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#209 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Mon Feb 23, 2009 10:09 am
Subject: M E T S O C I E T Y N E W S L E T T E R J A N U A R Y C L I P S 2009
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MetSocblusmall.jpgMet Society Newsletter

 

JANUARY  WEATHER CLIPPINGS

For a printable pdf of this newsletter : http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/clips200901.pdf 

 

Unseasonal weather takes toll in south

By WILL HINE in Queenstown  | Saturday, 03 January 2009 Southland Times

©BARRY HARCOURT/135381

MUDBATH: Alan Chalmers of the Te Anau Rodeo Club inspecting the club's rodeo ground yesterday afternoon. The annual event was cancelled after consistent rain turned the arena into a quagmire.

Unseasonal weather caused disruption and discomfort through the south yesterday as wind, rain and cold hit areas from Invercargill to Central Otago.

Heavy downpours in the south-west prompted the cancellation of today's Te Anau rodeo and forced campers to take refuge in their tents while temperatures plummeted in Queenstown, strong winds tore down powerlines and tree limbs in Alexandra and a rodeo in Wanaka yesterday ended in a mudbath.

Metservice forecaster Andy Downs said more than 100mm of rain fell in Fiordland in a 24-hour period spanning the first two days of the year.

In Invercargill, persistent rain caused blocked drains to flood, while further north a crowd of about 2000 at the Wanaka Rodeo and sat out heavy rain and a quickfire thunderstorm to watch events from beneath an array of makeshift shelters created from tarpaulins and horse blankets. (Abridged)

 

Hail Storm Hits North Canterbury Farmers

Tuesday, 6 January 2009, 3:56 pm Scoop
Press Release: Federated Farmers

“The man who survived for more than 30 hours adrift on a jet ski during Saturday’s hail storm was incredibly lucky, but that storm hit many North Canterbury cropping farmers hard,” says Paul Stackhouse, North Canterbury Federated Farmers Grain and Seed chairman.

“The golf ball sized hail stones that swept across North Canterbury on Saturday carved a six to eight kilometre path of destruction through crops, with the damage estimated to be well in excess of one million dollars.

 “I know of one farmer who incurred $250,000 worth of damage to his crops. A number of Rape Seed crops were also badly affected by the hail stones. This includes one farmer who saw some 40 hectares of crops literally stripped bare.

“The heaviest hail stones fell from the Waimakariri River to north of Amberley. If farmers had crops of any kind under that storm when it hit those crops would have suffered damage.

 

 

PURPLE PADDOCKS

Wed 7 Jan 2009, Timaru Herald

Harvesting pacific blue lavender near Geraldine yesterday were volunteers Mark and Gary Shade. The men harvested about 40 rows which were then transported immediately to the distillery in Amberley. Lavender is grown commercially for extraction of lavender oil from the flowers. This oil can be used as an antiseptic and for aroma therapy. Lavender can also be used in potpourri and dried and sealed in pouches it can be stored among items of clothing to give a fresh fragrance and as a deterrent to moths.

Sunblock and hats were the order of the day yesterday with temperatures hitting 28C, and going by the forecast the hot weather is here to stay for the next few days anyway. According to the Metservice it was 28C at the Richard Pearse Airport at 4pm yesterday, meeting the day's expected high.  Today people can prepare for an even warmer day with a forecast high of 31C, and the shade cloth will be needed tomorrow with Timaru predicted to hit 33C.

 

Hot weather blasts NZ, melts Desert Road - more to come

08 Jan 2009 NZ HERALD

Hot weather blasted the country today with temperatures in Christchurch reaching 40 degrees Celsius.

Hotter than normal temperatures were widespread over New Zealand with 12 locations between Timaru and Gisborne recording temperatures of more than 30degC, MetService spokesman Bob McDavitt said.

Rain was pummelling Stewart Island and parts of Southland but the weather was fine from Queenstown north, he said.

The MetService had recorded air temperatures up to 35.7degC in Christchurch, which made it the hottest day of the summer so far and neared its January record high of 35.9degC in 1979.

However, Christchurch-based weather analyst Richard Green told the New Zealand Herald thermometers reached 40degC in the early afternoon with the suburb of Barrington reaching 41degC, Cashmere 40degC and Christchurch city 38degC.

Mr McDavitt said this hot air was part of the weather system that brought temperatures to over 40degC in Sydney recently.

"The air is 20 to 25 degrees coming off the Tasman Sea and warming by around 10 degrees when it crosses the Southern Alps and spreads over the Canterbury plains."

Mr McDavitt advised people feeling stressed by the heat to drink more water, stay inside or go for a swim. (Abridged)

 

Heat rises, tempers flare

The Press | Friday, 09 January 2009

The hottest January day in Canterbury for 30 years set off fire alarms and sent thousands of people to the beaches yesterday.

Tempers flared at Sumner Beach, where Christchurch police had to break up a fight.

The official MetService temperature hit 35.7deg in Christchurch just before 3pm, just behind the highest January maximum of 35.9deg in 1979.

It was the hottest day in the city since March 1998, when the temperature reached 35.9deg. Amateur observers in Christchurch and North Canterbury reported unofficial highs between 38deg and 40deg.

The heat is set to continue today, with temperatures reaching 29deg or 30deg before a southerly sweeps in tonight.

Christchurch road workers did their best to stay a step ahead of the heat.

City Care drainage foreman Russell McDonald said workers were taking water and shade breaks every hour to ensure they did not suffer sunstroke.

"It really drains you. We're working in the middle of the road with no break from the sun, so it does slow you down," he said.

 

Heat wave may bring more cyclones

Taranaki Daily News | Friday, 09 January 2009 Taranaki Daily News

mhtml:file://C:\Documents%20and%20Settings\OEM\My%20Documents\_METSERVICE\_OPS\media\eclips\200901\200901mixed\Taranaki%20Daily%20News-heat%20wave.mht!http://www.stuff.co.nz/images/784508.jpg

CAMERON BURNELL/Taranaki Daily News

Andrea Polglasse and Esther Toylor-Pundie take 11-month-old Katelyn for a paddle at New Plymouth's Ngamotu Beach last night.

Taranaki sweltered under its hottest day of the summer yesterday - but escaped the extremes plaguing other parts of the country where the mercury zoomed into the high 30s.

The Desert Road melted and fires burned as temperatures soared across the country in what is forecast to be a long, dry summer.  MetService spokesman Bob McDavitt said the top temperature in Waiouru yesterday was 28.2C - but anything above 28C would melt the Desert Road. Tar melting was also reported north of Auckland.

Hotter than normal temperatures were widespread over New Zealand yesterday, with 35.7C recorded in Christchurch. In New Plymouth, the temperature reached 24.2C at the city weather site.

Niwa's National Climate Centre's seasonal outlook for January to March shows summer is set to be a hot one for most regions - but scientists have also warned the warmer weather could also bring more cyclones our way.  Niwa's climate outlook for January to March says La Nina conditions would mean more north-easterly winds, which bring moist conditions to the north-east of the North Island, and reduced rainfall to the south and south-west of the South Island.

Winding up on the sand

The Dominion Post | Friday, 09 January 2009

KENT BLECHYNDEN/The Dominion Post

Visiting players from Brazil, got their first taste of Wellington weather which turned out to be hot and not too windy yesterday as they prepared for this weekend's beach volleyball tournament at Oriental Bay.
Athletes Nina Zgoda, 22, and Fernanda Costa, 18, had not visited New Zealand before but they had heard tales about Wellington. "The first thing we heard was about the wind, that it is a windy city. When you play volleyball in the wind it means you have to be very patient.

 

34.6 - It was our hottest day on record!

10.01.2009  By Don Farmer   Wairarapa Times Age

Plenty of youngsters enjoying a dip at the Masterton pool. Photo: Matt Stewart

If you got a bit hot under the collar on Thursday there was a good reason, it was officially the hottest day on record in Wairarapa.

Temperatures peaked at 34.6 degrees Celsius recorded at the automatic weather station at Te Ore Ore, just east of Masterton and only fractionally lower at the East Taratahi climate station that recorded a top of 34.3 degrees at 5.30pm.

The previous highest official temperatures were 33.1 degrees at Te Ore Ore on a January day in 2006 and 34.1 in 2004 at East Taratahi.

Weather experts said it could be that people taking their own readings got an even higher result but the official temperatures had to be recorded using a strictly scientific method and proper recording equipment.

Andrew Tait, of NIWA in Wellington, said climate station thermometers are housed inside a Stevenson screen, or instrument shelter, that shields the instruments from direct heat radiation but allows air to circulate freely around them.

The wooden box with louvres is situated 1.2 metres above ground.

Wairarapa records have been taken at East Taratahi only since 1973 and at Te Ore Ore since 1992.

According to NIWA' s records the highest temperatures ever recorded anywhere in New Zealand were on February 7, 1973 when the mercury skyrocketed to 42.4 degrees Celsius at Rangiora in Canterbury and to 39.2 degrees at Ruatoria in the central North Island.

Both fall far short of the highest temperature recorded across the Tasman where 53 degrees Celsius in Cloncurry, Queensland, holds the record.

That temperature was recorded in 1889.  Abridged

 

Extreme weather starting to pressure insurance premiums

Tue, 13 Jan 2009 7:21p.m.  3News

The weather of 2008 had as much of an economic impact on us as an environmental one. Severe droughts and storms highlighted a year that proved to be both expensive and extreme.

“Climate change and weather related disasters are now probably the most significant thing that the insurance industry is dealing with,” says the Insurance Council’s Chris Ryan.

 “The biggest extreme in terms of cost to the country was the drought last summer, and that’s been estimated to have cost about a billion dollars in lost agricultural production,” says Dr Jim Renwick of the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA).

MAF puts the cost at closer to $1.4 billion to the economy and Federated Farmers said the drought was out of the ordinary.

NIWA says last year’s severe droughts and flash flood are something we can expect more of.

And this will come at a cost.

“I think what climate change is doing now and the pressures it is putting on New Zealand is costing the insurance industry such a significant amount that premiums are almost certain to rise,” says Mr Ryan.

3 News

 

Slip, slop, slap or risk skin cancer

14.01.2009  Northern Advocate

It's especially important that children slip, slop, slap and wrap. Picture/supplied

by Lindy Laird

A fair-skinned person caught outside and unprotected in Whangarei today could, in less than 15 minutes, suffer a serious injury that will eventually prove fatal.

Niwa predicted that today's ultra violet (UV) index in Whangarei would be 13, or extreme. Most days in the past week have been over 10.

Without sunblock or shade, a fair-skinned person's skin would start to fry in less than 15 minutes, with a dark-skinned or Polynesian person taking possibly twice as long.

In 20 to 30 years, says Jim Callaghan from Cancer Society Northland, the result of that sunburn could be melanoma. In New Zealand 1800 new cases developed last year, and of the other less deadly forms of skin cancer, there were 45,000 new cases. Over 90 per cent of all skin cancers stem from sun damage. “It's usually childhood sunburn that causes the cancer that shows up later in life."

Niwa defines the "alert period" as the period when the clear sky ultra violet index forecast is greater than 3. When the UVI is 3, damage to fair skin can occur in less than 1 hour. When the UVI is 12, damage to fair skin can occur in less than 15 minutes.

 

Weather bomb hits the Bay

15.Jan 2009  BOP Times

PICTURE: BRUCE TAYLOR: Vehicles slow as they make their way on SH29 through the Kaimai Range about 5.50pm yesterday

Thunder, lightning and hail wreaked havoc across Katikati and the Kaimai Range last night, setting shelter belt trees alight, flooding buildings and causing chaos on the roads.

Katikati chief fire officer Joe Manukau said buildings and streets were flooded almost instantly.

"We just had a deluge, all in a matter of about an hour, then it was all over," he said.  Pipes and drains were quickly blocked, he said, prompting calls from property owners whose houses were flooding.  Abridged

 

 

31 foot launch hoisted by water spout

January 15, 2009  Newstalk ZB

A waterspout near Great Barrier Island has picked up a 31 foot launch and thrown it down on its side.

Occupants of vessels in Smokehouse Bay said there was no wind prior to the spout, but then at 10.50pm a "screaming wall of wind" came over the hill and everyone on the bay hunkered down for safety.

Coastguard says the launch was picked up and dumped on its side, leaving the two people aboard with cuts and bruises. The launch was reported to be taking on water but has suffered no serious damage.

The waterspout's arrival at Great Barrier Island followed an awe-inspiring electrical storm in the area that continued for well over an hour.

 

Lights, camera ... and action

4:00AM Friday Jan 16, 2009 NZ Herald Isaac Davison

Spectators watch from Narrowneck Beach in Devonport as lightning flashes in the Auckland sky. Photo / Brett Phibbs

It was the best show in town, and admission was free.

Herald photographer Brett Phibbs captured this remarkable image about 10.30 on Wednesday night as spectators on Narrowneck Beach in Devonport gazed at a spectacular lightning storm which swept the skies above Auckland.

At the storm's peak, 1200 lightning strikes an hour were recorded over the upper North Island, said the Weatherwatch Centre.

Metservice weather ambassador Bob McDavitt said the electrical storm was the result of sea breezes converging over the Coromandel Peninsula.

"Auckland had only a light breeze, with clear skies, but when this south-west wind met still air in the Coromandel, it produced a lot of moisture in the air, and a large storm.  It has been a while since we have had a large electrical storm. A lot of static electricity must have built up in the atmosphere."

 

RARE TWISTER SEEN OVER SUMNER

Ian Steward - Canterbury | Monday, 19 January 2009  The Cave (Website)

BENN CLEMENCE

"A particularly fine example'' of a waterspout near Scarborough Hill.

A waterspout that graced the Sumner skyline yesterday could have caused significant damage if it had made landfall, an expert says.

The rare atmospheric phenomenon, similar to a tornado, was spotted off Scarborough Beach about 10am yesterday.

Sumner resident Tim Clemence said he was surfing when he noticed the waterspout.  "It was absolutely phenomenal. It came down like a little finger out of the cloud. It went all silent and quiet eerily quiet. It just exploded when it hit the water. It looked like it was vacuuming the surface of the sea."

Clemence paddled back to shore to get a camera and the waterspout moved around Sumner Head towards Taylors Mistake and Lyttelton Harbour.

Blueskies Weather forecaster Tony Trewinnard said yesterday's "unstable" atmosphere, with temperature and wind structure supporting rapidly rising air currents, suited the development of the spout.

If some of those rapidly rising currents got a little bit of rotation from wind swirling off hills or cliffs, a vortex that gained in intensity and wind speed could form, he said.  Over water, the sea was sucked into the vortex, which made the air current visible.  If the waterspout had made landfall, it "would have caused some trouble", Trewinnard said.  "It's not going to cause mass destruction, but it would be enough to blow out windows or destroy sheds."

Trewinnard said the waterspout's narrow diameter 10 or 20 metres meant destruction would have been contained and selective.  Trewinnard said he had witnessed several waterspouts but yesterday's was "a particularly fine example".

Thunder storms lash Christchurch

Mon 19 Jan 2009 Newstalk ZB/One News

Almost 2,000 lightning strikes were recorded in Christchurch on Sunday when a  storm hit the city.  A combination of a low pressure system and hot summer sun caused the thunder storms, which was most severe between 3pm and 5pm.

The lightning strikes also caused several brief power outages across the city.

Large swathes of Canterbury have been pelted with hail and drenched by heavy rain in another freak summer storm.  More than 20 millimetres of rain fell in Christchurch and Ashburton, flooding streets and houses, and leaving hundreds of homes without power.

 

Storm gives city short sharp shock

SAM McKNIGHT - | Tuesday, 20 January 2009 Southland Times

JUST A QUICK SHOWER: A car ploughs through a flooded intersection of Tay and Lorn streets in Invercargill during Saturday's storm.

Thunder, lightning and rain lashed Invercargill on Saturday, inundating emergency services, causing widespread surface flooding and disrupting events across the city.

MetService severe weather forecaster Chris Noble said the storm dumped about 19mm on the city 30 minutes from 6pm, a significant amount in such a short time.

There were 160 lightning strikes, with many centred on the city, while one woman said she saw lightning strike Invercargill's landmark water tower.

 

NEW ZEALAND INSURANCE EXPECTED TO RISE AFTER STORMY 2008

January 20, 2009  TVNZ

Insurance can be costly, and it's about to get more expensive as the risk from climate related disasters increases due to global warming.
In 2008, five storms cost insurers more than $86 million with July seeing the highest number of storm related claims for a single month ever.  The first event was windstorms and flooding that affected nearly all parts of the North Island, costing $26 million.   It was followed three days later by another storm that caused even more damage to areas in the lower South Island and the North Island costing $42 million.

Later in the year a brief but intense hailstorm damaged around 3,500 vehicles, a number of house spoutings and conservatories, and many skylights in commercial buildings. "Insurers are still counting the cost of the November Canterbury hailstorms estimated to cost insurers between $10m to $12 million," says council insurance manager, John Lucas.
All the bad weather has experts estimating that insurance premiums will rise by 5% - 10% in 2009.

 

Hay days far from relaxing  

Nelson Mail 20 Jan 2009

Cut and dried: Steve Sangster hard at work bailing hay on a Brightwater property last week

This summer has been a bumper season for hay and baleage but it has not been without its stresses, reports Laura Basham. Making hay while the sun shines sounds good, but it also means fielding a lot of stressful phone calls.  The problem this summer has been that the sun did not shine much before Christmas, and while there has been a lovely three-week dry spell until last weekend, and bumper crops, there is also a backlog for contractors.  Abridged

 

Shine taken off town's pride

Thursday Jan 22, 2009 By Alanah May Eriksen  NZ Herald

Marketing manager Mary Hermanson wants Whakatane recognised as the sunniest town in New Zealand. Photo / Alan Gibson

Marketing manager Mary Hermanson wants Whakatane recognised as the sunniest town in New Zealand. Photo / Alan Gibson

Whakatane has demanded a recount after being disqualified from winning the coveted title of Sunshine Capital of New Zealand.  The annual accolade, described as a "million-dollar marketing opportunity", is highly contested among the country's hotspots.

Blenheim was awarded the gong by the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (Niwa) last week after it recorded 2505 hours of sunshine for 2008. But it may be stripped of its crown after scientists re-test Whakatane's readings.  The Eastern Bay of Plenty town recorded 2703 hours on their sunshine sensor last year and the council was hoping to back up the town's current slogan: Living with the sun. But Niwa decided the number was abnormally high and the town was disqualified.

After much protest from Eastern Bay economic development agency, Toi-EDA, Niwa checked the sensor on Tuesday and found no fault. Toi-EDA marketing manager Mary Hermanson said the equipment was only two years old and that particular model was purchased under the advice of Niwa so it couldn't be faulty.

She said the hours probably seemed high because the council only started recording in 2007 so there was not much to compare them to.

The decoder, on the roof of a building at the town's oxidation ponds, was purchased from Norway for about $5000 as part of a town fundraiser in September 2006 to get the town on the map. The machine sends information back to Whakatane District Council each day.

Whakatane came third in the sunny stakes in 2007 with 2550 hours. Blenheim again took the top position, followed by Lake Tekapo.

"It's just funny how when we came third no one questioned it but now that we had a chance at first, they come calling," Ms Hermanson said.

Mayor for the Marlborough District Council, which includes Blenheim, Alistair Sowman, said Whakatane had "come out of the blue a wee bit".

"Good luck to them. If they are the sunniest town I have no issue with it but it has to be a fair competition."

Niwa has said the machine could be measuring parts of cloudy days instead of completely cloudless hours.  It plans to install a second sunshine recorder, similar to the type used in Blenheim, next to the current one for a month.  If data from both machines is the same, Blenheim will be stripped of the title and Whakatane will be crowned sunniest spot in New Zealand.

 

Good as Gold

Marlborough Express, 23 Jan 2009 Blair Ensor

As the apricot season draws to a close, Marlborough Express reporter BLAIR ENSOR catches up with one of the few stone fruit growers left in Marlborough.  

Murray is the first to admit that it's been a below-par season, with cold weather and rain hampering pollination and lowering fruit volume.  An unusual cold snap in late August and early September kept the bees in their hives.  At other key times in the season, however, the weather was on his side.  Abridged

 

Hot weather staying around for anniversary party

 Saturday Jan 24, 2009  NZ Herald By Alanah May Eriksen

An orange sunset silhouettes a fisherman on Devonport Wharf. Photo / Brett Phibbs

The long weekend will be a perfect opportunity to hit the beach and catch some rays for most areas. Auckland Anniversary Day on Monday coincides with several events around the top of the North Island, leaving residents spoiled for choice.

