miss the jewel. As for me I think that- "It is about time, someone
said this."   Walter Peterson
For Your Glory

Home | Subscribe | Unsubscribe | View Archive

SPECIAL JERUSALEM REPORT February 23, 2003 21 Adar I 5763

TENSIONS BETWEEN ISRAEL AND THE EUROPEAN UNION

The tension between Israel and the European Union that was already high
soared further upward when the EU issued a statement on Friday that
linked the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians to the
confrontation with Iraq. The statement read, “In this regional context,
the European Union reiterates its firm belief in the need to invigorate
the peace process in the Middle East and to resolve the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict. We continue to support the early
implementation of the road map...terror and violence must end. So must
settlement activity.”

Foreign Minister Binyamin Netanyahu reacted angrily to the statement;
firing off a letter to all fifteen EU members admonishing that tying the
Iraqi situation to the Israel/Palestinian conflict could “strengthen the
danger faced by Israeli citizens and strengthen the instability in the
region.” Netanyahu expressed his belief that such linkage could provide
Saddam Hussein with an excuse to attack Israel. In addition to the
statement in question, the EU also issued a demarche to Israel last week
(that’s a formal rebuke in diplomatic terms), accusing Israel’s army of
using excessive force against Palestinian Arabs.

PROFESSORS 'SUPPORT' ARRESTED ISLAMIC JIHAD LEADER IN S. FLORIDA

Following the arrest of Sami Al-Arian on a 50-count indictment including
charges that he is the chief fundraiser for the Islamic Jihad terrorist
organization, his colleagues at the University of South Florida in Tampa
have vowed to stand-by him and prevent his firing from his position as
professor of computer science at the college. USF-Tampa’s suspension of
Al-Arian has been met by a formal grievance filed by the local chapter of
the American Association of University Professors. The suspect will
appear before a Federal Magistrate on Tuesday.

FORMER IRAQI OFFICER GIVES DETAILS OF BANNED WEAPONS

A former senior Iraqi air force officer says Saddam Hussein's air force
has developed a sophisticated delivery and detonation system for weapons
which can allow lethal chemicals to be mixed in bombs moments before
detonation for maximum effect, according to a report in the London
Telegraph.

The former officer, who has been in hiding since fleeing Baghdad last
year, claims Baghdad was still pursuing its chemical weapons program when
he left Iraq – despite its insistence that it had abandoned its weapons
of mass destruction project after the Gulf war.

''Saddam will never surrender these weapons,'' he told the Telegraph.
"They are as much a part of his life as eating and drinking.''

The former Iraqi officer described in detail how the chemical bombs and
sprays were fitted and operated. He said he last witnessed the new bomb
mechanism being tested – with water and oil rather than chemicals – in
2000. He says former colleagues confirm the program is still running. He
said the bombs were divided in two by an internal partition. When loaded
with chemicals, there was a black liquid in one compartment and a
yellowish one in the other. The pilots were trained to hit a switch to
open the partition when they approached their targets, allowing the two
substances to combine and reach their greatest potency. A few seconds
later, outer doors on the bottom of the weapon would open automatically,
releasing the mixture.

ANOTHER UN RESOLUTION

President Bush, declaring that Saddam Hussein has not disarmed and does
not intend to, said Saturday the United States will submit a new
resolution to the U.N. Security Council early in the week to set the
stage for war against Iraq.The resolution, to be offered jointly with
Britain and possibly Spain, will make its case in "clear and simple
terms," Bush said. A spokesman for British Prime Minister Tony Blair said
he expected the Security Council to vote on the new resolution by
mid-March.

Bush predicted approval, even though disagreements continued among
sponsors over its wording and whether it should set a specific deadline.
There has been little support thus far in the 15-member council for
moving ahead with any new resolution. "We will not allow the Iraqi
dictator ... to continue to possess or to produce weapons of mass
destruction," Bush said at a news conference on his ranch with Spanish
Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar at his side. Asked if this was the
Security Council's last chance to show its relevance, Bush answered
curtly, "Yes."

The president gave another one-word reply -- "No" -- when asked whether
he again was willing to wait two months before U.N. action, the length of
time it took to pass the previous Iraq resolution last fall. "Time is
short," Bush added.

A VERY UNUSUAL PIECE FROM ENGLAND'S 'DAILY MIRROR'

This newspaper which is generally very left wing published the following
article by one of its staff, a British journalist, Tony Parsons, on
September 11, 2002, addressed to his fellow countrymen, the British
citizens of the UK. The paper is not usually supportive of its American
'Colonials' which makes this article all the more significant. Thanks to
Moshe Kempinski of Shorashim in the Old City of Jerusalem for sending
this. Here's the article - well worth reading and pondering.

One year ago, the world witnessed a unique kind of broadcasting -- the
mass murder of thousands, live on television. As a lesson in the pitiless
cruelty of the human race, September 11 was up there with Pol Pot's
Mountain of Skulls in Cambodia, or the skeletal bodies stacked like
garbage in the Nazi concentration camps.

An unspeakable act so cruel, so calculated and so utterly merciless that
surely the world could agree on one thing - nobody deserves this fate.
Surely there could be consensus: The victims were truly innocent, the
perpetrators truly evil.

But to the world's eternal shame, 9/11 is increasingly seen as America's
comeuppance. Incredibly, anti-Americanism has increased over the last
year.

There has always been a simmering resentment to the USA in this country;
too loud, too rich, too full of themselves, and so much happier than
Europeans - but it has become an epidemic. And it seems incredible to me.
More than that, it turns my stomach.

America is this country's greatest friend and our staunchest ally. We are
bonded to the US by culture, language and blood. A little over half a
century ago, around half a million Americans died for our freedoms, as
well as their own. Have we forgotten so soon? And exactly a year ago,
thousands of ordinary men, women and children - not just Americans, but
from dozens of countries, were butchered by a small group of religious
fanatics. Are we so quick to betray them?

What touched the heart about those who died in the Twin Towers and on the
planes, was that we recognized them. Young fathers and mothers,
somebody's son and somebody's daughter, husbands, wives, and children,
some unborn.

And these people brought it on themselves? Their nation is to blame for
their meticulously planned slaughter?

These days you don't have to be some dust-encrusted nut job in Kabul or
Karachi or Finsbury Park to see America as the Great Satan. The
anti-American alliance is made up of self-loathing liberals who blame the
Americans for every ill in the Third World, and conservatives suffering
from power-envy, bitter that the world's only superpower can do what it
likes without having to ask permission.

The truth is that America has behaved with enormous restraint since
September 11.

Remember, remember --

Remember the gut-wrenching tapes of weeping men phoning their wives to
say, "I love you," before they were burned alive.

Remember those people leaping to their deaths from the top of burning
skyscrapers.

Remember the hundreds of firemen buried alive.

Remember the smiling face of that beautiful little girl who was on one of
the planes with her mum.

Remember, remember --

And realize that America has never retaliated for 9/11 in anything like
the way it could have.

So a few al-Qaeda tourists got locked without a trial in Camp X-ray? Pass
the Kleenex . . .

So some Afghan wedding receptions were shot up after they merrily fired
their semiautomatics into a sky full of American planes? A shame, but
maybe next time they should stick to confetti.

AMERICA could have turned a large chunk of the world into a parking lot.
That it didn't is a sign of strength. American voices are already being
raised against attacking Iraq - that's what a democracy is for. How many
in the Islamic world will have a minute's silence for the slaughtered
innocents of 9/11? How many Islamic leaders will have the guts to say
that the mass murder of 9/11 was an abomination?

When the news of 9/11 broke on the West Bank, those freedom-loving
Palestinians were dancing in the street. America watched all of that -
and didn't push the button. We should thank the stars that America is the
most powerful nation in the world. I still find it incredible that
9/11did not provoke all-out war. Not a "war on terrorism." A real war.

The fundamentalist dudes are talking about "opening the gates of hell" if
America attacks Iraq. Well, America could have opened the gates of hell
like you wouldn't believe.

The US is the most militarily powerful nation that ever strode the face
of the earth. The campaign in Afghanistan may have been less than perfect
and the planned war on Iraq may be misconceived.

But don't blame America for not bringing peace and light to these
wretched countries. How many democracies are there in the Middle East, or
in the Muslim world? You can count them on the fingers of one hand -
assuming you haven't had any chopped off for minor shoplifting.

I love America, yet America is hated. I guess that makes me Bush's
poodle.

But I would rather be a dog in New York City than a Prince in Riyadh.

Above all, America is hated because it is what every country wants to be
-rich, free, strong, open, optimistic. Not ground down by the past, or
religion, or some caste system. America is the best friend this country
ever had and we should start remembering that.

Or do you really think the USA is the root of all evil? Tell it to the
loved ones of the men and women who leaped to their death from the
burning towers.

Tell it to the nursing mothers whose husbands died on one of the hijacked
planes, or were ripped apart in a collapsing skyscraper. And tell it to
the hundreds of young widows whose husbands worked for the New York Fire
Department.

To our shame, George Bush gets a worse press than Saddam Hussein. Once we
were told that Saddam gassed the Kurds, tortured his own people and set
up rape-camps in Kuwait. Now we are told he likes Quality Street. Save me
the orange center, Oh Mighty One!

Remember, remember, September 11 --

One of the greatest atrocities in human history was committed against
America.

No, do more than remember. Never forget.

Shalom,

Barbara

www.foryourglory.org


***********************************************
For Zion's sake I will not be silent, for Jerusalem's sake I will not
hold my peace...





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** Aurora Watch In Effect **

While the solar wind speed is currently down in the low 400's for the
time being, that's likely to change over the next couple of days.  A
pair of coronal holes has rotated into an Earth pointing position, and
we should be picking up the high speed solar wind gusts from in ont eh
26th or 27th.  An aorora watch is in effect.  How much geomagnetic
activity will result is always uncertain, but stay tuned!  The suspot
number remains quite low tonight, and only two numbered sunspot
regions are visible.  Neither region looks to have much
flare-generating potential, although there's at least an outside
chance for an M-class flare from region 290.

The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :

NOAA sunspot number : 48
SFI : 102
A index : 5
K index : 1

Solar wind speed : 405.0 km/sec
Solar wind density : 5.7 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 1.7 nPa

IMF : 9.3 nT
IMF Orientation : 4.3 nT South

Conditions for the last 24 hours :
No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

Forecast for the next 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.

Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels for the
next three days.

Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the
next three days.

Recent significant solar flare activity :
None

For the past few days, the Earth has been inside of a high speed solar
wind stream coming from a coronal hole.  On Wednesday night, at the
height of the geomagnetic activity, aurora were spotted in North
Dakota, northern Europe, and Alaska!  See thus link for some
impressive pictures :
http://science.nasa.gov/spaceweather/aurora/gallery_01feb03.htm .  The
solar wind speed is dropping off now as Earth exist the high speed
stream.  However, more activity will be here in a few days, thanks to
another coronal hole following close on the heels of the one just
departed.  We should be seeing the high speed solar wind gusts from it
along about 3/4.  After an extended period of time with only very
small sunspot regions, we have what appears to be a pretty large one
just now coming into view.  Sunspot region 296 is rotating over the
eastern limb of the solar disk, and will merit watching in the days ahead.

The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :

NOAA sunspot number : 77
SFI : 125
A index : 18
K index : 1

Solar wind speed : 430.1 km/sec
Solar wind density : 4.2 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 1.1 nPa

IMF : 4.4 nT
IMF Orientation : 1.1 nT North

Conditions for the last 24 hours :
No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

Forecast for the next 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.

Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels for the next three days.

Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active levels
as the high speed coronal hole stream continues.

Recent significant solar flare activity :
None

Interesting report David.

As you know, I postulate that the solar wind commences "Doran waves".

But these low frequency large scale waves must have entry near the
magnetic poles where the isobars are close and the convection low--
because a strike will mess up the signal.

Speed, pressure and volume all in the end equate to electrical
current.  The number that seems to correlate largely w/ "weather"
most, just as a causual observer, is the volume.  What do you think?



The SOI has been positive strongly now for 5 days.  There is a
tropical storm forming near OZ.

SSTs have switched toward a more La Nina condition but in El Nino 1
and 2 the several weeks of flaring you have described have caused a
more nuetral condition--which is interesting to me because I think
that ENSO is not just about SSTs but about direction of current (read
SOI) and the amount of induction Doran waves experiance, but also a
biological aspect of conductivity, such that an upwelling of
nutrients that occurs from a cold anomaly would bring a food chain
about that impacts conductivity.  So that the flip to warming type
EMF conditions, IOW conditions with more cirrus enhancement, would
occur BEFORE SSTs warm.

Crazy complex and posutlation, speculation, I know, but I have been
looking at some pretty sophisticated data from NOAA.  Now, SSTs along
the SW coast, in the GOC, clearly now have warmed.  So much drought
caused so little biological enhancement from the Colorado, and the
rest of the hydrology, that, IMHO, the ocean cooled enough on the
surface to cause upwelling.  Upwelling led to biological nutrients
becoming available for the surface microbrial activity, and
conductivity improved--biologically, despite the poor flow from the
Colorado.  Combining this with a trend in ENSO and that flaring/CME
you have well described in the past few weeks resulted in the waves
thar gaves us the Nor'easters and finally some precip to drought
starved Arizona.  In Northern Arizona they have been getting as much
snow as anyone--many feet of it.

With that snow and the reversal of conditions in the GOC--it will be
interesting to watch the tornado season as it unfolds in the next two
months.  The W. GOM is very cold anomaly and there is a black algae
patch in the E. GOM now to go with very warm SSTs after weeks of
streaming clouds from that spot that seem to run a Doran wave over
Florida and even impacts the NE . . . when the storm pulses are
larger and producing the Nor'easters the pulse just goes a little
more north . . .