MetService forecaster Andy Best said it would be mostly sunny skies in Auckland this weekend with maximum temperatures reaching 25C today, tomorrow and on Monday.

Clouds and light sea breezes expected in the area during the afternoon will make perfect conditions for Monday's Oceanbridge Auckland Anniversary Day Regatta on the Waitemata Harbour - the largest single-day regatta in the world, first held 169 years ago.

 

Phew! It ain’t half hot mum.
 Tues 27 Jan 2009  Ashburton Guardian 

Jen Sheppard had her hands full while keeping cool in the Hinds pool with – from left – Ben Sheppard, 3, Holly Boyle, 23 months, Brandyn Boyle, 6, and Sara Sheppard, 23 months.
Photo Carmen Rooney 250109-CR-124

Phew! It ain’t half hot mum. Those famous words from the 1970s British sitcom of the same name would have fitted in well with the searing summer heat which sapped the Ashburton District during the weekend.
Pool swimmers, beach-goers, campers, trampers, marching band members and anyone who ventured outside of the safety of their own home was hit by a wave of humid heat (33 degrees officially yesterday and 40% humidity, but there were unofficial reports that Darfield reached 35 degrees and Oxford hit 37).

AUST HEATWAVE SIGN OF CLIMATE CHANGE TVNZ/Reuters  29 Jan 2009

A heatwave scorching southern Australia, causing transport chaos by buckling rail lines and leaving more than 140,000 homes without power, is a sign of climate change, the government said.

The Bureau of Meteorology is forecasting a total of six days of 40-plus Celsius (104 Fahrenheit) temperatures for southern Australia, which would equal the worst heatwave in 100 years.

Climate Change Minister Penny Wong said the heatwave, which started on Wednesday, was the sort of weather scientists had been warning about.  "Eleven of the hottest years in history have been in the last 12, and we also note, particularly in the southern part of Australia, we're seeing less rainfall," Wong told reporters.

"All of this is consistent with climate change, and all of this is consistent with what scientists told us would happen."

The maximum temperature in southern Australia on Thursday was 46 degrees Celsius (114.8 Fahrenheit) in four towns.

In Melbourne, which recorded its hottest day in 70 years at 44 degrees Celsius (111 Fahrenheit) on Thursday, rail lines buckled and trains were cancelled, stranding thousands of hot and angry commuters.

The heatwave forced the Australian Open tennis tournament in Melbourne to suspend outside matches, with officials closing the retractable roof over the main stadium for the past two days.

Australia is one of the most vulnerable nations to climate change due to its hot, dry climate and is already gripped by drought. Fire bans have been declared in southern Australia to prevent major bushfires but small fires are already burning.

 

TV rivals fight to be first with Tauranga forecast

30.01.2009   BOPP Times by Reon Suddaby

The weather wars have broken out in Tauranga, with TV3 set to trump rival broadcaster TVNZ by giving the city its own spot on the 3 News weather forecast from tonight - and a weather camera is not far away either.

TV3 director of news and current affairs Mark Jennings this morning told the Bay of Plenty Times that Tauranga's growing population was the catalyst for the city getting its own detailed weather forecast, alongside Auckland, Hamilton, Wellington, Christchurch and Dunedin.

 


#210 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Mon Mar 2, 2009 5:53 am
Subject: NOTICE OF SPECIAL GENERAL MEETING OF THE MET SOCIETY
bobmcd2001
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Dear Members,
The Meteorological Society has recently applied to be a charitable entity. This will save the society and its members considerable money in taxes. In order to accept our application the charities commission requires a change to be made to section 18 of the constitution, which considers the disposition of property. At its last meeting the committee approved the calling of a Special General Meeting for Wednesday the 18th of March at 2pm. The meeting will be held in Wellington at NIWA, Greta Point, in the board room.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Section 18 of the constitution currently states:

In the event of dissolution of the Society the disposition of any assets shall be decided at the last General Meeting provided that any property whatsoever shall not be paid to or distributed among the members of the Society.

It is proposed that these words be replaced by:

If any property remains after winding up or dissolution of the Society and the settlement of all the Societies debts and liabilities, that property must be given or transferred to another organisation that is charitable under New Zealand law or for some other charitable purpose recognised under New Zealand law. The recipient organisation should be decided at the last General Meeting.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
There will also be two 15 minute seminars at the meeting. Mike Revell is confirmed to give one of these seminars on "The Meteorology of the recent Australian bushfires" . Mike was in Melbourne on what is now known as "Black Saturday" and will describe what it feels like to be in 46.8 degrees with 100 km an hour winds. I will confirm the second talk soon. There is plenty of free parking around the Greta Point campus. Please sign in at reception who will direct any visitors to the main conference room.
Best wishes to you all,
Sam Dean
Secretary of the Meteorological Society of New Zealand

#211 From: "bobmcd2001" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Thu Mar 12, 2009 9:09 am
Subject: MEETING 7 April 12:30pm at NIWA 41 Market Place, Vaiduct Basin , Auckland
bobmcd2001
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Please note that Richard McKenzie of NIWA, a world authority on UV from Lauder
is giving a talk on 7 April at 12.30pm in the NIWA Conference Room, 41 Market
Place, Viaduct Basin, Auckland Central.

Title:
"How to balance your benefits and risks of solar UV exposure" or
"Balancing Risk and benefits of UV exposure"

Author: R McKenzie, NIWA Lauder

Abstract:
It is well known that overexposure to UV radiation causes sunburn, which
can lead to skin cancer. New Zealand has one of the highest rates of
skin cancer in the world. However, there is also a risk from
underexposure to UV, since it leads to the production of beneficial
vitamin D in our bodies. Many New Zealanders have below-optimum vitamin
D for health, and it is not generally available from diet. I investigate
relationships between erythemally-weighted UV radiation that leads to
sunburn (which can lead to skin cancer) and vitamin D-weighted radiation
that is responsible for synthesis of vitamin D (which protects against
many conditions including bowel cancer). An algorithm is developed using
spectral measurements undertaken at Lauder Central Otago, and is used to
relate vitamin D production to the widely-used UV Index. This is then
used to calculate the behavioural patterns (exposure times and attire)
required to enable the public to optimize their exposure to UV
radiation. In the New Zealand summer at noon, there should be sufficient
UV to photosynthesize optimal vitamin D in ~1 minute for full body
exposure, whereas skin damage occurs after ~15 minutes. Further, while
it should be possible to photosynthesise vitamin D in the winter, the
amount of skin that must be exposed is larger than from the hands and
face alone. This raises the question of whether the action spectrum for
vitamin D production is correct, since previous studies have reported
that production of vitamin D is not possible in the winter at
mid-latitudes. However, evidence suggests that some supplementation of
vitamin D is desirable, at least in the south island winter. I describe
how a new HRC-funded research project involving NIWA addresses these
questions by tracking personal UV exposure and relating this to vitamin D
status.

The presentation is based on a paper that will soon appear in photochem
photobiol.www.photobiology.org .

Personal sketch
Dr Richard McKenzie is Principal Scientist (Radiation) at New Zealand's National
Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research (NIWA). He is based at NIWA's
laboratory at Lauder Central Otago, which is a charter site for the
International NDACC (Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change
- formerly known as the NDSC). He is closely involved with a wide range of
atmospheric state-of-the-art measurements relevant to ozone depletion and
climate change which are undertaken there. Interests include ozone depletion, UV
radiation and health, aerosols, and interactions between ozone depletion and
climate change. He also participates in UNEP and WMO Panels.
(Contact: r.mckenzie@...).

Richard's academic career:
BScHons(First class) Physics  University of Canterbury (1972)
MSc Physics  University of the South Pacific (1979)
D Phil Atmospheric Physics University of Oxford (1986)

#212 From: "Bob McDavitt" <bobmcdavitt@...>
Date: Sat Mar 28, 2009 11:02 am
Subject: M E T S O C N E W S E M A I L February Weather clippings
bobmcd2001
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Met Society Newsletter
 

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter: http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/clipsfeb2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their “March” newsletter

I  HAVE RECENTLY UPDATED OUR EMAIL LIST AND STARTED THE METSOCDN AND METSOCOS NEWSGROUPS TO COVER ALL OUR MEMBERSHIP AT LAST.

.                        SO,  FOR MANY OF YOU THIS WILL BE YOUR FIRST MET SOC NEWS EMAIL.

IF YOU WISH TO CHANGE YOUR EMAIL ADDRESS , OR WOULD RATHER NOT GET THESE NEWS EMAILS AS PART OF YOUR MET SOC MEMBERSHIP,

OR FOR SIMILAR PROBLEMS PLEASE REPLY TO THIS EMAIL,  OR EMAIL ME DIRECT AT bobmcdavitt@...

 

FEBRUARY WEATHER CLIPPINGS

Evacuated Mahia residents get all clear TVNZ/NZPA

Tuesday February 03, 2009 Gisborne Herald

Residents forced to evacuate their houses after a large scrub and forest fire took hold on the Mahia Peninsula near Wairoa have been given the all clear to return home. The fire, which had been burning since Sunday, was contained on Monday night after a hundred firefighters and three helicopters battled the blaze.

More than 140ha of forest and scrub burned in the fire, along with a number of buildings near Mahia Beach, and dozens of residents were evacuated.

Mahia resident Alice Wairau says many of the houses have also been overrun by cockroaches from the fire and fumigation will be the big problem for residents when they return home.  "The worst thing was the cockroaches that came out of the sand from the heat."  Wairau describes how armies of cockroaches have gone into YMCA Road homes. "They were running around to find somewhere cool."

(Abridged)

 

THE heat is on, Phew Zealand!

TAMMY BUCKLEY - Sunday News | Sunday, 08 February 2009

Godzone is set to swelter today as the heatwave wreaking havoc in Australia moves on to scorch our shores.  Parts of the country will bake under some of the hottest temperatures we've seen this year

Across the ditch Aussies have been sweltering in searing heat.  South Australia and Victoria were the worst affected last week enduring six consecutive days of temperatures reaching 45.  The heatwave has been blamed for a series of deaths in Adelaide and Melbourne and has disrupted power supplies leaving hundreds of thousands of homes in darkness.  New South Wales is also feeling the heat with emergency services bracing themselves for the hot conditions with temperatures there set to spike above 40 today.  Melbourne is also set for another day of 40 C weather today. (Abridged)

 

Country sizzles as temperatures soar

The Dominion Post | Monday, 09 February 2009

ANDREW GORRIE/The Dominion Post

SPLASH DOWN: Luke Brown of Auckland cools off at the Wellington waterfront. New Zealand sweltered with temperatures in Wairarapa, Marlborough and South Canterbury climbing well into the 30s yesterday.  MetService reported readings of 37.4 degrees celsius in Cheviot, North Canterbury and 35.5C in Marlborough.

Wellington enjoyed a slightly less stifling 25C but Martinborough topped 33C.

The central North Island was only marginally cooler, with Taupo and Taumarunui breaking 30C while Paeroa reached 32C.

MetService forecaster Paul Mallinson said hot winds with gusts up to 100kmh roared across Otago and Southland, pushing up the fire risk to extreme levels.

"With all this hot, dry weather there could have been some real problems ... but it looks as if we got away with it."

(Abridged)

 

Bushfires add amber glow to southern skies

By AMY MILNE - The Southland Times | Tuesday, 10 February 2009

Smoke from raging Australian bushfires added an amber glow to southern skies yesterday.

The amber haze was a result of warm northwesterly winds carrying smoke across the Tasman from the Victorian bushfires to the lower part of the South Island.

MetService weather ambassador Bob McDavitt said skies were likely to be clearer for southerners today as a cold front and rain were forecast.

"As the rain falls, it will run the smoke out of the clouds," Mr McDavitt said.

The hazy skies had brought warm temperatures to Southland.

Invercargill, Queenstown, Lumsden all had a high of 27 degrees celsius yesterday. Gore and Manapouri shared 26C, while Wanaka had 28C.

Invercargill's 45S Weather Services forecaster Andy Fraser said the cooler westerly shift today should bring sky clarity and temperatures back to normal tomorrow. (Abridged)

 

Wanganui and Palmerston North mop up

By KATIE CHAPMAN - Manawatu Standard | Wednesday, 11 February 2009

And NZPA

HOW FAR CAN WE GO: Kids walk through a flooded MacEwen Place. MURRAY WILSON/Manawatu Standard

Surface flooding swept through Palmerston North yesterday after an intense deluge.  The MetService said 64mm of rain fell in Wanganui on Tuesday and 51mm in Palmerston North, the bulk of it over a very short time.

Motorists were warned to take extreme care, as water - more than knee deep in some places - flooded into parked cars and closed roads.

There were reports of water entering houses, and sandbagging was carried out in the Heretaunga St area, near the Kawau Stream, and in Manuka St.

Parts of Fitzherbert Ave and Highbury Ave were also closed because of the flooding, and some cars trapped in the water had to be towed to drier land.

Chief fire officer Rodger Calder said fire services were yesterday rushed off their feet, attending 22 callouts by 6.30pm.  Until yesterday, only 4.6mm had fallen this month.

In Wanganui roads were closed and sandbags piled up as council and emergency services scrambled to cope with the downpour. The deluge overwhelmed the city's stormwater system leaving properties and roads  underwater.  The only people left smiling by the downpour were farmers, with local Federated Farmers president Brian Doughty commenting that the rain was welcome relief during a dry summer.   (Abridged)

 

Auckland hits record high temperature

12 Feb 2009 NZ Herald and  Elizabeth Binning Herald on Sunday

Auckland has experienced its hottest day in 137 years.

The overnight low last night did not drop below 22.1C, the highest overnight low for February since records on that began in 1961.

During the 3pm hour, the temperature at the official weather station at Whenuapai Airbase reached 32.4 degrees.

NIWA climate expert Jim Salinger says the temperature is the highest since their records began and equals a high recorded in the Auckland Domain 137 years ago, in 1872.

Weather analyst Philip Duncan says the extra hot weather was due to a sudden clearance of cloud in the skies along with a gusty nor'wester.  He says WeatherWatch.co.nz's thermometer in West Auckland recorded 34 degrees, fuelled by a hot nor'wester.

Mr Duncan says although humidity is lower today, the intense heat and sunnier skies means it feels much hotter - and a humidex reading of 38 was recorded.

South Island weather analyst Richard Green says far from Auckland's high, Christchurch is having its second coldest day of the summer. It was 12.8 degrees around 6pm and still raining.

MetService weather ambassador Bob McDavitt said that the warmest time of year is usually the first week of February, but humidity stays high until the end of February.  Sea surface temperatures, which make the air muggy with water vapour, peak in late February or early March.   Normally, humans cool down when sweat on their bodies evaporates into the air.  But overnight humidity in Auckland this week hovered around 100 per cent - the point where the air is saturated and sweat cannot evaporate from skin.

The hottest daytime temperature this month was in Culverdon, Canterbury, where it reached 38C.  The hottest temperature ever recorded in NZ was 42.4C during a heatwave in Rangiora, Canterbury, on February 7, 1973.  (Abridged)

(Newsletter comment:  Henderson in West Auckland holds a record of 33.1C measured 3 Feb 1998)

 

Authorities rally for $3 million weather radar

By Rebecca Fox on Fri, 20 Feb 2009   Otago Daily Times

Otago local authorities and industries need to join forces to lobby for a $3 million weather radar to be installed in the region to give early warnings of thunderstorms and heavy downpours, Otago Regional Council chairman Stephen Cairns says.

Weather radars, normally funded by the Government, were spread around the country, but the nearest to Otago was in Invercargill, which was of limited value here, Mr Cairns said.

Otago was a "black spot", but a radar would inform accurate forecasting to both help civil defence and emergency systems, plus boost economic development.

Government funding seemed unlikely, so regional authorities needed to unite and encourage financial backing from industry that would benefit from getting better weather forecasts.

Council environmental information and science director John Threlfall said storms, particularly on the east coast, could not now be predicted accurately. Radars enabled predicting a storm's extent and severity.

MetService last year said it would look at applying to the Government for approval for and funding of a radar in Otago.

 

Taranaki bears brunt of bad weather

By FELICITY ROOKES Taranaki Daily News | Saturday, 21 February 2009

Also NZPA/TVNZ

CAMERON BURNELL/Taranaki Daily News

Raging rivers: Taranaki rivers were full to the brim yesterday morning after heavy rain beat down on the region.

Swollen rivers threatened to burst as torrential rain battered Taranaki yesterday.

While the whole country was drenched, Taranaki got the heaviest dumping with 301mm at North Egmont, 174mm at Dawson Falls and 108mm at Inglewood.

New Plymouth and Stratford escaped the worst of it with 57mm and 65mm respectively.  New Plymouth Airport was closed for most of the day by low cloud and poor visibility.

"You're a wet place. Taranaki holds the top with Mt Egmont and 108mm is a lot for Inglewood, that's very heavy rain," MetService weather ambassador Bob McDavitt said.

A police spokesman in Auckland said there had been 12 traffic accidents in the upper part of the North Island since the rain hit, with one serious accident near Opotiki, in the Bay of Plenty, where a woman received serious injuries after her car rolled.  Emergency services attended incidents involving 21 fallen trees in the Tauranga area.  Blenheim received about 60mm, and parts of Nelson and the West Coast about 30mm. 

MetService spokesman Bob McDavitt said the rain is due to a low pressure system which is a combination of the one that brought floods to New South Wales earlier in the week and the remains of Tropical Cyclone Innis from near New Caledonia.

In Wellington, a massive downpour brought a month's worth of rain in just a few hours and sparked health warnings after raw sewage poured into Wellington Harbour and Lyall Bay.

The downpour overwhelmed the city's drainage system yesterday morning sending untreated sewage into a street near Courtenay Place, just a day before the entertainment zone hosts the Cuba St Carnival parade.  The city copped 69mm of rain yesterday, well over the expected entire February average of 62mm. (Abridged)

 

Sun shines on Cuba St.  Carnival

Stuff.co.nz | Saturday, 21 February 2009

BATHED IN SUNSHINE: the weather gods have smiled on Wellington for the Cuba Street Carnival, with yesterday's deluge a distant memory.

Thousands of people have packed into central Wellington streets for the 10th anniversary edition of the carnival.

Revellers said it was hot and people were packed shoulder to shoulder in Cuba Street this afternoon, with forecast strong northerlies turning out to be relatively benign. (Abridged)

 

Heavy rainfall predicted for weekend

By Rebecca Fox on Sat, 21 Feb 2009 Otago Daily Times

St Clair Salt Water Pool regular Veronica Parker enjoys the 27degC water in the rain. Photo by Stephen Jaquiery.

Between 100-140mm was expected to fall in the eastern hills between 8pm yesterday and about midnight tonight, MetService forecaster Oliver Druce said last night.   "It won't be unusually intense rain, but there will be a lot of it over about 30 hours." The heaviest falls were likely to be this morning, easing off to light rain tomorrow and showers on Monday.

Mr Druce said people should expect smaller rivers which began in the eastern hills to rise somewhat. River levels were still below average last night, according to the Otago Regional Council's automated telephone service. Most river levels were steady, but the Kakanui was rising.

MetService weather ambassador Bob McDavitt said eastern Otago weather had been pretty close to normal for a February, except for the low pressure system off the Chatham Islands, which produced eight days of sou'westers.

Mr McDavitt said early February temperatures hit 33degC (on the 8th) and the average temperature for the month was 14degC, only one degree less than the long-term mean. Temperatures at night were still in double figures.

Dunedin hydrologist Dave Stewart said the country was being impacted by a La Nina weather pattern similar to last summer, but it was producing different weather to last February.  "It's not ideal summer weather. It remains to be seen how long this weather pattern will last."

However, the region was likely to get more summer weather in March and April.

 

Flooded rivers begin to drop

The Timaru Herald | Saturday, 21 February 2009

JEFF TOLLAN/Timaru Herald

The Te Ngawai River, near Pleasant Point had a peak flow of 255cumecs today, after registering just half a cumec on Friday.

PAUL O'ROURKE/Timaru Herald

Full force: Water races past the Pareora Dam.

South Canterbury's flooded rivers were starting to drop late this afternoon as the heavy rain that has drenched the region over the past 36 hours eased as it moved south.  But residents in Waimate have been asked to conserve water and to also boil it, as with water users in the Waitaki area.

Over the past 36 hours up to 150mm of rain fell in the South Canterbury foothills resulting in moderate floods in all South Canterbury's rivers and streams, Phil Lees, Environment Canterbury's (ECan) Flood Controller said this afternoon.
There has also been extensive surface flooding including water lying across State Highway One in at least 10 places between Timaru and Glenavy to the south and also on State Highway 82 between Waimate and Kurow.

 River and rainfall information is updated regularly at http://www.ecan.govt.nz/

 

Westport Weather Makes TVNZ Map

Monday 23 February, 2009
The west coast town of Westport will debut on the TVNZ weather map during ONE NEWS this evening marking the start of a daily forecast for Buller in all TVNZ weather bulletins. 

Jim Hickey has the honour of unveiling the new map and delivering the first forecast for Westport at 6:50pm tonight, “I’m a Westie, I grew up in New Plymouth on the North Island’s West Coast and so I appreciate how dominant the weather is and how much the hardly folk of Buller love their environment”.

 “Although the West Coast is famous for its wild weather and blustery westerlies, the first forecast for Westport is for a windless warm day, so calm in fact we don’t expect to get a wind direction reading”.

ONE News Editor, Paul Patrick decided to include Westport on the weather map despite its small population, “Only 3,900 people live in Westport but the weather has a significant impact on lifestyles and livelihoods and it also brings it into line with the rest of the country where we have a forecast for the biggest urban area in each province or major region”.

Hokitika and Greymouth will remain on the weather map and from this evening Westport will feature in all TVNZ weather forecasts including: Breakfast, Midday, Te Karere, ONE News 4:30pm, ONE News 6pm, Tonight and all bulletins on TVNZ7.  

 

New Auckland base for NIWA

25 February 2009

Minister for Research, Science and Technology Wayne Mapp opened the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research’s new premises at the Viaduct Harbour in Auckland today.

The move to the refitted historic City Market building on Market Place from landlocked Khyber Pass Road brings NIWA closer to many of their key clients.

 “The choice of the Viaduct is an expression of confidence in the future, and its profile in the science community.  It gives an opportunity to showcase the importance of science, and particularly NIWA’s role in oceanographic and climate research,” Dr Mapp said.

“The role that NIWA has in these areas is of global significance.  To have members of the NIWA team among the group of scientists who received the Nobel Peace Prize is a great testament to the quality of the climate research.

“NIWA’s marine aquaculture is pioneering, particularly in the cultivating of paua.  This is how whole new markets and products are developed. Their work in oceanographic and climate research is among the most important scientific research of the 21st century. I’m sure they will keep delivering that here, right by the ocean, one of the main focuses of their work.”

The renovated building contains NIWA’s corporate head office and laboratory space for its scientists. “NIWA’s decision to renovate, rather than buy new, and the smart and efficient environmental choices made in that renovation, reflect the contemporary urban scene and New Zealand’s pride in its environment,” the Minister said.

“This new building shows an organisation that is strong and confident.  It is a commitment to the people who make up NIWA. I congratulate the NIWA management and research teams on that expression of confidence, which is now so important, not just for yourselves but also the wider community.”

ENDS

 

 

Wet weather postpones Ellerslie Derby Day

Saturday February 28, 2009  Newstalk ZB / ONE Sport

 

 

Auckland's wet weather has forced New Zealand Derby Day at Ellerslie to be been postponed by 24 hours.

After inspecting the track and assessing the latest weather forecasts officials have decided to call-off Saturday's racing.

Auckland Racing chief executive Chris Weaver said the track was passed safe to ride on but after consulting the Met Service again they decided to postpone the meet.

The race meeting is headlined by the two point two million dollar New Zealand Derby, the country's richest horse race.

 


#213 From: "Bob McDavitt" <bobmcdavitt@...>
Date: Wed Apr 1, 2009 1:33 am
Subject: M E T S O C N E W S E M A I L summer 2009
bobmcd2001
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Met Society Newsletter

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter: http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/summer2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their “March” newsletter

 

Climate Summary for Summer 2008-09

Wet in many areas; mild and sunny in the North Island and northern South Island; heat wave in early February.

  • Rainfall: Above normal in the north, west and south of the North Island, Marlborough, mid- and south Canterbury and Otago; below normal in Hawke’s Bay and Westport
  • Temperature: Above average for most of the North Island and the north of the South Island; below average in mid- and south Canterbury, Otago and coastal Southland.
  • Sunshine: Near normal for most of New Zealand; below normal in Otago and Southland

Summer rainfall was above normal (120 – 150% of normal) in parts of Northland, Auckland, Waikato, Manawatu, Wellington and Otago. Some locations in Marlborough and south Canterbury received nearly double their normal summer rainfall totals. Hawke’s Bay and Westport received between 50 and 80 percent of normal summer rainfall. Other areas received near normal rainfall for summer. Severe soil moisture deficits in many eastern areas of the country eased to near normal levels by the end of February.

Summer overall was warmer than average (by between 0.5 and 1.5°C) for most of the North Island and the north of the South Island. A significant heat wave was experienced in many parts of the country from 7 – 12 February, when several record high temperatures were set. Temperatures were below the long-term summer average by between 0.5 and 1.5°C throughout much of inland mid- and south Canterbury, Otago and coastal Southland. The national average temperature of 16.7 °C was 0.1 °C above average for summer.

December and January’s climate was dominated by more ‘highs’ (anticyclones) to the east of the country and more ‘lows’ (depressions) than normal in the Tasman sea, resulting in stronger than normal north-easterly winds over the country. In February, the first two weeks were very warm, associated with frequent warm north-westerly wind flows onto the country, whereas the last two weeks were dominated by more southerly airflows onto the South Island than normal for this time of year, which contributed to the cool temperatures in the south.

Major Highlights

  • Heavy rain fell in Queenstown and on the West Coast overnight on 2 January. River levels in the Haast and Callery (near Franz Josef) Rivers rose quickly as a result. On 3 January, thunder and hail in Christchurch forced the postponement of the international cricket match against the West Indies, while large, 2 cm hailstones whipped across roads and buildings in Waipara, bringing traffic to a standstill, and denting cars.
  • On 20 February, severe rain caused surface flooding in parts of Wellington, Levin, and Palmerston North, and caused raw sewage to overflow into central Wellington, the harbour, and Lyall Bay. In Tauranga, the severe rain caused the postponement of the Kapa Haka festival, the first time this had happened in 36 years. In South Canterbury and north Otago, surface flooding affected SH1 and SH8, and closed some minor roads.
  • Several locations experienced record or near-record high summer maximum and minimum temperatures in the six day “heat wave” from the 7th to the 12th of February. The highest temperature during summer 2008/09 was 38.0°C recorded at Culverden on the 8th of February (the highest summer maximum temperature for this location). The minimum temperature of 22.5°C at Tauranga airport on the night of the 10th/11thof February was the highest minimum for the country for summer (and the highest summer minimum temperature at that location since records began in 1941).
  • The lowest temperature during summer was recorded at Hanmer Forest on 6 December where the minimum temperature was -1.7°C (not a summer record for this location). A cold southerly air flow persisted for three days from 11 – 14 February resulting in minimum temperatures of -1.0°C at Ranfurly, ‑0.6°C at Manapouri, 1.7°C at Queenstown and 1.9°C at Dunedin airport.
  • Of the six main centres, Tauranga was the warmest and sunniest, Wellington the wettest, and Christchurch was the driest.

For further information, please contact:

Dr Andrew Tait – Climate Scientist a.tait@...

Dr James Renwick – Principal Scientist j.renwick@...

Michele Hollis – NIWA Communications Manager m.hollis@...

Acknowledgement of NIWA as the source is required. Copyright NIWA Science ©2009

 

NOTABLE WEATHER IN NEW ZEALAND - SUMMER 2008-09

 

This summer was a mixed bag, with spells of settled and often warm weather, but some unsettled periods as well. The second half of February was the most unsettled, with two major low pressure systems affecting the country.

 

DECEMBER 2008

·           2nd - Thunderstorms in Otago and Southland.

·           3rd - Heavy rain in Fiordland. 30C maximum in Hastings.

·           4th - Thunderstorms with heavy rain about and west of the Southern Alps. Cropp records 250mm; Mt Cook Village 296mm. Two Japanese climbers trapped by storm near summit of Mt Cook. (One dies before the other is rescued) 32C maximum in Napier; 31C in Kaikoura.

·           5th - A few heavy showers in Northland.

·           6th - Chilly start to day in inland South Island, eg -1C minimum at Hanmer Forest.

·           8th - Heavy rain in Fiordland and Westland, eg 130mm at Homer Tunnel, and 121mm at Cropp.

·           9th - Only 12C maximum in Ashburton, as a damp, cool southerly affects Canterbury.

·           12th - Cool 12C maximum in Dunedin in a southerly flow. (Overnight hail in city affects cricket pitch prior to test)

·           15th - Heavy rain (especially about the ranges) in west from Westland to Taranaki; also Nelson. (Maitai River close to flooding by evening) Cropp records 145mm; North Egmont 212mm.

·           19th - Heavy rain developing about and west of the Southern Alps. Totals through to 20th, include 369mm at Cropp, and 187mm at Arthurs Pass.

·           20th - Heavy rain in northwest of South Island; also some (welcome) heavy falls in Canterbury and North Otago. Fresh snow on Canterbury and Otago mountains, with 10cm locally settling as low as Mt Cook Village where maximum temperature is only 5C. Other unusually low daytime maximums include only 8C in Wanaka (lowest December maximum since records began in 1972), 9C in Queenstown and Darfield, and 10C in Oamaru, Timaru and Dunedin.

·           21st - Only 12C maximum in Ashburton in a light southerly flow.

·           24th - Welcome rain in east of North Island.

·           25th - Rather chilly Christmas day about east coast of South Island. Only 12C maximum in Dunedin, and 13C maximums in Timaru and Ashburton.

·           28th - Very warm day in many eastern parts of South Island. 32C maximum in Culverden; 31C In Timaru; 30C in Dunedin.

·           29th - 33C maximum in Culverden; 31C in Alexandra.

·           30th - 31C maximum in Hanmer.

 

 

JANUARY 2009

·           1st-3rd - Storms, including gales, thunder, hail and a small tornado. (see details below)

·           4th - Chilly 3C minimum in Taupo.

·           8th - Very high temperatures in many areas, especially in east. 37C maximums recorded at Waione (Wairarapa), Culverden and Hillmorton. (Christchurch) January records include 30C in Ohakune and 36C in Cheviot.

·           9th - Wind gusts (reported in some media as small tornado) causes damage at Bannockburn, Central Otago.

·           10th - Heavy rain in central NZ areas exposed to northwest. Some heavy showers in Auckland in afternoon, due to sea-breeze convergence.

·           11th/12th - Welcome rain in Gisborne and Hawkes Bay, with heavy falls about the ranges of northern Hawkes Bay and Gisborne.

·           12th -14th - Afternoon thunderstorms in northern and central North Island; also inland Buller on 13th. A line of severe thunderstorms from west of Taupo north to Great Barrier Island on afternoon and evening of 14th. Heavy downpours cause surface flooding in some places, plus heavy hail disrupts travel across Kaimai Range between Tauranga and Waikato. (giving a snow-like appearance to the countryside) Waterspout gust lifts boat out of water at Great Barrier. Aucklanders are able to watch a spectacular lightning display out to the east in the evening.

·           15th - Very warm day in many inland areas of South island, eg 34C maximum in Hanmer; 32C in Alexandra.

·           16th - 33C maximum in Ashburton; 32C in Dunedin. Heavy rain in Fiordland, eg 101mm at Milford Sound.

·           18th - Waterspout visible offshore from Sumner, Christchurch in morning. Afternoon thunder and hail storms in Canterbury; lightning causing some power outages near Christchurch. Torrential rain and hail results in surface flooding in Ashburton.

·           21st - Northwesterly gales in the far south. Gust of 130 km/ph recorded at Southwest Cape is highest ever recorded in NZ during January.

·           23rd-26th - Warm spell in eastern areas. Maximums include 35C (or 37C?) in Culverden (24th); 35C in Darfield (25th); and 33C in Ashburton and Blenheim. (25th)

·           27th - Cool southerly brings considerable drop in temperature; some 15-20C cooler than previous few days in many eastern parts of South Island. (only 13C maximum in Gore).

·           28th - Overnight 2C minimums in Waiouru and Middlemarch, in wake of cool southerly airmass.

·           31st - Very warm in many eastern areas, eg 35C maximum in Hanmer; 33C maximums in Ashburton, Masterton, and Hastings.

 

FEBRUARY

·           1st - Hot day in east of North Island, with record highs of 37C in Napier, Hastings and Wairoa; also 35C maximum in Gisborne. Combination of heat and strong northwesterly winds fan bush fire near Mahia. Very warm also in Malborough and Canterbury (34C maximum in Kaikoura; 33C in Christchurch), but cool southerly change in afternoon sends temperatures dropping to the high teens.

·           2nd - 30C maximum in Kerikeri, but cooler airmass in wake of southerly keeps maximums to only 13C in Darfield and Gore.

·           5th - Wanganui reaches 29C under a fohn northeasterly.

·           6th - 30C maximums at Dunedin and Christchurch Airports.

·           7th - Very warm in many areas, with record maximums in several places, eg 31C  Kaitaia and Kaikohe,  32C in Whitianga, 30C in Ohakune. High temperatures in many inland parts of Canterbury (eg 38C maximums in Culverden and Cheviot) only surpassed by February 1973 record maximums.

·           8th - Warm air from Australia results in high temperatures in many eastern areas, eg 34C maximum in Masterton, and 33C maximums in Alexandra and Dunedin. The airflow also carries smoke from deadly bushfires in Victoria into the higher atmosphere, resulting in a brownish tinge to the skies.

·           9th - Still very warm in many eastern areas, eg 30C maximum at Le Bons Bay.

·           10th - Very humid in north of North Island, after warm, muggy night (overnight minimum of 23C in Auckland). Heavy rain in central NZ; some surface flooding in Palmerston North (49mm in 5 hours) and Wanganui. (55mm in 6 hours) Only 13C maximum in Timaru, as east of South Island is under a cool airmass and cloud.

·           11th - Very warm in some northern parts of North Island, with 31C maximums in Thames and Paeroa.

·           12th - Heavy rain in central NZ, eg 174mm at Angle Knob and 162mm at North Egmont. Some surface flooding in Wellington. Rather chilly in Canterbury under a damp southerly.

·           13th - Cold southerly flow affects east and south of the South Island and south of North Island, resulting in only 13C maximums in Kaikoura, Christchurch Airport, and Invercargill. Hanmer is even colder, reaching only 9C. Light snow on southern ranges, including Remarkables and reported on higher peaks of Stewart Island.

·           14th - Chilly start to the day in the south in wake of previous day's southerly; 2C minimum in Middlemarch and 4C in Alexandra. Auckland area shivers with unseasonable 14-15C temperatures (rising later to about 18C, while Pukekohe records its lowest February maximum of 16C) under cloud and showers from a frontal disturbance.

·           15th - Chilly dawn again in many areas, with 2C minimum in Waiouru and 4C in Masterton.

·           16th - Only 13C maximum in Ashburton, as cool southerly flow spreads over South Island.

·           18th - Cool onshore northeasterly about east coast of South Island; only 13C maximum at Le Bons Bay.

·           19th - Localised rainstorm overnight causes flash flooding in Ohope, Bay of Plenty.

·           20th- 23rd - Heavy rain causes flooding and other disruption to several areas. (see details below)

·           24th - Only 11C maximums in Gore and Darfield and 12C in Dunedin, thanks to a cool southerly flow. Scattered heavy showers about northern and central NZ, with some thunderstorms about Taupo and eastern Bay of Plenty.

·           27th February to 1st March - Another low pressure system delivers heavy rain and gales. (see details below)

 

 

MAJOR EVENTS

 

1st-3rd January - Storms, including gales, thunder, hail and a small tornado

 

While many parts of NZ enjoyed a fine, warm start to the New Year, a cold front in a strong northwesterly flow crossed the South Island with rain on the West Coast. A brief spell of severe gales (downbursts?) lashed the Lake Brunner area about 4am, forcing campers to flee. Northwesterly gales also caused some damage and disruption in parts of Canterbury and Kaikoura.

 

Weak ridging lessened the northwesterly flow over the country later in the day, but during the 2nd, an active trough moved onto the South Island with heavy rain about and west of the Alps. (river levels rose quickly)

 

This system crossed the North Island the next day, with a colder southwesterly flow spreading onto the South Island, bringing fresh snow to the mountains. The change delivered thunderstorms and hail to many eastern parts of the island. In Christchurch, thunderstorm activity halted the cricket and briefly disrupted airport operations, while a belt of heavy hail damaged crops in a line from about Darfield to Amberley. Lightning also resulted in several power cuts in the Dunsandel and Lincoln areas. Further south, a small tornado was reported to have caused some damage in Waikouaiti, East Otago.

 

Conditions eased by evening, as the weakening trough moved onto the North Island.

 

Mean sea level analyses for midday NZDT 31 December 2008 to midnight 3rd January 2009 in 12 hour steps are shown here.

anal_loop_200812310000.wmfanal_loop_200812311200.wmfanal_loop_200901010000.wmfanal_loop_200901011200.wmfanal_loop_200901020000.wmfanal_loop_200901021200.wmfanal_loop_200901030000.wmfanal_loop_200901031200.wmf

 

20th- 23rd February - Heavy rain causes flooding and other disruption to several areas

 

A deep low pressure system resulted in heavy rain and flooding to several areas during this period.

 

The system, incorporating the remnants of tropical cyclone Innis, had moved into the central Tasman Sea on the 19th and then onto the South Island on the 20th, deepening as it did so. Fronts moving out from it brought heavy rain to the north and west of the North Island and also the top of the South Island. In Tauranga, the rain caused the postponement of the Kapa Haka festival (first time in 36 years), but the worst disruption was in the southwest of the North Island. Flooding affected Palmerston North, Levin, and Wellington. (where sewage overflowed in places, including the central city)

 

Meanwhile, in the northeasterly flow to the southeast of the low, heavy rain also affected the east of the South Island. This quickly eased in northern and central Canterbury, but persisted through to the next day in South Canterbury and North Otago, as the low remained slow-moving. Surface flooding was reported in places. Westland also received heavy rain on the 21st.

 

During the 22nd and 23rd, the low pressure system moved only slowly southeastwards, but weakened. Rain persisted over southern parts of the South Island in a chilly southeasterly flow (10-12C maximums in many places), though the falls weren't heavy.

 

Mean sea level analyses for midday NZDT 19 February to midnight 23 February in 12 hour steps are shown here.

anal_loop_200902190000.wmfanal_loop_200902191200.wmfanal_loop_200902200000.wmfanal_loop_200902201200.wmfanal_loop_200902210000.wmfanal_loop_200902211200.wmfanal_loop_200902220000.wmfanal_loop_200902221200.wmfanal_loop_200902230000.wmfanal_loop_200902231200.wmf

 

 27th February to 1st March - Another low pressure system deliver heavy rain and gales

 

The summer ended with another low moving in from the north and dumping heavy rain in many areas, especially the North Island.

 

A northeasterly flow already covered NZ on the 27th, while a low deepened to the north of the North Island. Heavy rain set in over the far north later in the day.

 

On the 28th, this low moved only slowly southwards to the west of the North Island, while an anticyclone remained slow moving to the east of the South Island. Heavy rain affected the north of North Island, with two day totals including 103mm at Cape Reinga, 132mm in Kerikeri, 158mm in Kaikohe, and 120mm in Te Puke. Surface flooding was extensive in many areas, causing disruption to roads and outdoor events, though no major damage eventuated.

 

Gale force winds were another feature of this storm, with gusts reaching 122 km/hr at Cape Reinga on 27th, and 83 km/hr in Tauranga and 70 km/hr in Hamilton on the 28th. However, these winds didn't cause any major damage.

 

On the 1st March, the low moved further south to lie over the southern South Island by the end of the day. Some heavy rain fell in Westland and Fiordland, but the weather eased elsewhere over the country.

 

Mean sea level analyses for midday NZDT 27 February to midnight 1 March in 12 hour steps are shown here.

anal_loop_200902270000.wmfanal_loop_200902271200.wmfanal_loop_200902280000.wmfanal_loop_200902281200.wmfanal_loop_200903010000.wmfanal_loop_200903011200.wmf

 

 

MONTHLY WEATHER NOTES FOR CHRISTCHURCH - SUMMER 2008-09

 

DECEMBER 2008

 

While this month was often warm and sunny, there were some unsettled periods. Several troughs crossed over, bringing some light rain and drizzle at times. More significant rain fell on the 19th and 20th, with some heavy falls on the latter day, as a cold southerly flow covered Canterbury. (snow fell on the Alps) By contrast, the period from Boxing Day onwards was dry and settled.