--- In methanehydrateclub@yahoogroups.com, "Mike Doran <mike@u...>"
<mike@u...> wrote:
> Interesting report David.

Thanks!  I won't bother to do a full report tonight.  It would be just
about a corbon copy of yesterday.  No significant flares, solar wind
speed in the low 400's, just waiting for the next round of high speed
solar wind in a couple of days.

>
> As you know, I postulate that the solar wind commences "Doran waves".
>

I know you've explained it before, but I don't remember, what exactly
are Doran waves?

> But these low frequency large scale waves must have entry near the
> magnetic poles where the isobars are close and the convection low--
> because a strike will mess up the signal.
>
> Speed, pressure and volume all in the end equate to electrical
> current.  The number that seems to correlate largely w/ "weather"
> most, just as a causual observer, is the volume.  What do you think?
>

I'm still somewhat sceptical of a direct connection between solar
activity and short-term weather, although I will admit, I have seen
some strong correlations between the two.  Perhaps coincidence, or
perhaps not.  My problem is that I don't see how a solar wind that is
usually at most 10 protons/cc can have much effect.  That is a tiny
amnount of electrical charge.  Now granted, it can manifest itself by
causing enough of a cascade of electons down to the poles to light up
the skies.  Nevertheless, I still don't understand how that's supposed
to equate to cloud enhancement or storm intensity.

> Combining this with a trend in ENSO and that flaring/CME
> you have well described in the past few weeks resulted in the waves
> thar gaves us the Nor'easters and finally some precip to drought
> starved Arizona.

There haven't been any strong flares or CME's, at least not
Earth-directed, in a while.  What we have been seeing is high speed
solar wind from coronal holes.  Although, I guess for your purposes,
it ends up having the same effect.

Mike,  I confess I still do not have a picture of what you are talking
about. But when you talk of a wave starting near the magnetic poles, I
must insist that the current that makes our magnetic poles is the SE and
that its positioning in and around the ice poles is not an accident
because the SE is coming from and going to the Sun. It is inducting the
Magnetic field, which in turn is inducing what you have been describing.
The equator turning motion on the Sun is East to West, meaning that the
major electric flow direction is from its north to South.  That flow in
the form of eddy currents that are relatively weak go out the Sun South
and come in the Earth South to control its rotation, its weather, and its
ice pole building.  The North pole ice is melting more than it should,
because the North SE flow is around the outside of the ice block.  Its
minus 80 degree temperature is only present where the SE is flowing
strong enough. At this time the SE is flowing around the edge of the
North Ice pole.  At the South pole the SE is coming in around its ice
pole, which is very solidly frozen because the SE is being squeezed by
the ozone hole it is making as it goes through the ozone layer and then
going into the Earth around the South ice cap.  This is why the ozone
hole is shaped like the South ice cap.  The South circular current is
caused by the secondary induced field by the SE. CMEs are not the SE, but
are like shot from gun - particles.  The SE isn't the current that is
blasting through the Sun and holding our Solarsystem by its flow through
our Sun in its position in our galaxy.  The SE is a residual flow around
the blasting flow from and to the galaxy. The SE eddys around the solar
system, affecting each electrical conductor according to its materials
conductivity.  Earth has special strong flows because of its
conductivity, and water.  If you want me to go away I will, but it seems
that few if any are listening.  Walter

On Sat, 01 Mar 2003 17:00:39 -0000 "Mike Doran <mike@...>"
<mike@...> writes:
Interesting report David.

As you know, I postulate that the solar wind commences "Doran waves".

But these low frequency large scale waves must have entry near the
magnetic poles where the isobars are close and the convection low--
because a strike will mess up the signal.

Speed, pressure and volume all in the end equate to electrical
current.  The number that seems to correlate largely w/ "weather"
most, just as a causual observer, is the volume.  What do you think?



The SOI has been positive strongly now for 5 days.  There is a
tropical storm forming near OZ.

SSTs have switched toward a more La Nina condition but in El Nino 1
and 2 the several weeks of flaring you have described have caused a
more nuetral condition--which is interesting to me because I think
that ENSO is not just about SSTs but about direction of current (read
SOI) and the amount of induction Doran waves experiance, but also a
biological aspect of conductivity, such that an upwelling of
nutrients that occurs from a cold anomaly would bring a food chain
about that impacts conductivity.  So that the flip to warming type
EMF conditions, IOW conditions with more cirrus enhancement, would
occur BEFORE SSTs warm.

Crazy complex and posutlation, speculation, I know, but I have been
looking at some pretty sophisticated data from NOAA.  Now, SSTs along
the SW coast, in the GOC, clearly now have warmed.  So much drought
caused so little biological enhancement from the Colorado, and the
rest of the hydrology, that, IMHO, the ocean cooled enough on the
surface to cause upwelling.  Upwelling led to biological nutrients
becoming available for the surface microbrial activity, and
conductivity improved--biologically, despite the poor flow from the
Colorado.  Combining this with a trend in ENSO and that flaring/CME
you have well described in the past few weeks resulted in the waves
thar gaves us the Nor'easters and finally some precip to drought
starved Arizona.  In Northern Arizona they have been getting as much
snow as anyone--many feet of it.

With that snow and the reversal of conditions in the GOC--it will be
interesting to watch the tornado season as it unfolds in the next two
months.  The W. GOM is very cold anomaly and there is a black algae
patch in the E. GOM now to go with very warm SSTs after weeks of
streaming clouds from that spot that seem to run a Doran wave over
Florida and even impacts the NE . . . when the storm pulses are
larger and producing the Nor'easters the pulse just goes a little
more north . . .



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[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]

The solar wind speed remains relatively low this evening, having
dropped below the 400 km/sec mark.  The density, however, is higher
than I would have expected.  This could be a precursor to the solar
wind gusts that are headed out way.  Picture a bow wave in front of an
advancing boat, and you've got the basic idea.  The high speed wind
gusts aren't due to arrive, however, for another 48 hours, although
they could wind up arriving earlier than anticipated.  Things are
still quiet flare-wise, although sunspot region 269 certainly bears
watching in the days ahead.  It spans 8 Earth diameters from end to
end.

The cirrent solar and geomagnetic conditions are :

NOAA sunspot number : 67
SFI : 147
A index : 12
K index : 3

Solar wind speed : 372.1 km/sec
Solar wind density : 8.5 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 2.1 nPa

IMF : 7.5 nT
IMF Orientation : 5.4 nT North

Conditions for the last 24 hours :
No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

Forecast for the next 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.

Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels for the next three
days.

Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels
for the next day, increasing to unsettled to active levels on days two
and three.

Recent significant solar flare activity :
None

Walter, we may not agree with everything you have to say, but that
doesn't mean we aren't listening.  You're one of the few active people
in this group, and I for one would like you to stay.