 

JANUARY 2009

 

The month, apart from two thunderstorms, was mostly warm and sunny in Christchurch. Indeed, temperatures on the 8th (37C was recorded at a Hillmorton station) were the hottest in the city since the record 41C heat of February 1973. On the other hand, the storms of the 3rd and the 18th delivered thunder and hail to many parts of the city and environs, with surface flooding in places and damage to some crops. Earlier on the 18th, a waterspout was seen offshore from Scarborough Head.

 

FEBRUARY 2009

 

The first third of the month saw settled and often warm weather, with temperatures reaching the low 30s on a few occasions. However, the remainder of the month was much more unsettled and cooler was several low pressure systems and onshore flows. Maximums only in the low teens were recorded on the 13th during a cold southerly flow. The wettest days were the 20th and 28th, with moist east to northeast airflows connected to lows crossing to the west.

 


#214 From: "Bob McDavitt" <bobmcdavitt@...>
Date: Wed Apr 1, 2009 3:30 am
Subject: M E T S O C N E W S E M A I L Summer 2009
bobmcd2001
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whoops , please ignore previous email and read this one instead-- I'm having one of those days!
 

Met Society Newsletter

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter: http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/summer2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their “March” newsletter

 

Climate Summary for Summer 2008-09

Wet in many areas; mild and sunny in the North Island and northern South Island; heat wave in early February.

  • Rainfall: Above normal in the north, west and south of the North Island, Marlborough, mid- and south Canterbury and Otago; below normal in Hawke’s Bay and Westport
  • Temperature: Above average for most of the North Island and the north of the South Island; below average in mid- and south Canterbury, Otago and coastal Southland.
  • Sunshine: Near normal for most of New Zealand; below normal in Otago and Southland

Summer rainfall was above normal (120 – 150% of normal) in parts of Northland, Auckland, Waikato, Manawatu, Wellington and Otago. Some locations in Marlborough and south Canterbury received nearly double their normal summer rainfall totals. Hawke’s Bay and Westport received between 50 and 80 percent of normal summer rainfall. Other areas received near normal rainfall for summer. Severe soil moisture deficits in many eastern areas of the country eased to near normal levels by the end of February.

Summer overall was warmer than average (by between 0.5 and 1.5°C) for most of the North Island and the north of the South Island. A significant heat wave was experienced in many parts of the country from 7 – 12 February, when several record high temperatures were set. Temperatures were below the long-term summer average by between 0.5 and 1.5°C throughout much of inland mid- and south Canterbury, Otago and coastal Southland. The national average temperature of 16.7 °C was 0.1 °C above average for summer.

December and January’s climate was dominated by more ‘highs’ (anticyclones) to the east of the country and more ‘lows’ (depressions) than normal in the Tasman sea, resulting in stronger than normal north-easterly winds over the country. In February, the first two weeks were very warm, associated with frequent warm north-westerly wind flows onto the country, whereas the last two weeks were dominated by more southerly airflows onto the South Island than normal for this time of year, which contributed to the cool temperatures in the south.

Major Highlights

  • Heavy rain fell in Queenstown and on the West Coast overnight on 2 January. River levels in the Haast and Callery (near Franz Josef) Rivers rose quickly as a result. On 3 January, thunder and hail in Christchurch forced the postponement of the international cricket match against the West Indies, while large, 2 cm hailstones whipped across roads and buildings in Waipara, bringing traffic to a standstill, and denting cars.
  • On 20 February, severe rain caused surface flooding in parts of Wellington, Levin, and Palmerston North, and caused raw sewage to overflow into central Wellington, the harbour, and Lyall Bay. In Tauranga, the severe rain caused the postponement of the Kapa Haka festival, the first time this had happened in 36 years. In South Canterbury and north Otago, surface flooding affected SH1 and SH8, and closed some minor roads.
  • Several locations experienced record or near-record high summer maximum and minimum temperatures in the six day “heat wave” from the 7th to the 12th of February. The highest temperature during summer 2008/09 was 38.0°C recorded at Culverden on the 8th of February (the highest summer maximum temperature for this location). The minimum temperature of 22.5°C at Tauranga airport on the night of the 10th/11thof February was the highest minimum for the country for summer (and the highest summer minimum temperature at that location since records began in 1941).
  • The lowest temperature during summer was recorded at Hanmer Forest on 6 December where the minimum temperature was -1.7°C (not a summer record for this location). A cold southerly air flow persisted for three days from 11 – 14 February resulting in minimum temperatures of -1.0°C at Ranfurly, ‑0.6°C at Manapouri, 1.7°C at Queenstown and 1.9°C at Dunedin airport.
  • Of the six main centres, Tauranga was the warmest and sunniest, Wellington the wettest, and Christchurch was the driest.

For further information, please contact:

Dr Andrew Tait – Climate Scientist a.tait@...

Dr James Renwick – Principal Scientist j.renwick@...

Michele Hollis – NIWA Communications Manager m.hollis@...

Acknowledgement of NIWA as the source is required. Copyright NIWA Science ©2009

 

NOTABLE WEATHER IN NEW ZEALAND - SUMMER 2008-09

 

This summer was a mixed bag, with spells of settled and often warm weather, but some unsettled periods as well. The second half of February was the most unsettled, with two major low pressure systems affecting the country.

 

DECEMBER 2008

·           2nd - Thunderstorms in Otago and Southland.

·           3rd - Heavy rain in Fiordland. 30C maximum in Hastings.

·           4th - Thunderstorms with heavy rain about and west of the Southern Alps. Cropp records 250mm; Mt Cook Village 296mm. Two Japanese climbers trapped by storm near summit of Mt Cook. (One dies before the other is rescued) 32C maximum in Napier; 31C in Kaikoura.

·           5th - A few heavy showers in Northland.

·           6th - Chilly start to day in inland South Island, eg -1C minimum at Hanmer Forest.

·           8th - Heavy rain in Fiordland and Westland, eg 130mm at Homer Tunnel, and 121mm at Cropp.

·           9th - Only 12C maximum in Ashburton, as a damp, cool southerly affects Canterbury.

·           12th - Cool 12C maximum in Dunedin in a southerly flow. (Overnight hail in city affects cricket pitch prior to test)

·           15th - Heavy rain (especially about the ranges) in west from Westland to Taranaki; also Nelson. (Maitai River close to flooding by evening) Cropp records 145mm; North Egmont 212mm.

·           19th - Heavy rain developing about and west of the Southern Alps. Totals through to 20th, include 369mm at Cropp, and 187mm at Arthurs Pass.

·           20th - Heavy rain in northwest of South Island; also some (welcome) heavy falls in Canterbury and North Otago. Fresh snow on Canterbury and Otago mountains, with 10cm locally settling as low as Mt Cook Village where maximum temperature is only 5C. Other unusually low daytime maximums include only 8C in Wanaka (lowest December maximum since records began in 1972), 9C in Queenstown and Darfield, and 10C in Oamaru, Timaru and Dunedin.

·           21st - Only 12C maximum in Ashburton in a light southerly flow.

·           24th - Welcome rain in east of North Island.

·           25th - Rather chilly Christmas day about east coast of South Island. Only 12C maximum in Dunedin, and 13C maximums in Timaru and Ashburton.

·           28th - Very warm day in many eastern parts of South Island. 32C maximum in Culverden; 31C In Timaru; 30C in Dunedin.

·           29th - 33C maximum in Culverden; 31C in Alexandra.

·           30th - 31C maximum in Hanmer.

 

 

JANUARY 2009

·           1st-3rd - Storms, including gales, thunder, hail and a small tornado. (see details below)

·           4th - Chilly 3C minimum in Taupo.

·           8th - Very high temperatures in many areas, especially in east. 37C maximums recorded at Waione (Wairarapa), Culverden and Hillmorton. (Christchurch) January records include 30C in Ohakune and 36C in Cheviot.

·           9th - Wind gusts (reported in some media as small tornado) causes damage at Bannockburn, Central Otago.

·           10th - Heavy rain in central NZ areas exposed to northwest. Some heavy showers in Auckland in afternoon, due to sea-breeze convergence.

·           11th/12th - Welcome rain in Gisborne and Hawkes Bay, with heavy falls about the ranges of northern Hawkes Bay and Gisborne.

·           12th -14th - Afternoon thunderstorms in northern and central North Island; also inland Buller on 13th. A line of severe thunderstorms from west of Taupo north to Great Barrier Island on afternoon and evening of 14th. Heavy downpours cause surface flooding in some places, plus heavy hail disrupts travel across Kaimai Range between Tauranga and Waikato. (giving a snow-like appearance to the countryside) Waterspout gust lifts boat out of water at Great Barrier. Aucklanders are able to watch a spectacular lightning display out to the east in the evening.

·           15th - Very warm day in many inland areas of South island, eg 34C maximum in Hanmer; 32C in Alexandra.

·           16th - 33C maximum in Ashburton; 32C in Dunedin. Heavy rain in Fiordland, eg 101mm at Milford Sound.

·           18th - Waterspout visible offshore from Sumner, Christchurch in morning. Afternoon thunder and hail storms in Canterbury; lightning causing some power outages near Christchurch. Torrential rain and hail results in surface flooding in Ashburton.

·           21st - Northwesterly gales in the far south. Gust of 130 km/ph recorded at Southwest Cape is highest ever recorded in NZ during January.

·           23rd-26th - Warm spell in eastern areas. Maximums include 35C (or 37C?) in Culverden (24th); 35C in Darfield (25th); and 33C in Ashburton and Blenheim. (25th)

·           27th - Cool southerly brings considerable drop in temperature; some 15-20C cooler than previous few days in many eastern parts of South Island. (only 13C maximum in Gore).

·           28th - Overnight 2C minimums in Waiouru and Middlemarch, in wake of cool southerly airmass.

·           31st - Very warm in many eastern areas, eg 35C maximum in Hanmer; 33C maximums in Ashburton, Masterton, and Hastings.

 

FEBRUARY

·           1st - Hot day in east of North Island, with record highs of 37C in Napier, Hastings and Wairoa; also 35C maximum in Gisborne. Combination of heat and strong northwesterly winds fan bush fire near Mahia. Very warm also in Malborough and Canterbury (34C maximum in Kaikoura; 33C in Christchurch), but cool southerly change in afternoon sends temperatures dropping to the high teens.

·           2nd - 30C maximum in Kerikeri, but cooler airmass in wake of southerly keeps maximums to only 13C in Darfield and Gore.

·           5th - Wanganui reaches 29C under a fohn northeasterly.

·           6th - 30C maximums at Dunedin and Christchurch Airports.

·           7th - Very warm in many areas, with record maximums in several places, eg 31C  Kaitaia and Kaikohe,  32C in Whitianga, 30C in Ohakune. High temperatures in many inland parts of Canterbury (eg 38C maximums in Culverden and Cheviot) only surpassed by February 1973 record maximums.

·           8th - Warm air from Australia results in high temperatures in many eastern areas, eg 34C maximum in Masterton, and 33C maximums in Alexandra and Dunedin. The airflow also carries smoke from deadly bushfires in Victoria into the higher atmosphere, resulting in a brownish tinge to the skies.

·           9th - Still very warm in many eastern areas, eg 30C maximum at Le Bons Bay.

·           10th - Very humid in north of North Island, after warm, muggy night (overnight minimum of 23C in Auckland). Heavy rain in central NZ; some surface flooding in Palmerston North (49mm in 5 hours) and Wanganui. (55mm in 6 hours) Only 13C maximum in Timaru, as east of South Island is under a cool airmass and cloud.

·           11th - Very warm in some northern parts of North Island, with 31C maximums in Thames and Paeroa.

·           12th - Heavy rain in central NZ, eg 174mm at Angle Knob and 162mm at North Egmont. Some surface flooding in Wellington. Rather chilly in Canterbury under a damp southerly.

·           13th - Cold southerly flow affects east and south of the South Island and south of North Island, resulting in only 13C maximums in Kaikoura, Christchurch Airport, and Invercargill. Hanmer is even colder, reaching only 9C. Light snow on southern ranges, including Remarkables and reported on higher peaks of Stewart Island.

·           14th - Chilly start to the day in the south in wake of previous day's southerly; 2C minimum in Middlemarch and 4C in Alexandra. Auckland area shivers with unseasonable 14-15C temperatures (rising later to about 18C, while Pukekohe records its lowest February maximum of 16C) under cloud and showers from a frontal disturbance.

·           15th - Chilly dawn again in many areas, with 2C minimum in Waiouru and 4C in Masterton.

·           16th - Only 13C maximum in Ashburton, as cool southerly flow spreads over South Island.

·           18th - Cool onshore northeasterly about east coast of South Island; only 13C maximum at Le Bons Bay.

·           19th - Localised rainstorm overnight causes flash flooding in Ohope, Bay of Plenty.

·           20th- 23rd - Heavy rain causes flooding and other disruption to several areas. (see details below)

·           24th - Only 11C maximums in Gore and Darfield and 12C in Dunedin, thanks to a cool southerly flow. Scattered heavy showers about northern and central NZ, with some thunderstorms about Taupo and eastern Bay of Plenty.

·           27th February to 1st March - Another low pressure system delivers heavy rain and gales. (see details below)

 

 

MAJOR EVENTS

 

1st-3rd January - Storms, including gales, thunder, hail and a small tornado

 

While many parts of NZ enjoyed a fine, warm start to the New Year, a cold front in a strong northwesterly flow crossed the South Island with rain on the West Coast. A brief spell of severe gales (downbursts?) lashed the Lake Brunner area about 4am, forcing campers to flee. Northwesterly gales also caused some damage and disruption in parts of Canterbury and Kaikoura.

 

Weak ridging lessened the northwesterly flow over the country later in the day, but during the 2nd, an active trough moved onto the South Island with heavy rain about and west of the Alps. (river levels rose quickly)

 

This system crossed the North Island the next day, with a colder southwesterly flow spreading onto the South Island, bringing fresh snow to the mountains. The change delivered thunderstorms and hail to many eastern parts of the island. In Christchurch, thunderstorm activity halted the cricket and briefly disrupted airport operations, while a belt of heavy hail damaged crops in a line from about Darfield to Amberley. Lightning also resulted in several power cuts in the Dunsandel and Lincoln areas. Further south, a small tornado was reported to have caused some damage in Waikouaiti, East Otago.

 

Conditions eased by evening, as the weakening trough moved onto the North Island.

 

Mean sea level analyses for midday NZDT 31 December 2008 to midnight 3rd January 2009 in 12 hour steps are shown here.

anal_loop_200812310000.wmfanal_loop_200812311200.wmfanal_loop_200901010000.wmfanal_loop_200901011200.wmfanal_loop_200901020000.wmfanal_loop_200901021200.wmfanal_loop_200901030000.wmfanal_loop_200901031200.wmf

 

20th- 23rd February - Heavy rain causes flooding and other disruption to several areas

 

A deep low pressure system resulted in heavy rain and flooding to several areas during this period.

 

The system, incorporating the remnants of tropical cyclone Innis, had moved into the central Tasman Sea on the 19th and then onto the South Island on the 20th, deepening as it did so. Fronts moving out from it brought heavy rain to the north and west of the North Island and also the top of the South Island. In Tauranga, the rain caused the postponement of the Kapa Haka festival (first time in 36 years), but the worst disruption was in the southwest of the North Island. Flooding affected Palmerston North, Levin, and Wellington. (where sewage overflowed in places, including the central city)

 

Meanwhile, in the northeasterly flow to the southeast of the low, heavy rain also affected the east of the South Island. This quickly eased in northern and central Canterbury, but persisted through to the next day in South Canterbury and North Otago, as the low remained slow-moving. Surface flooding was reported in places. Westland also received heavy rain on the 21st.

 

During the 22nd and 23rd, the low pressure system moved only slowly southeastwards, but weakened. Rain persisted over southern parts of the South Island in a chilly southeasterly flow (10-12C maximums in many places), though the falls weren't heavy.

 

Mean sea level analyses for midday NZDT 19 February to midnight 23 February in 12 hour steps are shown here.

anal_loop_200902190000.wmfanal_loop_200902191200.wmfanal_loop_200902200000.wmfanal_loop_200902201200.wmfanal_loop_200902210000.wmfanal_loop_200902211200.wmfanal_loop_200902220000.wmfanal_loop_200902221200.wmfanal_loop_200902230000.wmfanal_loop_200902231200.wmf

 

 27th February to 1st March - Another low pressure system deliver heavy rain and gales

 

The summer ended with another low moving in from the north and dumping heavy rain in many areas, especially the North Island.

 

A northeasterly flow already covered NZ on the 27th, while a low deepened to the north of the North Island. Heavy rain set in over the far north later in the day.

 

On the 28th, this low moved only slowly southwards to the west of the North Island, while an anticyclone remained slow moving to the east of the South Island. Heavy rain affected the north of North Island, with two day totals including 103mm at Cape Reinga, 132mm in Kerikeri, 158mm in Kaikohe, and 120mm in Te Puke. Surface flooding was extensive in many areas, causing disruption to roads and outdoor events, though no major damage eventuated.

 

Gale force winds were another feature of this storm, with gusts reaching 122 km/hr at Cape Reinga on 27th, and 83 km/hr in Tauranga and 70 km/hr in Hamilton on the 28th. However, these winds didn't cause any major damage.

 

On the 1st March, the low moved further south to lie over the southern South Island by the end of the day. Some heavy rain fell in Westland and Fiordland, but the weather eased elsewhere over the country.

 

Mean sea level analyses for midday NZDT 27 February to midnight 1 March in 12 hour steps are shown here.

anal_loop_200902270000.wmfanal_loop_200902271200.wmfanal_loop_200902280000.wmfanal_loop_200902281200.wmfanal_loop_200903010000.wmfanal_loop_200903011200.wmf

 

 

MONTHLY WEATHER NOTES FOR CHRISTCHURCH - SUMMER 2008-09

 

DECEMBER 2008

 

While this month was often warm and sunny, there were some unsettled periods. Several troughs crossed over, bringing some light rain and drizzle at times. More significant rain fell on the 19th and 20th, with some heavy falls on the latter day, as a cold southerly flow covered Canterbury. (snow fell on the Alps) By contrast, the period from Boxing Day onwards was dry and settled.

 

JANUARY 2009

 

The month, apart from two thunderstorms, was mostly warm and sunny in Christchurch. Indeed, temperatures on the 8th (37C was recorded at a Hillmorton station) were the hottest in the city since the record 41C heat of February 1973. On the other hand, the storms of the 3rd and the 18th delivered thunder and hail to many parts of the city and environs, with surface flooding in places and damage to some crops. Earlier on the 18th, a waterspout was seen offshore from Scarborough Head.

 

FEBRUARY 2009

 

The first third of the month saw settled and often warm weather, with temperatures reaching the low 30s on a few occasions. However, the remainder of the month was much more unsettled and cooler was several low pressure systems and onshore flows. Maximums only in the low teens were recorded on the 13th during a cold southerly flow. The wettest days were the 20th and 28th, with moist east to northeast airflows connected to lows crossing to the west.

 


#215 From: "Bob McDavitt" <bobmcdavitt@...>
Date: Sat Apr 4, 2009 10:41 am
Subject: M E T S O C N E W S E M A I L media clips for MARCH
bobmcd2001
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Met Society Newsletter

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter: http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/clipsmar2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their “March” newsletter

 

 

Wild weather lashes North Island

Sat, 28 Feb 2009 TV3

The Bay of Plenty and the Coromandel were worst hit by a storm front that now has Nelson and Marlborough in its sights.

While there was torrential rain and gale force winds, people heeded weather warnings and stayed at home limiting the damage caused.

One driver was lucky to escape unharmed after his truck carrying dangerous chemicals overturned north of Tirau. While it is not known whether high winds caused the accident, in nearby Te Aroha winds of up to 110km/h smashed windows and downed power lines.

On the Coromandel Peninsula torrential rain made driving hazardous, while 8,000 customers in Auckland faced power cuts for part of today, and for the first time in its history the Ellerslie racecourse had to postpone the $2.2 million derby day race. (Abridged)

 

Storm causes flap in tent town

02.03.2009 by Annette Lambly.  Northern Advocate

Farmers of NZ Kaipara district chairman Hugh Rose packs up. Picture/John Stone

 

The Northland Agricultural Field Days committee's worst fears have been realised - the event had to be cancelled for the first time in its 25-year history due to rain.

On Friday night when the predicted storm weather hit the vulnerable "tent town" hard, high winds caused damage to about 40 per cent of the sites.

Committee member Pam Rope said although "tent teams" worked hard to keep everything up, they were fighting a losing battle.

With further damage early on Saturday morning preventing further attempts to clear damage, he said organisers were left with no option but to cancel the event because of health and safety considerations.

Following Thursday's record day all hopes had been pinned on the predicted bad weather not eventuating. Early Friday the weather looked ominous but then improved and, while numbers were initially well down, by midmorning the crowds began pouring through the gates resulting in a crowd of 6100, only slightly down on last year.  (Abridged)

 

Secret 3d Model Helped Kiwis To Yachting Gold

Tuesday, 3 March 2009 Press Release: Yachting New Zealand

Leslie Egnot of Yachting New Zealand surveys the secret 3D model that helped Kiwis win Gold at the Olympics, with (from left) Martin Brewer, Grant Beck and Peter Dawson)

 

A secret behind New Zealand’s Gold Medal-winning yachting performance at the Beijing Olympics has been revealed -- a three-dimensional model of the land and undersea terrain that gave sailors knowledge of what to expect from wind and currents.

In the unique conditions off the Olympic yachting venue at Qingdao in China, the heavy pollution and haze in the air meant sailors were often sailing “blind”, unable to see land or get a bearing from landmarks. Plus, the course was made complex by major variations in seabed depth, “crazy” currents and light winds.

However the three-dimensional model gave the New Zealand sailors an intimate knowledge of the depth of water under them at any part of the course, the expected tide directions and the current speed.

These readings were based on detailed research done before constructing the model in Auckland, and proved to be significantly better than the “official” tidal information given to competitors by the Chinese administrators.

It is also believed that no other team had any technology as advanced as the Kiwis’ model.

The idea was born in a meeting between Leslie Egnot, Olympic Operations Manager for Yachting NZ, and sailing enthusiast Peter Dawson, director of Albany-based printing company 3D Print Ltd.

Peter and his co-director Martin Brewer were Supreme Finalists in the Innovation Category at the New Zealand Pride in Print Awards in 2007 for combining print technology to three-dimensional modelling. CAD files from architects, engineers and designers are transformed into solid objects using ink-jet printer technology.

Leslie Egnot – herself an Olympic Silver Medalist in the 470s with Jan Shearer at the 1992 Barcelona games and helm for the all-women's Mighty Mary campaign at the 1995 Americas Cup – saw the benefit in creating a model of the area off Qingdao where the five yachting courses would be positioned.

 “It involved software modeling prepared by Dave Johnson, of Met Oceans Solutions in Raglan who has a business wave modeling for oil rigs. Hydrographic and GIS data was obtained for the undersea and land terrain. Google earth satellite data was then used for overlaying the shore photography,” said Peter.

Sally Garrett of the New Zealand Defence Force and Marine Scientist Mark Orams were seconded to go to the venue to help gather the tidal data from the site. This was assembled into tide charts overlaying the model and into a handbook used out on the race course by coaches showing current direction and strength for every 15 minutes. This data revealed glaring differences from the official data given out by local Chinese administrators.

New Zealand’s most successful yachting coach, Grant Beck, says the model was a major help in preparing for the Olympic campaign which ended with Tom Ashley as Gold Medalist in the RSX board sailing and the majority of Kiwi sailors finishing in the top ten of their class.

“When you can’t see the shore or reference points, and the currents are so difficult, you need all the help you can get. This model helped the sailors reconcile where they were on the course and know what was under them. It had a major impact on our planning, particularly at the Pre-Olympics where the sailors first came to grips with the course and the pollution,” said Grant.

The story was kept secret for a time until after the Olympics, and the model has only recently been shipped back to New Zealand.  (Abridged)

 

Farmers revel in rain

By TIM CRONSHAW - The Press 5 mar 2009

DON SCOTT

WET WONDER: Beef farmer Ian Joyce, of North Loburn, says yesterday's rain has eased his worries

Farmers on the edge of drought have welcomed long awaited rain in North Canterbury with outstretched arms.  The wet southerly carried on all day yesterday on many properties and may have done just enough to prevent a drought in some areas.  Some farmers last saw rain of this magnitude last September.

"It will definitely stave off the drought which was impending," said Federated Farmers North Canterbury president Chris Sundstrum. "It would have been a drought if we did not have this rain."

Sundstrum said 13 millimetres to 20mm of rainfall was no miracle cure, but might prevent pastures from drying out completely.

Federated Farmers Meat and Fibre chairman Bruce Willis said steady rain was widespread throughout the country yesterday, but seemed to have bypassed Hawke's Bay. (Abridged)

 

Reports of minor damage after stormy night 

Friday March 06, 2009  Newstalk ZB/ONE News

Reuters:  Waves crash over onto the footpath during a storm in Auckland

The storm which has whipped across the upper North Island has brought down power lines, ripped out trees and torn roofs from homes.

Winds reached 150 kilometres an hour at Cape Reinga overnight, and 93 kilometres an hour across Auckland Harbour.

Heavy rain drenched Northland with almost 100 millimetres falling in Kaikohe over the past 24 hours.

The Fire Service was called to 15 minor weather incidents in the northern region, including flooding at a home in Whangarei.

The weather also caused power outages to some homes on Auckland's west coast.

Ten properties at Bethells Beach on Auckland's west coast are being told their electricity will be restored later on Friday morning.  Overnight, power was restored to all but 10 of the 13,000 homes which lost power for a short time yesterday as high winds brought down trees and lines in several areas of the North Shore.

MetService spokesman Jeff Sanders says the rain is moving into the Coromandel and western parts of the Bay of Plenty, where severe weather warnings are in force.

 

Challenge of the wild waves

Friday Mar 06, 2009  By Isaac Davison, NZ Herald

When the storm-driven seas are raging around the Murrays Bay wharf, what better time to go for a swim? Photo / Paul Estcourt

Hurricane-force winds that lifted roof tiles and uprooted trees in the North Island yesterday will ease today, but heavy rain will replace them until midday at least.

Civil Defence issued a severe weather warning yesterday morning for the Auckland region, and said heavy rain was expected to continue until midday today. Staff had to batten down the hatches on the opening day of the Auckland International Boat Show yesterday. Show spokeswoman Helen Manson said "signs were blowing everywhere ... A few sections were closed and we had to take down a lot of tents."

Power was cut to 13,000 homes north of Auckland when winds downed power lines. The MetService warned that strong winds and heavy rain in most of the central and upper North Island would make driving hazardous and swell rivers and streams.

The Far North was the worst-hit area yesterday. At Cape Reinga, winds gusted up to 155km/h, and Weatherwatch head analyst Philip Duncan said the average windspeed of 110km/h was strong enough to uproot trees. He said yesterday "was not a day to be driving to Cape Reinga. Gusts that strong can blow cars off roads."  (Anridged)

 

Rare cloud formation fills the sky

7 March 2009 By AL WILLIAMS - The Timaru Herald

EYES TO THE SKY: An unusual cloud formation appeared above Geraldine this week, known as mammatus, which is quite unusual.

Geraldine residents had only to look to the sky for inspiration this week.

This unusual cloud formation appeared above their heads for a brief spell but didn't go unnoticed. The Herald received a photograph from Jane Macfarlane-Barnett, at Stewart's Panel & Paint.

The formation is called mammatus and is quite rare, according to Met Service staff.

Forecaster Robert Kerr said this week's formation was an excellent example.

Mammatus forms on the underside of cirrus clouds and is caused by downward motion of air in the cloud.

It is usually associated with thunderstorm clouds, but in this instance the cloud was a wave cloud generated as the upper air flowed over the Southern Alps.

The upper flow was from north to south yesterday morning, and as it flowed over the South Island, a wave cloud formed in the wake of the ridge as the rising air cooled.

 

Glaciers reveal global warming effects 

Saturday March 07, 2009 ONE News

There is more grim news for South Island glaciers as scientists take to the skies to gauge their health.

Glaciers give a good reading of regional climate change and early indications are that they are still shrinking after another warm year.

Glaciologist Trevor Chinn says the glaciers "know exactly what the climate's doing".

"Where a thermometer shifts one-tenth of a millimetre, a glacier shifts tens of metres and you can see the change," he says.

Chinn discovered, by accident, that a simple snapshot of the snowline at the end of summer, before any new winter snow, can provide a weather picture for the whole year.

"If the snowline's above [a certain] height, then we're getting warmer and if it's below that height, we're getting cooler."

NIWA scientists cover 50 glaciers at 10,000 feet. Using GPS they take photographs from the same position to compare with 30 years of data.

"They've been sort of sitting more or less the same and now you can see there's bare ice sitting everywhere with hardly any new snow," Chinn says.

"So the prognosis is the glaciers are starting to look a little bit sick."

 

Severe weather sees 40,000 lose power

Sunday Mar 08, 2009 Lia Nicholls NZ Herald + Bay of Plenty Times (9 Mar)

Storms and high tides flooded Tauranga's historic village. Photo / Barnes Family

About 40,000 homes were without power yesterday evening as severe weather struck the east of the North Island.

Lightning strikes and flash floods struck the eastern Bay of Plenty, the western side of East Cape and northern Hawke's Bay just after 5pm.

Thunderstorms peaked at 750 lightning strikes an hour around 6.45pm.

WeatherWatch's head weather analyst Philip Duncan said it was a dangerous area to be in. "They weren't normal thunderstorms, they were very big and very violent. We saw thunderstorms and flash flooding throughout the area. This is the sort of weather you see in America sometimes."

The unstable weather pattern was caused when hot and humid conditions that characterised Friday night collided with cooler air yesterday.

Transpower said several substations were hit, cutting power to homes and businesses in Papamoa, Greerton, Tauranga and Rotorua. Power was cut to

 

74,000 homes and businesses, phone lines went down, and traffic lights failed at intersections after the Western Bay took a battering from Saturday's storm. The MetService said rainfall recorded at Tauranga Airport on Friday was 42.4mm and 4.6mm on Saturday.

On The Strand, bars and restaurants used candles to light their premises.

 

Blast of winter on way 

10 March 2009 The Dominion Post

PHIL REID/The Dominion Post

DOWNPOUR: A pedestrian darts through heavy rain in Victoria St, Wellington, this morning.

A wintry blast is due to hit the country today, with gales likely to break branches and bring down powerlines.

Northwest gales were likely to hit New Zealand's east coast from Hastings to Kaikoura this afternoon, before southwest gusts brought up to 10 centimetres of snow to parts of the South Island, MetService spokesman Bob McDavitt said.

The unseasonal weather was the result of a patch of cold air moving north from the Southern Ocean.

The Wairarapa coast would bear the brunt of the wild weather in the Wellington region, but the capital should avoid the worst of the cold southwest front, which would mainly affect Southland and Otago.

Mr McDavitt said the bad weather did not signal the end of summer. "It's not the end of the golden weather yet. People should brace themselves for a few days of cold and can look forward to the air warming back to normal by the weekend."

 

MetService website set for upgrade

March 10, 2009, NZPA

The MetService plans to redesign its award-winning website.

"It's about time to refresh it," the weather bureau's chief information officer, Russell Turner told NZPA.

The website was set up with over 400 pages on the site -- 95 percent of them being dynamically rebuilt every five minutes. Mr Turner said he was looking for a new format for displaying more than 1000 pieces of data feeding into the site.

"It's necessary to constantly re-fresh these things to keep people coming to them," he said.

Design workers were looking at issues including usability.

The MetService has a back-up for its core forecasting computer work -- such as modelling weather systems -- in Auckland, in case the Wellington head office was knocked out by an earthquake or similar emergency, and he said it now had an opportunity to also back up its website.

Weather-watchers had been blocked from the main MetService website as huge surges of internet traffic have caused it to "crash".

The Government-owned weather bureau has switched to a newly configured computer server which it said gives it a 60 percent lift in capacity, using that one server alone.  It became obvious a year ago that the website was having increasing difficulty coping with big number of people trying to use it at the same time, typically when severe weather such as rainstorms, gales and snow were forecast.

 

Why Some People Don’t Heed Tornado And Other Severe Weather Warnings

ScienceDaily (Mar. 11, 2009) — NOAA’s National Weather Service has issued a report that analyzes forecasting performance and public response during the second deadliest tornado outbreak in U.S. history. The report, Service Assessment of the Super Tuesday Tornado Outbreak of February 5-6, 2008, also addresses a key area of concern: why some people take cover while others ride out severe weather.

Dubbed the “Super Tuesday” tornado outbreak due to the presidential primary elections held that day, 82 tornadoes raked nine states throughout the South, killing 57 people, injuring 350 others and causing $400 million in property damage.

Jack Hayes, director of NOAA’s National Weather Service, included a researcher from the National Center for Atmospheric Research Societal Impacts Program on the assessment team to examine why many people did not take action to protect themselves. 

In reviewing the public response, the team found that two-thirds of the victims were in mobile homes, and 60 percent did not have access to safe shelter (i.e., a basement or storm cellar). The majority of the survivors interviewed for the assessment sought shelter in the best location available to them, but most of them also did not have access to a safe shelter. Some indicated they thought the threat was minimal because February is not within traditional tornado season. Several of those interviewed said they spent time seeking confirmation and went to a safe location only after they saw a tornado. Many people minimized the threat of personal risk through “optimism bias,” the belief that such bad things only happen to other people.

“Protecting life and property is not as simple as issuing a forecast,” Hayes said. “A number of barriers often deter people from making risk-averse decisions, and we want to learn all we can to determine if there is more the National Weather Service can do to change this.”

On forecasting performance, the assessment team found that the National Weather Service issued warnings 17 minutes, on average, in advance of all the deadly tornadoes. The agency’s Storm Prediction Center had been monitoring the tornado threat for several days. Local forecast offices forewarned communities by issuing hazardous weather outlooks days in advance.

After interviewing local media and citizens in the stricken areas, the assessment team determined that local communities had received the warnings and were aware of the dangerous weather threat. People reported receiving tornado warning information through multiple sources, such as television news stations, sirens, NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards or by word of mouth. People indicated overall satisfaction with National Weather Service performance in forecasting the tornadoes and communicating the danger.

According to the assessment team’s recommendation, the National Weather Service will improve wording and call-to-action statements to more effectively convey the urgency and danger of the message. The agency also will continue using social science research in future service assessments to further understand people’s interpretation of and response to severe weather situations, and to improve public response to severe weather communication.

Use of societal impact studies is useful for weather phenomena other than tornadoes. In September 2008 dozens of people died when Hurricane Ike struck Galveston, Texas, even after the weather forecast office in Houston issued a dire warning to residents to heed evacuation orders.

The National Weather Service routinely conducts assessments of agency performance during severe weather events in an effort to improve operations and determine best practices. Within days after the weather event, the agency sends a team into the field to interview citizens, emergency managers, the media, and others in affected areas. The team then compiles all findings and develops an assessment report, which contains analyses of the local Weather Service forecast office’s performance in forecasting the weather and communicating the public safety threat. Best practices and recommendations are shared throughout the agency to improve performance during future severe weather events.

 

 

Winter falls early as temperatures drop

By BEN HEATHER - The Southland Times 12 March 2009

BEN HEATHER/139115

SLIPPERY SLOPE: Czech Madous Kolatek contemplates tricky driving down the Remarkables near Queenstown after his car spun out on the fresh snow.

Snowy Queenstown

Winter popped in a little early yesterday, lashing the Queenstown Lakes district, Otago and part of Southland with snow down to 600m.

The ski season is still at least three months away but Coronet Peak and the Remarkables ski-fields were whiteouts.

Several excited tourist braved the road up to the Remarkables but were forced back by icy conditions.

Czech couple Madous and Jana Kolatek's car slid out of control on a tight corner, thankfully spinning away from a steep drop.

"We've got summer tyres; the car is not going to be good going down," Mr Madous said, as the snow continued to fall.

Temperatures overnight dropped to 4 degrees Celsius in Queenstown and 6C in Invercargill.

The MetService issued snow warning for the Lindis Pass yesterday morning, with about 1cm of snow expected.

MetService weather ambassador Bob McDavitt said the wintry weather was just a blip, with fine conditions likely to return tomorrow.

"The days are still long and the soil is still warm so the snow won't hang around for long."

At east one flight into Queenstown was diverted to Invercargill yesterday, with another cancelled because of low cloud.

 

Couple lucky to be out of truck when tree falls

By JOANNE CARROLL - The Southland Times 13/03/2009

JOANNE CARROLL

BY GUM: This large gum tree fell and wrecked the front of Michelle Sweeney's truck in Alexandra, just moments after locking their car.

A Wanaka couple had a lucky escape after a large gum tree fell and wrecked the front of their truck in Alexandra just moments after locking their ute.

Michelle Sweeney said she and her husband had parked their four-wheel-drive at Pioneer Park to go across the road into PGG Wrightsons shop before 1pm.

Just as they got into the shop their car alarm went off.

The MetService issued a severe weather warning for areas of Otago yesterday.

MetService forecaster Gerard Barrow said severe southwest gales were expected about hilltops and exposed areas of the Clutha, Dunedin districts and areas east of the Rock and Pillar Range.

Central Otago Mayor Malcolm Macpherson said Australian gum trees were notoriously prone to falling over because of their surface roots.

"This one has obviously succumbed to a violent blast at midday," he said.

"It was a beautiful healthy snow gum and was lit up at night and looked quite architectural so it's a bit of a loss," he said.

He was thankful no one had been in the vehicle at the time. (Abridged)

 

City rain storm 'too small' for warning

18.03.2009 Bay of Plenty Times

MetService has described Tauranga's torrential downpour yesterday as an unusual event occurring over too small an area for a heavy rain warning to be issued.

Between 9am and 6pm yesterday the MetService said 72 millimetres of rain fell on the city, with the greatest deluge of 19mm falling between 1pm and 2pm.

Meanwhile about 40km away in Kati kati, weather-watcher Tim Suckling said not a drop of rain fell during the day with just 9.3mm arriving after 10.30pm last night.  On the other side of Tauranga, Rob Marsh, who lives 10km out of Te Puke, recorded only 30mm between 7.30am yesterday and the same time today.

Metservice forecaster Geoff Sanders said an anticyclone over New Zealand yesterday meant MetService was expecting settled weather.

Tauranga bucked the trend however when some very moist air combined with a low-level convergence zone, where winds from different directions meet.

``This caused the extreme convection which became slow moving over Tauranga in the afternoon,' said Mr Sanders. 

He said there was no heavy rain warning issued because the rain fell in such a small area.

At his Greerton property, Len Parry recorded rainfall of 159mm be tween 9am yesterday and the same time today.  At Pyes Pa, Brian Heywood col lected 117mm, which he said mostly fell between 7.45am and 5.40pm yesterday.

At Memorial Park the rain gauge read 140mm for the period from midnight Monday to midnight Tuesday, with 90.8mm recorded over the same period at the Chapel St waste water treatment plant.

Today Tauranga woke up to a gloomy morning with cloudy periods, scattered showers and light winds forecast.

 

Frosts blown away from vines

24 March 2009  By JOANNE CARROLL in Alexandra - The Southland Times

Southern winegrowers were able to fight off the weekend's frosty snap with the help of wind machines and helicopters.

The machines turn on automatically when the air reaches 0.5 degrees Celsius to draw warm air across the vineyard to fight frost.  MetService spokesman Bob McDavitt said Wanaka had 3C frosts on Saturday and Sunday nights. Queenstown had an overnight frost of 2C overnight on Sunday. He thought there would be a few more frosts to come before harvest time.  "There are frosts on the forecast. They are light frosts but a sign our days are getting shorter," he said.

 

Jasper does U-turn

Friday March 27, 2009 at http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/newstalk

Philip Duncan  of Radio Network’s Weather Centre writes in his NZ Herald Blog:

Tropical Cyclone Jasper was downgraded Wednesday to a tropical depression and just like Hamish he's doing a U'ey and tracking north west. The forecasts for this cyclone were, in my view, pretty bad. I've found Australia's Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) to be bang on with their forecasts but they got this one wrong - and worse still was the coverage from Fiji.

 

At its peak.  Image:  Jasper looking stunning Tuesday night shortly after a rapid intensification.  Image/MTSAT NOAA

Firstly, the storm surprised everyone by exploding into life as a Category 2 cyclone. It was predicted to remain a weak category 1 cyclone for a couple of days but within hours of forming it was already Cat 2 with winds gusting to 130km/h. At the time that the cyclone was peaking another frustrating thing happened - Australia stopped forecasting its track. Why? Because it was crossing out of their territory and into Fijis. If it had dipped a little furth south it would've been New Zealands. It's one of those unfortunate things for New Zealanders and those living in New Caledonia. If you look at the map above you can clearly see the boundaries that define which Government looks after the official forecasting for cyclones. They all come together in the area that's north west of NZ - usually an area we watch closely for storms like this that can come our way. From a news reporting point of view - and from the public's point of view - it makes things confusing and messy.