> I
> must insist that the current that makes our magnetic poles is the SE and
> that its positioning in and around the ice poles is not an accident
> because the SE is coming from and going to the Sun.

We disagree in this, Walter.  The Earth's magnetic field is generated
from within, not created from the outside.

> It is inducting the
> Magnetic field, which in turn is inducing what you have been
describing.

Now here, you have something.  The Earth's magnetic field is
definitely influenced by the sun.  No doubt about that.\

> The equator turning motion on the Sun is East to West, meaning that the
> major electric flow direction is from its north to South.

Whoops!  You got that one backwards.  The Earth's magnetic field lines
emerge at the south pole and re-enter at the north pole, which means
that the north pole is actually the aouth pole.  Confused yet?

> CMEs are not the SE, but
> are like shot from gun - particles.

Yes, that is correct.  Specifically they are a blast of plasma from
the sun's corona, as opposed to the solar wind, which originated from
lower down beneath the corona.

> The SE isn't the current that is
> blasting through the Sun and holding our Solarsystem by its flow through
> our Sun in its position in our galaxy.  The SE is a residual flow around
> the blasting flow from and to the galaxy.

I'm not quite sure what you're referring to.  There is such a thing as
an interstellar wind, believe it or not.  It is a very tenuous, but
high speed flow of particles that is generated by supernova
explosions.  It permeates the entire galaxy.  Where our sun's solar
wind is finally stopped by the interstellar wind is known as the
heliopause.  With a little luck, Voyager 1 and 2 may survive long
enough to reach that point and report back their findings.  The
heliopause is considered the true boundary of interstellar space.
Excactly where the heliopause is isn't really known.  In fact, it's
probably somewhat dynamic, moving in and out with the sunspot cycles.

Comments below.

-----Original Message-----
From: "David <b1blancer1@...>" <b1blancer1@...>
To: methanehydrateclub@yahoogroups.com
Date: Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:22:08 -0000
Subject: Re: [Methane Hydrate Club] High speed wind

> <html><body>
>
>
> <tt>
> > I<BR>
> > must insist that the current that makes our magnetic poles is the
> SE and<BR>
> > that its positioning in and around the ice poles is not an
> accident<BR>
> > because the SE is coming from and going to the Sun. <BR>
> <BR>
> We disagree in this, Walter.  The Earth's magnetic field is
> generated<BR>
> from within, not created from the outside.<BR>
> <BR>

I disagree.  The double dymino theory is flawed in that it does not have
a biological aspect.


> > It is inducting the<BR>
> > Magnetic field, which in turn is inducing what you have been<BR>
> describing. <BR>
> <BR>
> Now here, you have something.  The Earth's magnetic field is<BR>
> definitely influenced by the sun.  No doubt about that.\<BR>
> <BR>
> > The equator turning motion on the Sun is East to West, meaning
> that the<BR>
> > major electric flow direction is from its north to South. 
> <BR>

The problem with this idea is that the earth's EMF flips from time to
time.

Gaia would explain this in terms of strike activity causing amplification
going the other way depending on biological conditions.



> <BR>
> Whoops!  You got that one backwards.  The Earth's magnetic
> field lines<BR>
> emerge at the south pole and re-enter at the north pole, which
> means<BR>
> that the north pole is actually the aouth pole.  Confused yet?<BR>
> <BR>
> > CMEs are not the SE, but<BR>
> > are like shot from gun - particles.  <BR>
> <BR>
> Yes, that is correct.  Specifically they are a blast of plasma
> from<BR>
> the sun's corona, as opposed to the solar wind, which originated
> from<BR>
> lower down beneath the corona.<BR>
> <BR>
> > The SE isn't the current that is<BR>
> > blasting through the Sun and holding our Solarsystem by its flow
> through<BR>
> > our Sun in its position in our galaxy.  The SE is a residual
> flow around<BR>
> > the blasting flow from and to the galaxy.  <BR>
> <BR>
> I'm not quite sure what you're referring to.  There is such a
> thing as<BR>
> an interstellar wind, believe it or not.  It is a very tenuous,
> but<BR>
> high speed flow of particles that is generated by supernova<BR>
> explosions.  It permeates the entire galaxy.  Where our sun's
> solar<BR>
> wind is finally stopped by the interstellar wind is known as the<BR>
> heliopause.  With a little luck, Voyager 1 and 2 may survive
> long<BR>
> enough to reach that point and report back their findings. 

This is cool. BUT in relation to the earth's EMF and the 'SE' the solar
wind is VERY small as a current.  What is more important is the
relationship between convection and charge separation and the cirrus
sorting that does occur from the solar pulse.  What this relationship is
and how the biosphere modulates these currents eventually determines the
earth's EMF.


> The<BR>
> heliopause is considered the true boundary of interstellar space. <BR>
> Excactly where the heliopause is isn't really known.  In fact,
> it's<BR>
> probably somewhat dynamic, moving in and out with the sunspot
> cycles.<BR>
> <BR>
> <BR>
> <BR>
> </tt>
>
> <br>
>
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WOODS HOLE, Massachusetts, February 26, 2003 (ENS) - New research
suggests that warming oceans could cause "intense eruptions" of methane
from the sea floor, leading to "catastrophic" global warming.
Scientists have found new evidence indicating that during periods of
rapid climate warming, methane gas has been released from the seafloor in
intense eruptions. In a study published in the current issue of the
journal "Science," Kai-Uwe Hinrichs and colleagues Laura Hmelo and Sean
Sylva of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) provide a direct
link between methane reservoirs in coastal marine sediments and the
global carbon cycle, an indicator of global warming and cooling.

Molecular fossils from methane consuming bacteria found in sediments in
the Santa Barbara Basin off California deposited during the last glacial
period - 70,000 to 12,000 years ago - indicate that large quantities of
methane were emitted from the seafloor during warmer phases of the last
ice age. Methane, one of the major greenhouse gases, is stored on the
seafloor as an ice like solid known as methane hydrate.

Previous evidence for such massive eruptions was based on isotopic
properties of calcite shells of foraminifera, microscopic marine animals
called forams. Because a variety of factors could lead to very similar
signals in their shells, that evidence has remained controversial.

The preserved molecular remnants found by the WHOI team result from
bacteria that fed exclusively on methane and indicate that large
quantities of this powerful greenhouse gas were present in coastal waters
off California. The team studied samples that were deposited between
44,000 and 37,000 years ago.

"For the first time, we are able to clearly establish a connection
between distinct isotopic depletions in forams and high concentrations of
methane in the fossil record," said Hinrichs, an assistant scientist in
the Institution's Geology and Geophysics Department.

"The large amounts of methane presumably released during one event about
44,000 years ago suggest a mechanism different from those underlying the
emissions at warmer periods, i.e. slow decomposition of methane hydrate
triggered by warming of bottom waters," Hinrichs continued. "The sudden
release of these enormous quantities of methane was probably caused by
landslides and melting of the methane hydrate."