Shown above: A map of international tropical cyclone warning centres.

Graphic / Bureau of Meteorology

Now to be fair and balanced I have to admit that New Zealand sees only about 1 tropical cyclone come down our way each year and even rarer for one to actually make landfall. Australia should only be focusing on Australia and Fiji looks after many of the Fiji Islands. I think MetService would do a far better job than Nadi - it's a shame that we don't have Wellington covering the entire Nadi area too. Fiji's weather updates this time around were slow and out of date - and at one stage they had completely conflicting information on their site. Granted this cyclone was then dying and I guess all lost interest in it...but still, not professional in my eyes.

I guess I'm venting a bit here... as usually these organisations do a good job but this just highlights the messiness of having 3 zones cover our one area. If you look at America you can see that Miami covers ALL of North America and northern parts of Central America - plus all the Caribbean. This means ANY hurricane that forms in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific Ocean will be monitored by these guys pretty much. Canada, which has some regions at the same distance from the equator as New Zealand, falls under America if any Atlantic storm comes up the east coast. In NZ we need to rely on two organisations before MetService finally take controls. Once MetService has it it's fine - the information is detailed and trustworthy. Having one organisation covering it all means the news media - and weather news websites like the Weather Watch Centre - can go to one single source for all of the information. It's reliable and most of all consistent.

Going back to my fair and balanced line before - lets be honest where those borders all meet up in the north Tasman Sea/southern Coral Sea there is no real land mass. New Caledonia is the closest. I suppose you also have to draw the line somewhere...although to me drawing it east of NZ instead of just west of us would make a lot more sense.  (Abridged)

Philip Duncan


#216 From: "Bob McDavitt" <bobmcdavitt@...>
Date: Sun Apr 5, 2009 10:11 am
Subject: N E W S E M A I L from Met Soc: March 2009
bobmcd2001
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Met Society Newsletter

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter: http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/march2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their “March” newsletter

 

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>><<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<

 

Minutes of a

Special General Meeting of the

 Meteorological Society of New Zealand (Inc.)

Wednesday, March 17th, 2009,

 NIWA, Greta Point, Wellington

 

The meeting opened at 2:05pm

 

The meeting was chaired by Mike Revell (President) and the minutes have been written by Sam Dean (Secretary).

 

1. Attendance

 

Andrew Tait                 Andrew Laing              Mike Revell                 Sam Dean

John Sansom               Errol Laithwaite           Duncan Ackerley         Craig Thompson

Brett Mullan                 Rowena Moss              Sylvia Nicol                 Mike Harvey

Murray Poulter             Rupert Wood               Trevor Carey-Smith     Alan Porteus

Cliff Revell                  Katrina Richards          James Renwick

 

2. Apologies

 

Kim Dirks, John Hickman

 

3. Other Matters

 

Change of Constitution.

Mike Revell explained that the society was applying to be a charity and that this would mean that the society would no longer have to pay hundreds of dollars each year in taxes. The Metsoc’s application had been declined because the clause in the constitution relating to the dissolution of the society was inadequate. The special general meeting was called to amend the constitution to a form that was suggested by the Charities Commission. There was discussion on the wording of the final sentence which had been added by Sam.  

 

Sam Dean then put forward the motion that:

 

Section 18 of the constitution, which currently states:  “In the event of dissolution of the Society the disposition of any assets shall be decided at the last General Meeting provided that any property whatsoever shall not be paid to or distributed among the members of the Society”.

 

Be replaced in its entirety by the words:

 

“If any property remains after winding up or dissolution of the Society  and the settlement of all the Societies debts and liabilities, that  property must be given or transferred to another organisation that is  charitable under New Zealand law or for some other charitable purpose  recognised under New Zealand law. The recipient organisation shall be decided at the last General Meeting.”

 

The motion was seconded by Mike Revell and carried unanimously.

 

With no other business put forward the meeting was declared closed at 2:15pm.

 

 

 

REGIONAL REPORTS

AUCKLAND

Richard McKenzie of NIWA, a world authority on UV from Lauder, is giving a talk on 7 April at 12.30pm in the NIWA Conference Room, 41 Market Place, Viaduct Basin, Auckland Central.

Title: "How to balance your benefits and risks of solar UV exposure" or "Balancing Risk and benefits of UV exposure"

 

WELLINGTON

As part of the special general meeting at NIWA, Greta Point,  held on Wednesday the 17th of March the Wellington branch of the Meteorological Society organised two 15 minute seminars. The first was by Mike Revell on the meteorology of the Australian bush fires and the second by James Renwick on the cause of shifting storm tracks under global warming.

 

WAIRARAPA WEATHER WATCHERS (by Alex Neale)

In February about 16 members attended our third meeting of the summer season. The topic was based on a recent article in Weather dealing the Space Weather. While it was outside the comfort zone of most at the meeting including myself, it certainly generated more interest than I expected. In particular one member, who is involved with radio communications, found he enjoyed the relationship between events in the ionosphere and the meeting, at the stratopause, of ionospheric and meteorological interests.

Any past Wellington Weather Watchers may be interested to know that I recently met Bill Lees (now of Melbourne and now a Wairarapa Weather Watchers member) who was remarking on how the climate in Melbourne has changed resulting in the increased temperatures recently being experienced - and that was not long before the recent extreme heatwave and fires!

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>><<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< 

 

Annual Conference

Our next annual conference will be held

 

2 - 4 September 2009 at the University of Auckland jointly with the NZ Marine Sciences Society

 

Early registration and abstracts for presentations are due 1 June 2009

Venue

The venue is to be the Owen Glenn Building, University of Auckland.  Deadline is 1st June for submission of abstracts for offers of presentations (talks and posters) and early registration. The conference dinner will be on Friday 4th September.

Theme

The broad theme is ‘Oceans and climate', but we look forward to presentations from a broad range of professional and student investigators.

Sponsors

Sponsors help by suppling venues, support services, student registration grants, student prizes, and special offers for attendees. Suggestions for sponsors and organisations who may wish to hire display stand space are welcome.  Please contact any member of the organising committee or the NZMSS council.

Organising Committee

Megan Stewart (ARC); Sandra Hinni and Emily Jones (Golder); Steve O’Shea (AUT); Mark Costello (Chair), Richard Taylor (UoA Leigh Marine Lab); Jim Salinger (Met Soc); Mary Livingston (MFish); David Raubenheimer (Massey); Kim Dirks (Met Soc); Paul Kench (UoA SGGES); Kendall Clements (UoA SBS); Dan McClary (Golder); Ann McCrone (DoC); Tom Trnski (Auckland Museum); and graduates Mark Fitzpatrick, Emily Duder, Elliot Brown, Jenni Stanley, Corinne Klein (UoA Marine Science); Kyle Morgan (UoA SGGES); Gabriel Machovsky (Massey).


#217 From: metsocak@yahoogroups.com
Date: Mon Apr 6, 2009 12:25 am
Subject: "Balancing Risk and benefits of UV exposure", 4/7/2009, 12:30 pm
metsocak@yahoogroups.com
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Reminder from:   metsocak Yahoo! Group
 
Title:   "Balancing Risk and benefits of UV exposure"
 
Date:   Tuesday April 7, 2009
Time:   12:30 pm - 1:30 pm
Location:   NIWA Conference Room, 41 Market Place, Viaduct Basin, Auckland Central.
Notes:   AUCKLAND
Richard McKenzie of NIWA, a world authority on UV from Lauder, is giving a talk on 7 April at 12.30pm in the NIWA Conference Room, 41 Market Place, Viaduct Basin, Auckland Central.
Title: "How to balance your benefits and risks of solar UV exposure" or "Balancing Risk and benefits of UV exposure"
 
Copyright © 2009  Yahoo! Inc. All Rights Reserved | Terms of Service | Privacy Policy

#218 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Thu Apr 30, 2009 11:34 am
Subject: N E W S E M A I L F R O M M E T S O C I E T Y
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A brief note to confirm that the Met Society Committee have indeed  sent a letter of support to our Auckland Committee member Dr Jim Salinger after his dismissal by NIWA.   Jim has been active in the Met Society since its foundation, being our Secretary for most of ten years, President for two and on the general committee for many more, as now.  Jim continues to work tirelessly in our conference planning, including the successful Weatherwatch '96 and the upcoming NZMSS Conference to be held in Auckland in September.  We wish Jim Salinger all the best, and acknowledge the relevance and professionalism of his attitude to the Science of Meteorology and of Climate Change.
 
Jim's dismissal became  a topic mentioned in 'Questions in the House ' of New Zealand Parliament  on Wednesday 29 April .
For more on this topic read the following:
(includes a You Tube video of the Questions and Answers from Parliament TV)
 
To follow the latest check out
 
Bob McDavitt ,  Met Soc Newsletter Editor
 
 
 
 

#219 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Mon May 4, 2009 11:05 am
Subject: M E T S O C N E W S E M A I L - First Notice of this year's conference
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Please print out the attached flyer ( if you can) and post on suitable notice boards around NZ.
 
 
For those who can not read the attached file.. ..
 
The Met Soc conference this year will be held
as a joint conference with NEW ZEALAND MARINE SCIENCES  SOCIETY
at The University of Auckland
on 2-4 September
 
 
Early registration and abstracts are due 1 June 2009

#220 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Thu May 21, 2009 9:25 am
Subject: Reminder: First Notice of this year's conference
bobmcd2001
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The Met Soc conference this year will be held
as a joint conference with NEW ZEALAND MARINE SCIENCES  SOCIETY
at The University of Auckland
on 2-4 September
 
 REMINDER
Early registration and abstracts are due 1 June 2009
REGISTER NOW AND SAVE $50
 

Registration Fees (unemployed and retired may use student rates):

 

  Full rate*                                                   $375

  Student rate*                                             $165

  Member [MetSoc or NZMSS?]                $330

  Student Member                                       $140

*Membership for NZMSS/ MetSoc NOT current, annual membership fee included

 

One Day Options:

  Wednesday Sept 2                                   $150

  Thursday Sept 3                                       $150

  Friday Sept 4                                            $150

 

  Dinner                                                       $75

 

  Registration Fee after 1st July  $50 (additional to above)

 

#221 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Thu May 28, 2009 9:53 am
Subject: M E T S O C N E W S E M A I L -April news clips
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Met Society Newsletter

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter: http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/clipsapr2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their “June” newsletter

 

 

Blessing for launch of weather radar project   

http://www.gisborneherald.co.nz/Default.aspx?s=3&s1=2&id=10686

Gisborne Herald 4 April 2009
Construction of MetService's new Mahia weather radar was launched with a blessing ceremony conducted by the local iwi Rongomaiwahine today.
The new radar will have a 300 kilometre range covering the Gisborne and Hawke's Bay regions, and across the Urewera into central North Island - allowing better forecasting of torrential rain events in those areas.
The Mahia radar is the second of five new radars being funded from MetService's contact with the Ministry of Transport to help provide data to support the issuing of weather warnings for severe weather and severe thunderstorms.
Resource consent for the project was received from Wairoa District Council this week.

"It will provide a valuable extension to our network", says MetService national weather services manager Rod Stainer.

"The reaction from local Maori and landowners has been very positive, and we are delighted to have the project launched with a ceremony in keeping with local traditions" said MetService project director Tony Quayle.

Further radars will be installed in the Bay of Plenty, on the West Coast of the South Island, and in Northland over the next three years. (abridged)

 

Weather looking good for Easter holiday fun

Thursday Apr 09, 2009 By James Ihaka New Zealand Herald


Olivia Judd (left) and Shana Martin from the US practise log rolling skills for Auckland's Royal Easter Show. Photo / Paul Estcourt

After a cold start for many on Good Friday, the long Easter weekend promises mainly fine and settled weather. MetService forecaster Cameron Coutts said frosts were expected tomorrow morning from Waikato southwards.

"It will probably be one of the coldest mornings yet, but temperatures will warm probably into the late teens."

Similar conditions were expected on Saturday morning, but the rest of the weekend should bring fine weather and normal temperatures.

"It will be good for the people travelling to their holiday haunts, in the North Island anyway," said Mr Coutts.

Parts of the Bay of Plenty, Gisborne and Hawkes Bay are the best bets for an April tan, with northwesterly winds boosting temperatures there to highs of about 22C on Saturday and Sunday.

Weatherwatch head analyst Philip Duncan said the weekend was not likely to produce any extreme weather. Those travelling north to holiday spots could expect a sunny start tomorrow. Fine weather was expected over the weekend with temperatures around 19C.

 

Warning: Make the most of sun this weekend

Saturday Apr 18, 2009 By Alanah May Eriksen NZHerald

A couple pose for wedding photos at Mission Bay. The dark clouds do not match up with the fine weather forecast for the weekend but are a pointer to what is in store next week. Photo / Paul Estcourt

Make the most of the fine weather this weekend - forecasters predict storms on the horizon. The MetService says the so-called "Indian summer" - with some April mornings as warm as a typical January day - was probably a popular reaction to the cold snap before Easter.

"It got cold there for a while," said forecaster Marylin Avery.  "It feels like a bit of a reprieve with this nice weather coming back.”

"April weather is very changeable, very varied. You don't know what's going to happen next. With school holidays at the moment, I guess you'd better make the most of it."

Philip Duncan of the Weather Watch Centre said a  low formed yesterday and would deepen quickly during the weekend. It might warrant heavy rain warnings, most likely in Northland and on the Coromandel Peninsula and bring gale force winds across the Hauraki Gulf and Eastern Waikato.

"Farms, gardens and water tanks are drying out across the country," Mr Duncan said.

"We went from a wet February to a very dry March and first two weeks of April.

 

Drought plan as rain arrives

http://www.stuff.co.nz/dominion-post/news/hawkes-bay/2348468/Drought-plan-as-rain-arrives

By BERNARD CARPINTER - The Dominion Post 21 April 2009

Gisborne Herald

GOOD WEATHER FOR DUCKS: Consistent rain has started to fall in parched areas of Gisborne, with a farmer saying it is perfect to soak into the ground. Although more rain is predicted till Friday, Agriculture Minister David Carter says it will not be strong enough to break the drought.

The Government has announced it will give drought assistance to farmers in Gisborne and Wairoa the same day a heavy rain warning was issued for the parched region.

Agriculture Minister David Carter revealed the aid package yesterday, after meeting the local drought committee in Gisborne.

The package will include tax assistance measures, cash for farm management advice and funding for rural support trusts.

A spokeswoman for Mr Carter said it was hard to put a figure on the package as it depended on how many farmers asked for help. At present, 75 farms were severely affected but conditions on more were deteriorating as the drought continued. Apart from January, Gisborne's rainfall has been well below average each month since July last year. Hawke's Bay farms have also been hit by drought.

However, yesterday MetService issued a severe weather warning for the area, with up to 90 millimetres of rain expected to fall between Coromandel and Wairoa during 24 hours. Rain began falling about mid-afternoon yesterday and police reported several crashes on State Highway 29, through the Kaimai Range in western Bay of Plenty. They urged drivers to be cautious as wet weather made roads slippery.

Amanda Cave, whose family farms in hills 30 kilometres west of Gisborne, said the dry summer and autumn had left their property parched. But yesterday's consistent rain was perfect to soak into the ground. "It's very relaxing."

More rain is forecast for Gisborne through to Friday, but Mr Carter said it would not be enough to alleviate the effects of the drought. "East Coast farmers are bearing the brunt of three years of extreme weather.  The Government knows this is putting severe pressure on rural communities and that they need help to get through this."

Federated Farmers spokesman Frank Brenmuhl welcomed the Government's rapid response, but said that other regions were also at risk, including inland parts of Wairarapa and Hawke's Bay. (abridged)

 

It's autumn and it's cool

http://www.stuff.co.nz/dominion-post/news/central-north-island/2359547/Its-autumn-and-its-cool

24/04/2009 The Dominion Post

ROBERT KITCHIN/The Dominion Post

AUTUMN DAYS: Annabel Twomey playing in the leaves at Masterton's Queen Elizabeth Park in Masterton, the coldest place in New Zealand this week, with a seven-degree frost.

MetService spokesman Bob McDavitt said the frosts were over, and it would be warmer by the weekend. Heavy rain is forecast for Northland and the West Coast but Wellington should be overcast and about 15 degrees celsius on Anzac Day.

 

Longing for the lazy, hazy days of summer

http://www.stuff.co.nz/dominion-post/wellington/2354619/Longing-for-the-lazy-hazy-days-of-summer

23/04/2009 By REBECCA THOMSON - The Wellingtonian / Dominion Post

HEATING UP: NIWA figures show Wellington's summers have been getting warmer, with particularly hot summers during the 1980s.

Did summers seem longer and hotter 20 years ago?

One of our readers thinks so. In a letter to the editor, Pamela Stainton recalled hot, dry summers during the 1970s and 80s. "Am I imagining things or was this summer colder than usual?" she asked.
It turns out that our weather-conscious reader might be at least partially right. The 1980s was an especially hot decade. National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research figures show that this summer, temperatures were, in fact, between 0.5 and 1.5 degrees higher than average.  Summers have actually been getting warmer since the 1960s, but there was a spike in temperatures during the 1980s.
The summer period is December 1 to March 1. During the 1960s, the average temperature during this period was 16.8 degrees Celsius. This decade summer temperatures have averaged 17.3C. During the 1980s, summer temperature averaged 17.7C.

Climate scientist Dr Andrew Tait attributed the hot 1980s to fewer anti-cyclones (highs) to the west of the South Island. "This weather pattern results in south-westerly to southerly flow over New Zealand, which tends to be cooler," he said. "In addition, anti-cyclones generally have low moisture content, and that might also explain the higher than average relative humidity observed in Wellington in this decade."
Summertime humidity has risen since the 1960s, when the average was 73.8 per cent. During the 1980s, humidity averaged 78 per cent and this decade humidity was 75 per cent during summer (abridged).

Whakatane's sunshine claim discredited 

http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/whakatanes-sunshine-claim-discredited-2672604

24 April 2009, NZPA / TVNZ

Whakatane has lost its fight with the government boffins to be crowned New Zealand's sunshine capital.

The National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (Niwa) issued test findings on Thursday which, it claims, show the sunshine recorder at Whakatane's oxidation ponds is making faulty measurements.

Whakatane's recorder logged up 2703 sunshine hours in 2008, well ahead of second-placed Blenheim with 2505 hours. But Niwa said that was too good to be true. Setting up its own recorder alongside Whakatane's, Niwa ran tests over 30 days, from March 11 to April 9 inclusive, and Thursday's report says the Whakatane instrument notched up an average of 12.1 minutes a day more sunshine than Niwa's.

Over the 366 days of 2008, that still only comes to an extra 73 hours, leaving Whakatane outshining Blenheim, but Niwa says the faulty readings are enough to invalidate the Eastern Bay result.

Mary Hermanson, marketing manager of Eastern Bay economic development agency Toi-EDA, still reckoned Whakatane was New Zealand's sunniest spot but said -whatever the result - the publicity the issue had generated had been a huge plus for the region. Whakatane's recorder has now been adjusted to measure the golden rays in the same way as Niwa's, and she was happy to wait until the end of 2009 for the sunshine crown to come to "its rightful place". (abridged)

 

Face of NIWA sacked for talking to media 

http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/face-niwa-sacked-being-too-public-2673255

Friday April 24, 200 TVNZ

ONE News sJim Salinger

One of New Zealand's top climate scientists has just been fired from his job at the National Institute of Water & Atmospheric research (NIWA). 

Dr Jim Salinger has been the public face of the organisation for three decades, but says it was his unauthorised talking to the media that's got him sacked.
Salinger, whose work as a science communicator has earned him accolades and even contributed to a Nobel Peace Prize, says he is now planning to sue his former employer for unjustified dismissal because according to him, he cannot understand why he was sacked.

"It's not as though I'm doing bad science, it's not as though I'm not performing and so I'm really astounded".

What got Salinger fired is something that in the past brought him high praise - talking to the media.

Salinger says he always believed that his media work actually brought NIWA into repute.

And indeed, NIWA is not claiming any concern about what their principal scientist actually said to the media. It's that he defied new policy - speaking publicly without gaining prior approval.

One instance of what NIWA calls "serious misconduct" was when he participated in a ONE News story about the shrinking of New Zealand's glaciers.

 

Another case where he was quoted was described as insubordination.