Since there was already indirect evidence of methane eruptions in the
Santa Barbara Basin area, Hinrichs and colleagues looked for fossil
remnants of bacteria that would have flourished only under high
concentrations of methane. In a 44,000 year old sediment sample, a
distinct type of biomarker representing bacterial communities that
oxidize methane in the absence of oxygen provided evidence for an abrupt,
catastrophic release of methane, presumably trapped as hydrate below the
sea floor.

The WHOI team's data, from sediment cores taken by the Ocean Drilling
Program off southern California, show that substantial quantities of
methane were released at least several times during the past 60,000
years, leading to periodic fluctuations in the levels of methane in deep
waters in the Santa Barbara Basin.

The researchers say increased bottom water temperatures could mobilize or
release large amounts of methane hydrate in shallow waters. According to
some current estimates, there are about 10,000 billion tons of methane
stored beneath the ocean and on continents.

In comparison, the contribution of humans to the atmosphere's inventory
of greenhouse gases by fossil fuel burning amounts to about 200 billion
tons of carbon in the form of carbon dioxide. If even a small portion of
the stored methane were to escape into the atmosphere, the resulting
greenhouse warming would be catastrophic.

"It was a surprise to find this sort of evidence," said Hinrichs, who was
looking for evidence indicating mechanisms other than methane. "Although
this research tells us something about the amount of methane consumed by
bacteria in the ocean, it doesn't tell us anything about methane
emissions into the atmosphere because neither forams nor methane
biomarkers record the portion of methane that escaped out of the ocean."

"But one thing is for sure," he said, "our results clearly show that
relatively minor environmental changes can have a major impact on
sensitive coastal regions with yet unknown consequences for climate and
biota."

Hinrichs plans to look for similar evidence elsewhere to determine
whether this process, as a driver of climate variation, happened
simultaneously at other locations around the world. This work, he said,
is just the beginning of better understanding of the role of methane in
the carbon cycle and ultimately on climate on geologic time scales.

"We have a very poor understanding of the biogeochemical mechanisms that
control production, destruction and accumulation of methane in sediments
underlying the ocean," Hinrichs said. "We need to understand the big
picture of what drives methane and the carbon cycle and the actual impact
of methane emissions from hydrates on climate."

Comment:

In the late 1990s when I first started researching climate a runnaway
methane hydrate meltdown was one of the biggest concerns. In April 2000
Clinton signed the methane hydrate research bill--which passed Congress
without a vote in opposition--giving 5 million a year in research over
the next 10 years. In contrast, the Japanese spend 50 million in
research. Then I spoke frequently with Dendy Sloan, from the Colorado
School of Mines, about phase change energies and then later about the EMF
consequences of the hydrates. One of the key things that should be
understood is that methane in the ocean is like pure food to many
creatures there--and is consumed rapidly. Further, the methane is DEEP in
the ocean and dissolves almost immediately. The best research is on the
McKenzie River delta along the near shore ocean, where coring over 1,000
meters under the ocean surface have revealed microbrial communities! As
it turns out, the mass of the biosphere under the surface of the ocean
rivals the microbrial biosphere on the terresphere. So when humans farm
the land and add chemicals and fertilizers and so forth and it runs off--
it goes to an equally large biosphere! At this time it is too energy
costly and costly to harvest the hydrates--and all climate concerns are
of the CO2 as a GHG concern--which is flat wrong.

The key feature here relative to this research and a potential for
climate change is the mobility and containment of conductity altering
materials by the biosphere. Hydrates are EMF insulating. Think--rubber.
Contained biology is conductive--think wire. Water and methane quickly
turns to dissolved methane and salt water in the deeps of the oceans--
which are conductive. The impact on large scale EMF of large scale
changes brought on by massive FEILDS of hydrates would be significant to
these waves and how they move from ionosphere to cloud to ocean/sea and
back up.

These are the electrical properties that will QUICKLY alter climate.
Witness the fires and drought in the SW and the Colorado River and Sea of
Cortez/Gulf of California.

This is what is the concern in the SOC/GOC--where there are hydrates,
when we build a Hoover dam (that helps cause a Dust Bowl) or don't let
any biological material flow down it under CAP and Mexican water usage of
the Colorado River on their side of the border. The resulting fair
weather over the GOC and the drought, fires in the SW should be no
surprise. Equally of no surprise is once upwellings occur that the
biological activity would be intense and storms like those in Arizona--
the snows there, should occur like they are at this time.

Read--extremes (drought and precip events) with hydrate melting events
BUT as long as the hydrate fields are there--MODULATION by them. IOW
extremes of MODULATION. Not the way chaos idiots

look at the problem. Interestingly, at the end of the Wisconsonian--as it
was peaking 20,000 years ago BP, west of Italy there were hydrate fields
that unformed as the oceans were at a low point. 10,000 years later very
powerful volcano erupted in the region, and the glacial ended and 14,000
years later the Sahara turned to dust. What did those hydrate fields mean
to climate in the region? I suspect MUCH. Current directions and
induction values, EMF insulation, EMF conductivities--all would mean more
precipatation in the region.

The Mediterranean is now the perhaps strongest fair weather water body on
earth, with the nearby central Africa the most struck region on earth. If
anyone wants a graph of worldwide strikes that show this--I have a link I
could look up.

It's all electrical and biological, baby.

** Aurora Watch In Effect **

The Earth is now inside of a high speed coronal hole solar wind
stream, and geomagnetic storm conditions have been observed within the
last 24 hours.  Skywatchers in the higher latitudes should be on the
lookout for aurora tonight.  The high speed solar wind is expected to
persist for at least the next 24 hours.  On the sunspot scene, sunspot
region 296 is by far the biggest region currently visible, and poses a
threat for M-class flares.  There are four sunspot regions visible,
and the sunspot number, while not really high, is the highest it's
been in quite a while.

The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :

NOAA sunspot number : 160
SFI : 146
A index : 20
K index : 3

Solar wind speed : 459.2 km/sec
Solar wind density : 3.8 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 1.2 nPa

IMF : 5.4 nT
IMF Orientation : 0.1 nT North

Conditions for the last 24 hours :
Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor. Geomagnetic storms
reaching the G1 level occurred.

Forecast for the next 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.

Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels. Isolated C-class
flares are possible primarily from Region 296, with a slight chance of
a low M-class flare.

Geomagnetic actviity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at unsettled to active
levels early, but will return to quiet to unsettled levels late on day
one as the high speed stream subsides. Isolated active periods at
mostly higher latitudes are possible through the next three days.

Recent significant solar flare activity :
None

Ok,  Lets try this again. . .

On Mon, 03 Mar 2003 04:22:08 -0000 "David <b1blancer1@...>"
<b1blancer1@...> writes:
> I
> must insist that the current that makes our magnetic poles is the SE
and
> that its positioning in and around the ice poles is not an accident
> because the SE is coming from and going to the Sun.

We disagree in this, Walter.  The Earth's magnetic field is generated
from within, not created from the outside.

> It is inducting the
> Magnetic field, which in turn is inducing what you have been
describing.

Now here, you have something.  The Earth's magnetic field is
definitely influenced by the sun.  No doubt about that.\

> The equator turning motion on the Sun is East to West, meaning that the
> major electric flow direction is from its north to South.

Whoops!  You got that one backwards.  The Earth's magnetic field lines
emerge at the south pole and re-enter at the north pole, which means
that the north pole is actually the South pole.  Confused yet?
     Ok lets try again.  In my understanding the Sun's spots appear to us
to be twisting from East to West as we look at it.  According to the
right hand rule its rotation turning would be caused by a current flowing
from its North to its South.  This current when it flows out its South
comes out and around in an eddy current through its planets and back to
the Sun.  As it comes up through the Earth it twists our rotation in
(according the right hand rule) in a West to East rotation.  All of the
meteorites that land on the South pole that come from space come there
because of this flow. The clarity of the air in this area is clear
because this Solar Electrojet current charges all particles and takes
them down to the ice.  The circumpolar current around the South pole is
in the direction of the same twist of the earth, West to East. It is
going that direction because the SE is spinning it in that direction.
Now if you insist that the magnetic field lines are coming out of the
South pole and going around to the North, then it must be induced to do
so because of Solar Electrojet going from the South to the North. In my
way of thinking the currents that drive our compasses are basically
surface flow of solar electrojet, which hasn't been generated by the
Earth at all, but are coming in from the Sun and flowing over the surface
of the earth as well as up through the center, causing its great stirring
and heating. In order to prove this point we will have to drill a hole in
the center of the South pole and see which way current flows in it.  If
the current flows into the South pole as well as up towards the North
over the surface of the earth than it is SE. If the current flows up out
of and around the earth Northerly, then it is generated by the earth and
is doing what you say.  This would not make sense for it would be turning
the earth in the opposite direction according to the right hand rule. If
you put your right thumb up into the South pole indicating the direction
of the direct current flow that is inducing the secondary field twist in
the right hand direction and is turning the earth from West to East.  (as
it does).  If the magnetic flow which is according to my thinking
generated by the SE is going in that direction down the center, then it
is Not causing the earth to rotate because of its flow, because it would
be turning the earth the other direction. The same direction that the Sun
turns. One other proof of the SE coming in and up through the South, is
the shape of the ozone hole itself.. It is shaped by the SE's passage by
the South Ice cap, for it goes into the earth around the ice cap and into
the earth. Its path through the Ozone hole is guided by its direction of
path down and around the ice cap shape. Too bad the bays in the South ice
pole that were there a few years ago are not still there, for they would
show distinct shape in the ozone hole that would be unmistakable. As it
is I think you can still see the shape.  Walter
> CMEs are not the SE, but
> are like shot from gun - particles.

Yes, that is correct.  Specifically they are a blast of plasma from
the sun's corona, as opposed to the solar wind, which originated from
lower down beneath the corona.

> The SE isn't the current that is
> blasting through the Sun and holding our Solarsystem by its flow
through
> our Sun in its position in our galaxy.  The SE is a residual flow
around
> the blasting flow from and to the galaxy.

I'm not quite sure what you're referring to.  There is such a thing as
an interstellar wind, believe it or not.  It is a very tenuous, but
high speed flow of particles that is generated by supernova
explosions.  It permeates the entire galaxy.  Where our sun's solar
wind is finally stopped by the interstellar wind is known as the
heliopause.  With a little luck, Voyager 1 and 2 may survive long
enough to reach that point and report back their findings.  The
heliopause is considered the true boundary of interstellar space.
Excactly where the heliopause is isn't really known.  In fact, it's
probably somewhat dynamic, moving in and out with the sunspot cycles.





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David,  Thank you!  You are a blessing!  May God continue to increase our
knowledge of His wonders.  Amen!  Walter

On Mon, 03 Mar 2003 03:55:59 -0000 "David <b1blancer1@...>"
<b1blancer1@...> writes:
Walter, we may not agree with everything you have to say, but that
doesn't mean we aren't listening.  You're one of the few active people
in this group, and I for one would like you to stay.



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** Aurora Watch In Effect **

The high speed solar wind persists this evening, hovering close to the
500 km/sec mark, and an aurora watch remains in effect.  Skywatchers
in the higher latitudes should be on the lookout for aurora.
Geomagnetic storm conditions at the G-1 level have been observed
within the last 24 hours.  The high speed solar wind is now expected
to last for at least another 24 hours.  Although solar activity has
remained quiet over the last few days, sunspot region 296 has at least
an outside change of producing an M-class flare.

The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :

NOAA sunspot number : 132
SFI : 150
A index : 18
K index : 3

Solar wind speed : 483.7 km/sec
Solar wind density : 2.9 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 0.8 nPa

IMF : 5.3 nT
IMF Orientation : 4.5 nT South

Conditions for the last 24 hours :
Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor. Geomagnetic storms
reaching the G1 level occurred.

Forecast for the next 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.

Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to be low. Though unusually quiet for its
size and complexity, Region 296 has potential for a C-class flare and
a slight chance for an M-class event. Minor C-class flares are also
possible in Region 301.

Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to begin the period at unsettled to
active levels, but should gradually decline to mostly quiet to
unsettled levels by day two. Isolated active periods are likely on
days two and three.

Recennt significant solar flare activity :
None

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/indian/storm/

Then go to this link:

dvor-nh18


Cyclone Kalunde, in the southern Indian Ocean, has now reached
category 5 intensity according to NRL.
As you may know, I think that Cyclone Kalunde will be associated with
HUGE negative voltages in its eye. Blow ups like this are ALWAYs
associated with global and space EMF.


http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscil
lationIndex/30DaySOIValues/

Date Tahiti Darwin Daily** 30 day 90 day

4-Mar-2003 1006.98 1006.55 -17.60 -8.53 -7.45

5-Mar-2003 1007.34 1007.20 -19.00 -8.57 -7.39

6-Mar-2003 1009.88 1007.40 -7.80 -8.10 -7.27

7-Mar-2003 1010.90 1006.75 0.10 -7.78 -7.13

Pretty good swing of the SOI w/ this storm forming. The EMF of the
Nor'easter and even the severe weather over Florida--combined w/ the
known upwards movement of the proton wind from space:

http://groups.yahoo.com/group/methanehydrateclub/message/1695

Tells me NOTHING different.

As long as these systems are not analyzed as electrical and
biological--we are shorting ourselves as a scientific nation--and the
critical, life and death policies that flow from our flawed thinking.