But Salinger says the reasons given for his dismissal are not strong enough to get him fired.

"As scientists we're all a bit eccentric and we all might slightly break protocol, but it's not going to destroy NIWA".

And Dr John Lancashire from the NZ Institute of Agricultural & Horticultural Science agrees with Salinger's views.

"I'm not aware of any other country sacking a Nobel award winner or for that matter a companion of the Royal Society of NZ, so that's a bit strange I'd have to say".

NIWA says it will not talk about an employment issue publicly, but says it had given him warnings before his dismissal.

Late Thursday, Dr Salinger arrived home from NIWA for the last time. He may head the World Commission for Agricultural Meteorology, but now has no job to go to in his own country.

His work now is to make room for over 30 years of scientific papers - the quality of which is not in question.

And indeed, NIWA is not claiming any concern about what their principal scientist actually said to the media. It's that he defied new policy - speaking publicly without gaining prior approval.

One instance of what NIWA calls "serious misconduct" was when he participated in a ONE News story about the shrinking of New Zealand's glaciers.

 

View Jeanette Fitzsimmons question in the house at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P-Bj9khD97s

 

Or listen to a Radio NZ interview

http://admin.radionz.co.nz/__data/assets/audio_item/0010/1926694/ckpt-20090424-1828-Jim_Salinger_sacked_from_NIWA-m048.asx

 

Slip blocks road in stormy weekend

http://www.bayofplentytimes.co.nz/localnews/storydisplay.cfm?storyid=3797418&thesection=localnews&thesubsection=&thesecondsubsection=
27.04.2009  by Vicki Waterhouse and Lauren Owens   Bay of Plenty Times

PICTURE CLAIRE DE BARR: Oropi Gorge Rd disappeared beneath a torrent of dirt and scrub this morning.

A massive slip on a rural road blocked traffic this morning, apparently forcing vehicles, including a school bus, to reverse back up the treacherous incline.

Firefighters responding to a call to remove a log blocking a road instead found the slip on Oropi Gorge Rd, that occurred after a weekend of heavy rain.

The MetService said Tauranga had 18mm of rain in the last 24 hours. The heaviest period was last night between 4pm and 6pm when 12mm fell.

 

Greymouth hit by 'weather bomb'

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2370278/Greymouth-hit-by-weather-bomb

28 April 2009 Greymouth Times

A sudden deluge in Greymouth has badly damaged a number of houses and it will be several weeks before the residents are allowed to return.

Greymouth appeared to suffer the worst from a band of heavy rain that moved up the country last night - prompting rain warnings from the MetService and cautions on road conditions. Eleven people were evacuated in Greymouth, including two from council pensioner flats, when more than 10cm of rain fell in a few hours.

Grey District Mayor Tony Kokshoorn told NZPA that a  "massive weather bomb and flash flood" saw one house knee-deep in water and the volume of water going down the road made it look like a little river.

The MetService said the heaviest rain in Westland had passed but there was a heavy rain warning for areas from Canterbury north to Taranaki. That has prompted a warning for drivers to drive to conditions ahead of heavy rain in Wellington region.

(abridged)- NZPA

 

Haast highway closed by flooding

Otago Daily Times Tue 28 April 2009

 

Photo copyright to Matthew Haggart.

Flood-prone Pipson Creek near Makarora burst its banks and closed State Highway 6 yesterday afternoon, as torrential rain fell across the Main Divide.

Forecast heavy rain for the West Coast and Main Divide arrived as predicted on Sunday night and brought down slips further along SH6 to Haast, and flooded the coastal highway, further north.  The remote mountain valley township of Pipson Creek recorded 84mm of rain in the 24 hours to 4pm, yesterday, according to the Otago Regional Council's water information website - only 6mm away from activating a first landslip monitoring warning.

Makarora Civil Defence co-ordinator David Howe said the creek had overflowed its banks about 11.30am.  The main link to the West Coast was closed shortly after 1pm, he said.

Heavy rain also fell around Wanaka and Hawea, with about 26mm recorded in the 24 hours to 4pm yesterday. (abridged)

 


#222 From: "bobmcd2001" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Thu Jun 4, 2009 12:17 pm
Subject: You are invited to------ "Heat Waves -- Causes, consequences and responses "
bobmcd2001
Offline Offline
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*********************************************************
NOTICE OF PUBLIC TALK - CLIMATE AND HEALTH

Guest speaker: Dr. Glenn McGregor
Title: "Heat waves - Causes, consequences, and responses"


Where: Conference Room, Ground Floor, NIWA Auckland, 41 Market Place,
Auckland Central 1010
When: 1230pm, 19 June 2009
Duration: Approx 40 minutes, followed by tea/coffee.


Glenn is a graduate of the University of Auckland (BSc and MSc - 1st
Class) and the University of Canterbury (PhD). Currently he is Professor of
Physical Geography and Climatology and Director of the School of Geography,
Geology and Environmental Science at the University of Auckland. He has
previously worked in Geography departments at King's College London, University
of Birmingham, Hong Kong Baptist University and the University of Papua New
Guinea as well as holding a research fellowship in the Institute of Low
Temperature Science at the University of Hokkaido, Japan. Glenn is Chief Editor
of the Royal Meteorological Society's International Journal of Climatology, the
WMO Commission on Climatology's Lead Expert on Climate and Health, an Executive
Board member and President elect of the International Society of Biometeorology.

Principal climate and health research questions of interest to Glenn are
(a) what is the role of climate as a stressor on health? (b) are climate based
predictions of health outcomes possible for a range of timescales?
(c) to what extent might climate variability and change affect health
and existing or predicted stresses on health? (d) what are the
uncertainties associated with climate change related health projections?
(e) what is the nature of the interaction between extreme weather and
climate anomalies and the urban socio-economic landscape in terms of
health outcomes? (f) does society possess the capacity to adapt to
climate variability and change through modifications to health
infrastructure, management and policy by adopting specific adaptive
measures?

Glenn has been involved with numerous climate and health research
projects, such as seasonal climate forecasting and health in the UK,
investigating London's urban heat island, experimental heat health watch warning
systems for 5 European cities, as well as the development and testing of summer
season health forecasting models.


If you would like to attend, pllease RSVP to Georgina Griffiths,
gm.griffiths@... by June 18th.

********************************************************
Georgina Griffiths
Senior Climate Scientist
National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research Ltd.,
41 Market Place, Auckland Central, Auckland 1010 Private Bag 99940,
Newmarket, Auckland 1149, New Zealand
Tel: +64 9 375 4506  Fax: +64 9 375 2051
Mobile: 027 293 6545
NIWA is the trading name of the National Institute of Water &
Atmospheric Research Ltd.

#223 From: metsocak@yahoogroups.com
Date: Tue Jun 16, 2009 12:26 am
Subject: CLIMATE AND HEALTH, 6/19/2009, 12:30 pm
metsocak@yahoogroups.com
Send Email Send Email
 
Reminder from:   metsocak Yahoo! Group
 
Title:   CLIMATE AND HEALTH
 
Date:   Friday June 19, 2009
Time:   12:30 pm - 1:30 pm
Location:   Conference Room, Ground Floor, NIWA Auckland, 41 Market Place, Auckland Central 1010
Notes:  
Guest speaker: Dr. Glenn McGregor
Title: "Heat waves - Causes, consequences, and responses"

If you would like to attend, pllease RSVP to Georgina Griffiths, gm.griffiths@... by June 18th.
 
Copyright © 2009  Yahoo! Inc. All Rights Reserved | Terms of Service | Privacy Policy

#224 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Mon Jun 29, 2009 9:37 am
Subject: M E T S O C N E W S E M A I L - Notice of this year's conference
bobmcd2001
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Please print out the attached flyer ( if you can) and post on suitable notice boards around NZ.
 
For those who can not read the attached file.. ....
 
The Met Soc conference this year will be held
as a joint conference with NEW ZEALAND MARINE SCIENCES  SOCIETY
at The University of Auckland
on 2-4 September
 
 
Early registration closes  1 July 2009

#225 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Wed Jul 1, 2009 10:48 am
Subject: M E T S O C N E W S E M A I L -May news clips
bobmcd2001
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Met Society Newsletter

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter: http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/clipsmay2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their “June” newsletter

 

Winter's here with a bang

By MATT CALMAN - The Dominion Post 07/05/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/2390174/Winters-here-with-a-bang

GERARD SMITH

DAY BREAKS: Lightning over the Orongorongos, snapped at 6.15 Wednesday morning from Fortification Rd, above Wellington's Scorching Bay.

Firefighters dealt with minor flooding in Brooklyn and Island Bay yesterday morning and thunder set off a fire alarm in Newtown.  Sergeant Mark Oliver, from police central communications, said patrol cars struggled to reach a car accident in Berhampore about 5.30am because of hail on the road.  "It was like marbles down Adelaide Rd."

MetService forecaster Allister Gorman said lightning storms had arrived in the capital early this morning after tracking northwards up the South Island overnight.

"In the last 24 hours there have been around 800 lightning flashes, but that's been pretty spread out around the country. Everyone has been getting a little dose of something."

-with CLIO FRANCIS, Stuff.co.nz, with The Press and NZPA  (abridged)

 

'Hi, coastguard? I seem to have run dry'

By MARC GREENHILL - The Press  07/05/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2390410/Hi-coastguard-I-seem-to-have-run-dry

DAVID HALLETT/The Press

RUN AGROUND: Greg Broom calls for help after his yacht lost its mooring in Moncks Bay and was washed up on South Shore Spit yesterday.

A Christchurch man watched a whirlpool rip his yacht from its Moncks Bay mooring early yesterday.  He was forced to watch from the shore because it was too dangerous to approach. "It was almost motoring up on to the mooring like it was under power that's how fast it was going against the tide," Broom said. "It would fire straight ahead and kick around to 90 degrees like somebody was flicking it around in their hand." (abridged)

 

Tour buses stranded by weather

By John Lewis on Mon, 11 May 2009 Otago Daily Times

More than 80 people were trapped for several hours in three tour buses on the Lindis Pass last night after a wintry blast left the buses stranded on slippery, snowy roads.

Sergeant Wayne Brew, of Oamaru, said the buses were heading from Omarama towards Wanaka when the road became impassable about 7pm.

Police helped get two of the buses turned around and headed back down State Highway 8 to Omarama, but the third was still trapped late last night.

Snow closed the highway from Omarama over the pass to Tarras and closer to Dunedin,

(Abridged)

 

More icy weather tipped for south

The Southland Times  11/05/2009

BARRY HARCOURT/The Southland Times

White tract: A tractor covered by snow that fell on the road between Nightcaps and Ohai yesterday.

Snow fell to the foothills in Southland, West Otago and Queenstown yesterday, as temperatures rapidly plummeted.  The snow is good news for skifields in the Southern Lakes district with The Remarkables reporting a 25cm snow base and Coronet 30cm, while Treble Cone has 20cm mid-mountain, and Cardrona 30cm. (abridged)

 

Wild weather in Tauranga

By MICHAEL FOX - Stuff.co.nz 11/05/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2401406/Wild-weather-in-Tauranga

DONNA FORLONG


Tauranga Hail

BURRIED in hail: corner of Concord Ave and Oceanbeach Rd, Papamoa

TWISTER : A tornado ripped through Warkworth

Police have been evacuating the Bayfair Shopping Centre in Tauranga as the severe weather hits. They said the centre was flooding. A spokesman at the Tauranga Fire Station said there had been "extensive damage" to the mall.

Flooding had hit roads in the area, with Senior Sergeant Deirdre Lack of Mt Maunganui Police saying the hail had blocked drains and prevented the heavy rain from draining away.

Tauranga City Council spokesman Marcel Currin said that most of the surface flooding was at Mount Maunganui and Papamoa.

Metservice spokeswoman Kathleen Kozyniak said there had also been thunderstorms and lightning in the Western Bay of Plenty Area. (abridged)

- with MICHAEL FIELD

 

Storm lashes Bay of Plenty 

Monday May 11, 2009 TVNZ  ONE News/NZPA

http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/cold-snow-tipped-after-twisters-hail-2726755

A storm has hit the Western Bay of Plenty with heavy rain, waterspouts and hail stones the size of a 20 cent coin hitting the area.  Just before midday, a violent thunderstorm brought chaos to Papamoa and Mount Maunganui, with hail coating the areas.

There have also been thunderstorms and hail in Tauranga, Whakatane and Opotiki on Monday afternoon. Up to ten centimetres of hail fell in places, blocking drains and flooding several streets and houses. Worst affected were Oceanbeach Road, Concord Avenue and part of State Highway Two. The wild weather also churned up massive offshore twisters and the Bayfair Shopping Centre in Mt Maunganui evacuated 2000 people after a manhole collapsed sending floodwater into the building.

Papamoa residents say they saw several large waterspouts offshore between Motiti Island and Town Point and the winds that accompanied them were horrendous. Mt Maunganui resident Wattie Newtown said he watched five waterspouts, one which lasted five to 10 minutes. He said the hailstorm that followed left the beach looking like it was coated in snow.

 

Snow's up for winter surfers

By KELLY BURNS - The Dominion Post 12/05/200

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2402566/Snows-up-for-winter-surfers

Sunday News

MAKING THE MOST OF IT: A snowboarder makes the most of a thick blanket of hail to get a tow along Papamoa Beach.

Beaches were turned into a winter wonderland as hailstorms hammered the North Island, prompting snowboarders to hit the sand dunes.

Winter came early in dramatic fashion yesterday as a mini-tornado, hail, rain and snow sent chills across the country. In the Bay of Plenty, the violent storms brought traffic to a standstill, sparked surface flooding and caused thousands of lightning strikes.

More than 2000 people were evacuated from Mt Maunganui's Bayfair shopping mall after hail collapsed part of its roof and heavy rain caused flooding.

Papamoa Primary School is closed today after rain and hail 15 centimetres deep in places blocked drains and flooded classrooms.

Ellen Irvine said marble-sized hailstones hammered the roof of her Papamoa home about midday with such force she thought the windows would break.

Her garden became a "winter wonderland" and hail blanketed Papamoa beach, but then the sun shone and snowboarders made the most of the conditions on the sand dunes..

Whakatane police said lightning struck a tree that landed on a garage, and lightning also hit a fusebox at Paroa Road School. "We've had six inches of hail, it's a bit like a weather-bomb," Sergeant Floyd Pratt said.

A mini-tornado ripped through Warkworth, north of Auckland, reaching estimated speeds of 100kmh and cutting power to the town for about 10 minutes.

Residents in one house escaped unharmed after the tornado pulled the roof off their rented home, scattering the tiles in their backyard and punching holes through the ceiling.

Resident Raewyn Hudson said the tornado knocked over television aerials and birdbaths, uprooted small trees and broke branches.

MetService forecaster Erick Brenstrum said up to 5000 lightning strikes may have hit the Bay of Plenty yesterday.

Skiers were rejoicing at the snowfalls. Mt Ruapehu spokesman Mike Smith said there had been a dramatic change on the ski-fields in the past week, with about 60cm of snow falling at Turoa and 50cm at Whakapapa. (abridged)

 

 

Hail costs kiwifruit growers $10m

By NICK CHURCHOUSE - The Dominion Post Last updated 05:00 21/05/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/industries/2428173/Hail-costs-kiwifruit-growers-10m

BETTER TIMES:

Crop damage from Bay of Plenty's recent freak hail storms are up to $10 million, well in excess of industry rescue funds for weather-hit orchards.  Damage assessment is still under way after unseasonal hail storms hit kiwifruit country around Tauranga and Te Puke, but the loss is likely to reach almost three million trays of fruit.

New Zealand Kiwifruit Growers president Peter Ombler said evaluation visits were not complete but at last count 467 orchards were affected. More than three-quarters of those had lost less than 20 per cent of their fruit, but at least 23 had written off their entire crop.

Two fierce hail storms hit localised areas last week, with the second front crossing prime orcharding land pelting ripe crops waiting to be harvested. The impact on the industry as a whole was not major, with damaged fruit only 3 per cent of volume, so international orders would be filled.

But with limited insurance money available for orchardists, some would miss out, Mr Ombler said. The industry held $4 million in reserve each year to help weather affected farmers, split between gold kiwifruit and green kiwifruit growers.  Mr Ombler said only 500,000 gold kiwifruit were hit by the hail, but the green harvest was less advanced and at least 2.4 million were damaged. The emergency fund for green kiwifruit would not cover the extent of the damage. (abridged)

 

Early snow disrupts travel but gives skifields hope

ODT Tue, 12 May 2009

http://www.odt.co.nz/the-regions/otago/55426/early-snow-causes-some-disruption

Paul Speedy, manager of the adults' snowsports school at Coronet Peak, jumps for joy in front of the base building yesterday morning. Photo Supplied.

MetService forecaster Vive Binkoto said a break in the weather was expected this afternoon but another low off the coast of the South Island would bring cold showers to sea level and snow to about 700m tonight.

Coronet Peak ski area manager Hamish McCrostie said he was "thrilled" with the weekend's conditions.  Up to 50cm of snow had fallen in the area in the last week.

He said 25cm had fallen at the top of the mountain over Sunday night, and 15cm at the base.

(abridged)

 

Rivers rising as rain gauge blows its top

By SAM McKNIGHT - The Southland Times 14/05/200

http://www.stuff.co.nz/southland-times/news/2409448/Rivers-rising-as-rain-gauge-blows-its-top

BARRY HARCOURT/142150

SPLASHING OUT: Persistent rain in the south during the past few days has flooded Invercargill roads, making for hazardous driving.

More than 60 millimetres of rain has fallen in Invercargill during the past four days, a significant amount in such a short period of time, according to the MetService.

Consultant meteorologist Ross Marsden said the service's Invercargill Airport gauge had recorded 62.8mm of rainfall from midnight Sunday to 3pm yesterday. (abridged)

 

Expected rain puts lake watchers on alert

 Southland Times, Timaru Herald 15/05/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2413268/Expected-rain-puts-lake-watchers-on-alert/

BARRY HARCOURT/The Southland Times

DOWNPOUR: Heavy rain has flooded parts of Southland.

Meridian Energy staff will be keeping a close eye on the weather over the next few days with Upper Waitaki hydro storage lakes already high and heavier rain forecast.

Flooding closed the road from Queenstown to Invercargill yesterday after days of steady rainfall pelted Southland.  Regional council environmental director John Threlfall said heavy rain and melting snow could raise lake levels significantly.

- Southland Times, Timaru Herald (abridged)

 

New Zealand glaciers still growing despite “global warming”

May 18, 2009 NZ Hearld

http://aftermathnews.wordpress.com/2009/05/18/new-zealand-glaciers-still-growing-despite-%E2%80%9Cglobal-warming%E2%80%9D/

New Zealand weather patterns mean the Fox Glacier is still growing despite global warming.

Researchers at a three-day science conference starting in Wellington today are looking at implications of new work on climate change.

Geomorphologist Andrew Mackintosh of Victoria University – who was part of new research showing New Zealand glaciers have been heavily influenced by regional atmospheric conditions – has already said people should not assume warming will be uniform over the Earth. “The more we’re learning about the Southern Hemisphere we understand that it has its own climate system that’s somewhat different.”

The researchers also included geologist David Barrell, of GNS Science, and glaciologist Trevor Chinn, of the Alpine and Polar Processes Consultancy, and they found no real correlation between data from the Northern and Southern Hemispheres.

The Fox and Franz Josef Glaciers are still growing, despite global warming, apparently because of weather patterns bringing more cool, wet conditions to New Zealand.

Such regional climate effects may mean New Zealand will show less warming than the rest of the world over the next 100 years.

Dr Barrell said the New Zealand findings point to the importance of regional shifts in wind directions and sea surface temperatures. (abridged)

 

Flooding and slips after deluge

By PAUL GORMAN - The Press 18/05/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/news/2418478/Flooding-and-slips-after-deluge

David Hallett

In flood: Tim and Sandra Jorgensen, of Darfield watch the Rakaia surge through the Rakaia Gorge.

Raging rivers roared across the South Island yesterday, flooding Omarama, threatening bridges and blocking the main highway south.

Rain fell on already sodden high-country catchments, while melting snow turned the Rangitata, Waitaki and Rakaia rivers into torrents.  The Rangitata River near State Highway 1 peaked about 2.30pm, with water bursting through its southern bank, flowing across farmland and roads, closing the highway and forcing motorists to detour inland through Geraldine.

The main trunk railway line was also closed between the Rangitata River and Temuka.

The old Waimakariri River bridge near Kaiapoi was also closed for a time yesterday.