BTW, I have an online Indian friend who explained to me how the
monsoon is typically kicked off by a strong cyclone. There is no good
purely thermodynamic reason for this, but in terms of conductivity
patterns--it makes sense. There is a very cool doc named Joejohn
McFadden from Brit--an MD, who does system research w/ physics heads--
and they think that consciousness is an EMF (not all hardwire) which
connects the brain and allows infinate permiations and connections.
Anyway, I recently woke my better half from a deep sleep only to have
her wake in a start. We have all had that happen. The EMF from a big
storm is the same thing as the living earth uses EMF to enhance
cirrus and bring persistant rains, the monsoons, to the biosphere.

Also as you also  know, I think the swing of the SOI produces what is
called back EMF.

If a swing from a positive SOI to neg produces a back EMF event to
the US, the converse would be true to the Indian Ocean--as it will be
connected somewhat to the Pacific via conductive oceans and Doran
waves communicating an EMF instability. Indeed, the EMF from a back
EMF induction may be powerful enough to light up the whole planet and
even the behavior near the isobars of the poles of cirrus . . .


++++++++++


http://www.lightningstorm.com/

Today there was over Florida very intense strikes with three distinct
oblong clusters of negative to ground voltages.  And a small dot of
strikes in the N. Atlantic about 400 miles east of these storms.
Meanwhile, w/out strikes there was an area of convection over the mid
Atlantic, particularly along the coast of North Carolyna.

Then one more doran wave out to the same spot in the N. Atlantic that
has been struck all late winter and spring w/ these storms.

The strike activity follows the rules of Doran waves--low freq large
scale EMF movements from surface to cloud to ionosphere--EMF waves
that enhance cirrus and sharpen fair weather positive to ground
voltages.  The oblong nature of the Doran waves is related to the
narrow and warm, conductive Gulf Stream--which is moving NW by N and
then NE relative to where the conductivities are in the region. There
is, as I mentioned, a small area of negative to ground in the N.
Atlantic just on the east side of the Gulf stream, and that is
relational not just to the Florida EMF but the storm over coastal
Carolina.

Now, I bring this up--about the oblong nature in that uplift from
strong infrared values from EMF that cause vorticities and
instabilities if it were to occur at a point . . . is reduced if the
storm is more frontal in nature.  Such is the power of the infra red
values under the EMF sorted cirrus, which get played to banding
behaviors like DNA through an electropherisis strip.

Now here is something profound--and please think about it--try to
clear your mind of the traditional meteorology teachings for it to
sink in. It is well known that severe weather and tornadic activity
is more likely to occur in Tornado Alley as compared to other places
in the world YET Florida, so near convective regions--is less likely
to see severe weather. WHY?

Because the Gulf Stream organizes EMF in lines, not points--and
uplift is more likely to be frontal. Simple as that.

That point of EMF in the N. Atlantic is a point of activity simply
because the curvature of the conductive Gulf Stream focuses the EMF
to that point--like a magnefying glass focuses light.

That said, there was once hurricane that hit Florida with such
powerful winds that wind blowing the sand on the sidewalk caused
sparks.

Which again goes to prove that it is all electrical and biological,
baby.

http://messageboards.weather.com/3/OpenTopic?
a=tpc&s=253291764&f=4792989145&m=8042926107

The sunspot number has edged up above 200 this evening for the first
time in a while, and there are now five numbered sunspot regions
visible.  So far, the only that looks to have and real flare-producing
potential is region 296.  That could change, however, so stay tuned.
The solar wind speed looks to be taking a bit of a respite from the
high speed profile it has exhibited of late, and the speed is down in
the low 400's for the time being.  While aurora weren't widespread,
there were some quite beautiful aorora spotten in Alaska and Canada
during the period of March 3-5.  See this link for some great aurora
pictures :
http://science.nasa.gov/spaceweather/aurora/gallery_01mar03.html .
There is another coronal hole just now rotating into view of the
eastern limb of the solar disk.  It's not in view enough to see what
it's really like quite yet, but look for the possibility of another
round of high speed solar wind in about a week.

The current solar and geomagneti cconditions are :

NOAA sunspot number : 203
SFI : 148
A index : 11
K index : 2

Solar wind speed : 432.8 km/sec
Solar wind density : 4.0 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 1.1 nPa

IMF : 4.3 nT
IMF Orientation : 4.0 nT South

Conditions for the last 24 hours :
No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

Forecast for the nbext 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.

Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels. There is a small
chance for an isolated M-class flare from Region 296 (N13W31).

Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at quiet to unsettled
levels throughout the period.

Recent significant solar flare activity :
None

All is basically quiet this evening as we await the arrival of the
next round of high speed solar wind gusts, which is expected on or
about the 15th.  The associated coronal hole is in better view now,
and it looks to be a decent fairly sized one.  The sunspot number is
staying above the 200 mark, and there are now six numbered sunspot
regions visible.  Of the group, regions 296 and 306 look like they
have the best potential for producing an M-class flare.

The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :

NOAA sunspot number : 214
SFI : 144
A index : 11
K index : 3

Solar wind speed : 402.0 km/sec
Solar wind density : 2.5 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 0.8 nPa

IMF : 7.6 nT
IMF Orientation : 4.6 nT North

Conditions for the last 24 hours :
No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

Forecast for the next 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.

Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels.

Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels
through the first 48 hours of the period. Day three should experience
active conditions due to a co-rotating interactive region that has
preceded a recurrent coronal hole over the past several rotations.

Recent significant solar flare activity :
None

http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/
check out the picture of the day!!!! Looks like an oil slick!

Too bad you couldn't get a fixed link.

--- In methanehydrateclub@yahoogroups.com, Swezlex's Argon Okorora
Zenith <group@s...> wrote:
> http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/
> check out the picture of the day!!!! Looks like an oil slick!

--- In methanehydrateclub@yahoogroups.com, "Mike Doran" <mike@u...> wrote:
> Too bad you couldn't get a fixed link.
>

Here ya go, Mike.

http://antwrp.gsfc.nasa.gov/apod/ap030311.html

The solar wind speed has risen a little bit this evening,
foreshadowing the higher speed solar wind gusts that are expected
beginning on or about the 15th.  The coronal hole that will be
bringing them to us is a fairly large one, so we could quite possibly
be in for some interesting geomagnetic activity.  Expect an aurora
watch to be posted in a day or two.  More aurora pictures are coming
in from the aurora activity last week, including this very good one
taken at the Alaska Pipeline near Fairbanks.
http://science.nasa.gov/spaceweather/aurora/images
2003/09mar03/Mammana4.jpg
.  The sunspot number has decreased, and will probably continue to do
so as sunspot region 296 rotates out of view.  Sunspot region 306 is
the only one visible right now that looks to have any real M-class
flare generating potential.

The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :

NOAA sunspot number : 109
SFI : 138
A index : 9
K index : 4

Solar wind speed : 468.1 km/sec
Solar wind density : 1.9 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 0.9 nPa

IMF : 12.1 nT
IMF Orientation : 4.5 nT South

Conditions for the last 24 hours :
No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

Forecast for the next 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.

Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels. Region 296 (12W85),
306, and 311 (S12E05) have C-class potential.

Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.
High speed stream effects are expected on day one and day two as a
recurring coronal hole rotates into a geo-effective position. A chance
of isolated active conditions are also possible on day one and day two
due to the expected high speed stream.

Recent significant solar flare activity :
None

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/1871297.stm

http://www.nature.com/nsu/020311/020311-6.html

One year ago . . .

++++++++

http://www.sepp.org/weekwas/2002/Aug24.htm

Ice age epochs on the earth may result from our solar system's trek
through the spiral arms of the Milky Way. Nir Shaviv
(shaviv@..., +972-54-738555), of the University of
Toronto and Jerusalem's Hebrew University bases this hypothesis on
correlations he has found between apparent changes in the flux of
cosmic rays reaching the earth and geological evidence for major ice
ages in the past billion years.

. . .


Fangqun Yu, a research associate with the Atmospheric Sciences
Research Center at the State University of New York-Albany, has shown
that cosmic rays may have height-dependent effects on Earth's
cloudiness. Yu's National Science Foundation supported study is
published in the July 2002 issue of the American Geophysical
Union's "Journal of Geophysical Research-Space Physics."


http://www.geog.ucl.ac.uk/~mtodd/papers/jgr_2001/jgr_jd_2001_000405_re
vised.doc

Cosmic rays are comprised of energetic particles, mainly protons,
originating from all directions in space, from both solar and non-
solar sources. A distinction can be made between solar protons (SP)
with relatively low energy levels (10-300 MeV) and GCR with higher
energy levels (300MeV to 10GeV). The solar wind has a strong role in
modulating cosmic ray intensity (Yamada et al., 1998). In particular,
at short time scales, irregular decreases of GCR intensity, known as
Forbush decreases (FD), can be observed. FD events are associated
with magneto-hydrodynamic disturbances following solar coronal mass
ejections (Krivsky and Ruzickova-Topolova, 1978, Reiter 1992).

Upon entering the magnetosphere cosmic ray particles are influenced
by the Earth's magnetic field and the configuration of the
magnetosphere. As the cosmic ray particles enter the atmosphere they
collide with other atmospheric particles. Cosmic rays are the
principle cause of ionisation in the lower atmosphere, which peaks at
a height of 10-20km in the atmosphere. It has been suggested that
cosmic ray ionisation has direct and indirect impacts on cloud
microphysics (Dickinson, 1975; Tinsley and Deen, 1991; Tinsley et
al., 1989). GCR may directly influence cloud through the production,
via cosmic ray ionisation, of cloud condensation and/or ice nuclei.
Indirect mechanisms include modulation of the atmospheric electrical
conductivity within the 'global electric circuit' by GCR ionisation
and subsequent effects on cloud microphysics through the process of
electro-scavenging (Tinsley et al., 2000). Tinsley et al. (2000)
showed greater scavenging rates for charged evaporation aerosols in
non-thunderstorm clouds compared to non-charged aerosols. A further
indirect mechanism has been proposed in which GCR ionisation
influences nitrous oxide and ozone production and thus stratospheric
heating rates. This alters the stratospheric and tropospheric
circulation and possibly the cloud distribution (Brasseur and
Solomon, 1995). Through both direct and indirect processes it is
hypothesised that an increase (decrease) in GCR should result in an
increase (decrease) in cloud, greatest for high clouds and at high
geomagnetic latitudes where transmission of the cosmic ray flux is at
its maximum. FD events have been associated with a decline in high
cloud at high latitudes of the northern hemisphere (Pudovkin and
Veretenenko, 1995).

Comment:

Of course, none of this work contemplates the impact of the biosphere
on these EMF/cosmic ray forcings to clouds

This is vert interesting, Mike!  Let me run this past you.  A more
active sun means a more energetic and denser solar wind.  On a solar
system-wide scale, this will serve to expand the sun's heliosphere,
and also to provide something of a shield against incoming extra-solar
cosmic rays.  Conversely, an inactive sun will allow more cosmic rays
to penetrate deeper into the solar system, and therefore reach Earth.
  According to the article, more cosmic rays means, at least
theoretically, more clouds.

So, an inactive sun could have a double-whammy on Earth's climate!
One, decreased solar energy output will obviously mean less energy
getting to Earth.  That means cooling for Earth.  Now, we can possibly
add in the effect of more cosmic rays meaning more cloud cover, which
will further reduce the amount of solar energy reaching the Earth's
surface.  More cooling!  One could easily see how an extended period
of solar inactivity could lead to an ice age!

David,

I just wish I could give you years of biological education in a
paragraph or two, but I would have to disagree again with your
characterization.  Understand this isn't about hot and cold but about
MODULATED hot and cold. IOWs if I put you in a heated room your body
temperature stays at 98.6 degrees--and you sweat.  But if you catch a
cold your body temperature rises.

What the cosmic rays would do is increase the protons to ground and
how the ocean terresphere EMF balance is modulated by the biosphere.
Once an area is frozen the hydrology ends and so do river feedbacks.
IOWs what we are talking about is the RISK of putting a neo glacier
on and how long it takes for the sun to melt it back without
precipitation replacing it.

This is why we see storms w/ the elevated PROTON wind.  But that
doesn't mean that these storms are not modulated by the biosphere and
the EMF control it exerts . . .

So it again comes back to feedback loops and DEFECTS in them by a
fossil fuel subsidized culture--or a culture that messes w/ its
hydrology, and therefore the modulating biosphere in the deltas of
this hydrology . . .

--- In methanehydrateclub@yahoogroups.com, "David" <b1blancer1@e...>
wrote:
> This is vert interesting, Mike!  Let me run this past you.  A more
> active sun means a more energetic and denser solar wind.  On a solar
> system-wide scale, this will serve to expand the sun's heliosphere,
> and also to provide something of a shield against incoming extra-
solar
> cosmic rays.  Conversely, an inactive sun will allow more cosmic
rays
> to penetrate deeper into the solar system, and therefore reach
Earth.
>  According to the article, more cosmic rays means, at least
> theoretically, more clouds.
>
> So, an inactive sun could have a double-whammy on Earth's climate!
> One, decreased solar energy output will obviously mean less energy
> getting to Earth.  That means cooling for Earth.  Now, we can
possibly
> add in the effect of more cosmic rays meaning more cloud cover,
which
> will further reduce the amount of solar energy reaching the Earth's
> surface.  More cooling!  One could easily see how an extended period
> of solar inactivity could lead to an ice age!

NASA Science News for March 14, 2003

The ongoing El Nino climate disturbance has a unusual personality.
It's weak where it should be strong, warm where it should be cold.
And now it seems about to end earlier than expected. One word sums it
up: Quirky.

FULL STORY at

http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2003/14mar_elnino2002.htm?
list161332