Omarama was on the brink of a Civil Defence emergency yesterday, with 31 people evacuated from the camping ground at 5.30am, along with three residents living near the river.  A major slip closed the Lindis Pass, while a slip on the Mt Cook Highway caused problems.

MetService severe weather forecaster Ian Miller said the weather system had brought massive amounts of rain to the West Coast and the Southern Alps. The country's wettest place Cropp River inland from Hokitika had 440 millimetres of rain between midnight Friday and midnight Saturday, with another 106mm from then until 7am yesterday.

More than 300mm had fallen close to Mount Cook village and parts of the Mackenzie Country had about 70mm. (abridged)

 

Cold blast brings snow

20/05/2009 stuff.co.nz

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2425741/Winter-bites-on-countrys-roads

An icy blast of snowfall and gales has stopped ferries from sailing across the Cook Strait this morning and closed roads around New Zealand.

In Otago, State Highway 87 between Outram and Middlemarch was closed due to snow. The North Island's Desert Road, closed due to snow this morning, reopened about 10am.

The MetService had reports of snow down to 200m, though not in great amounts. However, conditions would ease over the day. (abridged)

 

Heavy snow forecast for central North Island

Wednesday May 20, 2009 NZ Herald 
The Desert Road (pictured) was temporarily closed due to snow earlier today, while some Otago roads remain off-limits to motorists. Photo / Catherine

The Desert Road (pictured) was temporarily closed due to snow earlier today, while some Otago roads remain off-limits to motorists. Photo / Catherine

The central North Island is expected to bear the brunt of a very cold front tonight, with heavy snowfalls expected from Hunterville on the southern foothills of the Central Plateau to the summit of the Desert Road. (abridged)

 

Hill suburbs affected by wintry blast

Thu, 21 May 2009  ODT

Emma Russell organises a tow truck after her car slid off Dalziel Rd.

 Photo by Stephen Jaquiery.

The wintry conditions that left Dunedin streets white yesterday morning are predicted to ease today.  Snow and hail fell in the hill suburbs and hail coated footpaths down to sea level.  Yesterday's cold weather also brought snow to the skifields in Wanaka and Queenstown and flooding to the Waitaki Bridge Camp from high flows in the Waitaki River.

Temperatures remained in single figures around the region, with the average temperature

(abridged)

 

Cook Strait swells set to top 12m

21/05/2009 Dom Post

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2428109/Cook-Strait-swells-set-to-top-12m

MARK HOTTON

WHITE OUT: Snow blankets the Crown Terrace, above Arrowtown, where about 15cm of

snow fell.

Twelve-metre swells in Cook Strait and snow showers are forecast as the North Island gets a taste of winter.

A cold southerly blast is expected to cause delays and possible cancellations of ferry sailings till the weekend. Swells peaked at 9m in Cook Strait yesterday. The highest swell recorded in Cook Strait was 14.2m in 2002.

Bluebridge ferry spokeswoman Wendy Pannett said two morning sailings had to be cancelled yesterday because of rough conditions but services resumed at 1pm.

Yesterday's high winds of up to 100kmh forced Meridian Energy to shut its new Makara wind farm to avoid damaging equipment. Some of the 25 turbines were out of action for about an hour at the peak of high winds early yesterday.

Freezing conditions in the central North Island have stranded seven trucks in Tongariro National Park overnight.  Police said the Rotorua region had experienced a large hail storm around 7pm. Roads from Nongotaha to Rotorua were covered two inches of slush and drivers should take care. Snow has also begun falling on the Desert Road.  Police said it was snowing moderately in the area and contractors were on site clearing roads.  Snow is also expected down to 400 metres on the Rimutaka Hill Road near Wellington tonight.

"The whole country is under a very cold south west flow. It's a good taste of winter," MetService forecaster Chris Noble said.

 

Cold blast set to hang around 

Thursday May 21, 2009 ONE News/Newstalk ZB

http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/cold-blast-set-hang-around-2748846

Tony Renshaw -Snow on the hills behind Rotorua

There has been chaos on roads in the Central Plateau on Thursday after a fresh dumping of snow, with many trucks left stranded.  One driver tried to put his brakes on, lost control and slid off the road. (abridged)

 

Record May rain keeps roofers busy

By Rebecca Fox on Fri, 22 May 2009 ODT

Marty Duffy, of Jobman, makes the most of the break in the weather to mend a leaky roof in Dunedin yesterday. Photo by Gerard O'Brien.

Dunedin's recent steady rain will see at least one suburb of the city break a 34-year-old rainfall record for May - with 10 days of the month remaining.  Balaclava resident John Bradley has been recording rainfall figures for the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (Niwa) for 34 years and his rain gauge for May so far shows 154mm, just 10mm short of the record 164mm in 1987.

MetService expects another cold front to cross the South Island today, bringing a return to cold southerlies and showers. Snow showers were forecast to 400m or 500m from Southland to Marlborough.

The rain, hail and snow in recent days had meant a busy time for building maintenance contractors, who have been inundated with calls from home and business owners about leaking roofs.  (abridged)

 

Dry ... . . and getting drier

Saturday, 23 May 2009 Roger Handford Gisborne Herald

http://www.gisborneherald.co.nz/Default.aspx?s=3&s1=2&id=11739

Farmers on the East Coast need to be aware the trend in the weather is for more dry years like the ones just experienced, says agricultural climatologist Alan Porteous.
Mr Porteous, of the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Science (Niwa), says while the current drought of eight dry months out of nine is unusual, more dry years can be expected in the Gisborne-East Coast area in the future. But Mr Porteous warns that the trend over the past 100 years points to a drier East Coast climate in the years ahead, with more dry springs likely.  Over the past hundred years, scientists have noted the westerly weather patterns becoming more persistent. Since the 1970s, the north and east of the North Island have become 10 percent drier overall and 5 percent drier in the summer, with the eastern regions getting more drought conditions.
“There is an underlying warming trend whereby New Zealand’s climate has warmed by about a degree over the past century,” Mr Porteous says.
Mr Porteous is involved in a number of projects with farmers, particularly in Hawke’s Bay, and says most seem to have a fairly good idea of what is happening with climate. “Some are responding to the challenge and have become involved in programmes such as planting riparian strips, protecting the headwaters of streams and hillside springs.”
Niwa and Mr Porteous have been working with the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, AgResearch, other Crown institutes and the Sustainable Farming Fund to tackle these issues. They aim to produce information that is readable and understandable, and plans that are practical and achievable on farm. “Farmers, particularly those on the drier hill country, need to do what they can to prepare for drier years — to adapt their management techniques and to protect water supplies. “This will be a huge challenge — but it also will be a huge opportunity, and I believe New Zealand and its agricultural community is better-placed than most to take advantage of the niche opportunities and chances for diversification that will arise.” (abridged)

 

It's going to get rough

By BRITTON BROUN - The Dominion Post 23/05/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2434495/Its-going-to-get-rough

CRAIG SIMCOX/ The Dominion Post

ROCKING AND ROLLING: A ship heads out into Cook Strait from Wellington Harbour yesterday.

A severe wind warning has been issued as gusts of up to 140kmh bear down on Wellington.

MetService forecaster Oliver Druce said yesterday's bleak weather was only going to get worse as southerly gusts increased today, reaching gale-force speeds of up to 140kmh in exposed places. The low was also expected to bring heavy rain in the coastal hills of Wairarapa, southern and eastern slopes of the Tararua Range, and Wellington.

Forecasters have predicted waves of up to 11 metres in Cook Strait.  (abridged)

 

 

Christchurch houses evacuated

23/05/2009 stuff.co.nz

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2435755/High-winds-cause-Wellington-chaos

NICK BLACK  DEBRIS: Flotsam washed up on Owhiro Bay Parade Wellington creates a hazard for motorists.

Residents have been evacuated from two Sumner, Christchurch, homes after a slip in the area this morning.

The 100cu m slip was part of a raft of weather-related damage nationwide, which included boats breaking from their moorings in Wellington, a Christchurch hotel losing its roof and power poles blocking a road near Upper Hutt.

Christchurch City Council transport and greenspace manager Alan Beuzenberg said the slip was on council reserve land on The Spur and had reduced Main Road below to a single lane.

"The homes which have been evacuated are directly behind the area of hillside which subsidised. These homes are some metres from the slip.

Bluebridge and Interislander ferry sailings were cancelled as high winds and huge swells affected the Cook Strait. About 700 people were stranded on either side of the strait.

Wind gusts of up to 140kmh hit the Wellington region, forcing the closure of Blue Mountains Road near Upper Hutt after several power poles were damaged and blocked the road, police said.  Power was briefly cut to about 1200 homes in the greater Wellington region after tree branches and debris across power lines knocked out electricity to homes in Ngauranga, Johnsonville and Plimmerton. (abridged)

 

A chill wind blows in 'Winterless' North

25.05.2009 by André Hueber Northern Advocate 

http://www.northernadvocate.co.nz/localnews/storydisplay.cfm?storyid=3798160&thesection=localnews&thesubsection=&thesecondsubsection=

Old Jack Frost pays a visit to Pohe Island. Picture/John Stone

Wrap up in woollies because we're colder than usual, but you may not need a brollie because we haven't been as wet, Metservice says.

Forecaster Ramon Oosterkamp said it had been much chillier a lot earlier this year and the Winterless North "hasn't quite lived up to its reputation on this occasion".  (abridged)

 

 

Beer box keeps an eye on the weather

By LAURA RICHARDS - Rangitikei Mail 27/05/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/manawatu-standard/news/rangitikei-mail/2444241/Beer-box-keeps-an-eye-on-the-weather

LAURA RICHARDS/Rangitikei Mail/ Manawatu Standard

WEATHER MAN: Peter Marcroft.

An upside down beer box painted white shields a simple weather station in Turakina.

"It is a bit of kiwi ingenuity," said long time weather watcher Pete Marcroft, of Edenmore Road.

Mr Marcroft said his interest in weather probably started with a book on clouds that his father had.  He was a teenager when the family lived at Manapouri in Fiordland.

He noticed "a big change in weather" from the North Island to the South Island.

Mr Marcroft said the weather station monitors wind speed and direction with an anemometer, humidity, a barometer, temperature and chill-factor and has a self-dumping rain-gauge at the top of the beer crate. That information is then streamed into a web page at www.weatherlive.co.nz. The site also includes links to other weather stations. (abridged)

 

Gloomy and cold holiday weekend ahead

Wednesday May 27, 2009 By Isaac Davison NZ herald

 

Parts of Kaikohe were knee-deep in floodwater yesterday. Photo / Supplied by Laurel Jerome

Queen's Birthday weather will keep most holidaymakers indoors, as forecasters predict stormy conditions and single-digit temperatures.

The gloomy outlook comes after torrential rain hit parts of Northland yesterday with more than 100mm falling north of Whangarei, causing some flooding.

Weather Watch analyst Phillip Duncan said: "Over 120mm of rain in one day is a significant amount for farming regions, compared to mountain ranges which just absorb the water. In the Northland area the rain just runs across the fields into the rivers."

While weather will clear tomorrow, the North Island will be met by a cold blast of air this weekend."The air is coming directly from the Antarctic. On Sunday Wellington's high could be only 6 or 7C, while the desert road may only reach 4C," said Mr Duncan. (abridged)

 

We can see clearly now the city's gone

The Press Paul Gorman 28/05/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/news/christchurch/2450489/We-can-see-clearly-now-the-citys-gone/

ROY SINCLAIR

PEAK PERFORMANCE: The view above the fog was stunning from the Christchurch gondola cableway yesterday morning.

Not all anticyclones bring sunny weather, as Christchurch residents have found out over the past two days.

The city had a classic case of "anticyclonic gloom" yesterday, with fog and mist giving way to low cloud by late morning.

MetService spokesman Bob McDavitt said there were "10 reasons to hate a high", including anticyclonic gloom.  The gloomy conditions were due to a lid of warm air only a few hundred metres above sea level keeping cold and moist air trapped near the ground.

Conditions would improve only when the wind picked up or the sun managed to break through, he said. Low cloud or fog patches were likely again this morning.

 

Never mind the rain, here's the snow

Saturday May 30, 2009
By Wayne Thompson   NZ Herald

Snow is expected to close the Desert Rd at times during Queen's Birthday weekend as a polar blast strikes the country and temperatures tumble. Photo / Sarah Ivey

MetService has issued severe weather warnings for 18 places.

It warned of a strong, very cold southerly expected to reach southern parts of the country this afternoon, spread over Canterbury tonight, and quickly spread north tomorrow morning.

It is predicting snow down to 200m as far north as the Gisborne ranges and heavy dumps on Central North Island roads.

MetService severe weather forecaster Oliver Druce said today's warning had been issued not because of the amount of snow expected but because of the very low levels involved.

The snow is likely to close many roads and wind chill is expected to be severe. (abridged)

 

What a start
Saturday May 30, 2009

http://www.planetski.eu/news/458

Mt Hutt in New Zealand opens 2 weeks early after heavy snowfalls. Blue skies and powder were the order of the day.

Sunny skies and smiles all round were the hallmarks of the opening of the ski season with more than 200 people turning out for the occasion. It was the first time the mountain had opened in May for more than a decade.   

“We have a one metre snow base which is phenomenal for this time of year.  Getting the mountain open early has been a huge challenge for staff but we had a great day today making it well worth the effort,” said Ski Area Manager Dave Wilson as the lifts sprang into action.

 

.


#226 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Mon Jul 6, 2009 9:49 am
Subject: METSOC NEWSLETTER -- Autumn Weather (part A)
bobmcd2001
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 For a printable pdf of this newsletter: http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/autumn2009a.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their “June” newsletter

 

Autumn 2009: Cold and sunny for most places; dry in the north and wet in the south.

  • Rainfall: Above normal in Canterbury and Otago, the lower North Island, and western Northland; below normal in central and eastern North Island and northern South Island.
  • Temperature: Below average for most of the country, except for Southland and Fiordland where autumn temperatures were near average.
  • Sunshine: Above normal for most of New Zealand; below normal in parts of Otago.

Autumn overall was colder than average (by between 0.5 and 1.5°C) for most of the country with the exception of Southland and Fiordland where temperatures were near average. Below average temperatures persisted for the whole period for most areas, while parts of the West Coast, coastal Fiordland, Southland and south Otago had some respite in April with warmer than average temperatures for that month. The national average temperature of 12.5 °C was 0.7 °C below average for autumn.

Autumn rainfall totals were above normal (120 – 150% of normal) in western parts of Northland, Wairarapa, Canterbury, Southern Alps and Otago. However, much of the rain in these areas occurred in May, with March and April being particularly dry for most of the country, particularly Hawke’s Bay, Tararua District, Marlborough, and north Canterbury. Areas that received below normal (between 50 and 80% of normal) rainfall for autumn were Waikato, central and eastern North Island (with the exception of Wairarapa), Tasman District and Marlborough. Severe soil moisture deficits in many eastern areas of the country eased to near normal levels by the end of May.

March and April were dominated by the slow passage of anticyclones (“highs”) coming over New Zealand from the west. In March, these highs tended to stall over the Tasman Sea resulting in more south to south-westerly air flows than normal over New Zealand, while in April they persisted to the east of the North Island resulting in more northerly air flows than normal over the country. In May, the anticyclones tended to persist over southern Australia resulting in more southerly air flows than normal over New Zealand. More depressions (“lows”) than normal passed over and to the east of New Zealand in this month, which contributed to the cold and wet conditions experienced in many eastern areas during May.

Major Highlights

  • On 5–7 March, a storm crossed the upper North Island and moved down to the Bay of Plenty. Winds reached 150 km/h at Cape Reinga. The high winds, heavy rain and lightning strikes caused property damage and brought down trees and power lines. On 17 March, heavy rain caused surface flooding, landslips, and sewer overflows in Tauranga.
  • Heavy rain along the West Coast resulted in flooding on 27 April. Homes were evacuated in Greymouth and roads became impassable. Trampers were stranded in the Mueller Hut in Aoraki Mt Cook National Park, and about 120 people were evacuated from the Milford Track by helicopter.
  • There were several extreme events during May. Many locations received record low maximum and minimum temperatures, particularly between the 9th and the 11th and on the 21st and 22rd. Heavy rainfall resulted in flooding in south Canterbury on the 17th, and in Otago on the 18th. High winds buffeted Wellington on the 15th, 17th, 23rd, 24th, 30th and 31st. Snow fell to low levels periodically during the month and tornadoes damaged property in Warkworth on the 11th, and in Taranaki on the 17th.
  • The lowest temperature during autumn was recorded at Hanmer Forest on the 12th of May, where the minimum temperature was -7.0 °C. The highest temperature for autumn was 30.5 °C recorded at Hastings on 1 March. The highest 1-day rainfall was 341 mm recorded at Mt Cook on 27 April (the highest autumn 1-day total for this location, since records began in 1928).
  • Of the six main centres, Tauranga was the warmest and sunniest, Wellington the wettest, and Hamilton was the driest.

Full report

http://www.niwa.co.nz/__data/assets/pdf_file/0006/93354/sclimsum_09_autumn.pdf

For further information, please contact:

Dr Andrew Tait – Climate Scientist – NIWA National Climate Centre, Wellington
Phone +64 4 386 0562 (work) or (+64 27) 327 7948 (mobile)

Dr James Renwick – Principal Scientist– NIWA National Climate Centre, Wellington
Phone +64 4 386 0343 (work) or (+64 21) 178 5550 (mobile)

Michele Hollis, NIWA Communications Manager
Phone +64 4 386-0483 or (+64 27) 255 2500

Acknowledgement of NIWA as the source is required.

 

MONTHLY WEATHER IN CHRISTCHURCH - AUTUMN 2009

 

MARCH

The weather this month was drier, but cooler than normal, with higher than normal frequency of southerly winds. The only period of notable weather was on the 10th-11th, when a disturbed southwesterly flow turned cold southerly with showery periods to the city, including some hail during the afternoon of the 11th. Light snow fell on the ranges of North Canterbury.

 

APRIL

This month was dominated by long periods of relatively settled weather, interspersed with a few wet spells. Temperatures varied greatly, with several summery days contrasting with some early wintry periods. Very cold southerlies affected the area on the 8th-9th, with snow flurries reported on the upper plains early on the 8th and above about 200m on Banks Peninsula (only settling on the peaks) and the Port Hills the next day, with some hail and sleet in Christchurch. A complex low pressure system crossed over on the 29th-30th, bringing rain to the city. No significant precipitation fell on any of other days of the month.

 

MAY

Winter definitely came early this year, with May being one of the coldest and wettest on record for Christchurch. Wave after wave of southerlies swept over the area, each one seeming to be colder than the one before. A low deep low to the east on the 10th resulted in snow to about 200 metres on the upper plains and Banks Peninsula, plus a little on the higher Port Hills and some hail and sleet in Christchurch.

There was a break in this pattern mid month, with west or northwest flows allowing for warmer spell from the 14th-17th. However, cold southerlies returned on the 18th, with the next two days bringing rain, hail, sleet, and even some snow flurries to the city. (settling above about 300 metres on the Port Hills) Conditions didn't improve until the 26th, as cold damp southerlies persisted. The southerlies rose to near gale about the peninsula and Port Hills on the 22nd and 23rd, with some heavy falls of rain.

It was dry from the 26th-30th, though temperatures remained cold. The month ended with yet another very cold southerly blast on the 31st, bringing hail, sleet and snow flurries to the city, though only light dustings settled on the Port Hills and Banks Peninsula.

 

NOTABLE WEATHER IN NZ - AUTUMN 2009

 

March and April were unsettled at times, but there were also significant settled spells. May was a different story altogether - frequent low pressure systems and southerly outbreaks resulted in it the coldest, snowiest, and in many places, the wettest in recent history.

 

MARCH

·           3rd - A period of thunderstorms in Waikato in afternoon.

·           4th - Overnight 1C minimum in Lumsden and 3C at Dunedin Airport. (but rising to 29C maximum there in afternoon)

·           5th - Heavy rain and northeasterly gales lash the north of  the North Island. 147mm recorded in Te Puke, its second highest one day total for March. Damage caused by wind and rain, including about 13,000 homes lost power in Auckland region. Gusts up to 163 km/hr recorded at Cape Reinga, and 93 km/hr across Waitemata Harbour. Unusually warm in the far south due to fohn northeasterly, e.g. 27C maximum at Tiwai Point; 25C at Puysegur Point.

·           6th - Warm 30C maximum in Hanmer. Very warm in Northland, e.g. 27C maximum in Kaikohe (its warmest March maximum since records began in 1973), and 28C maximum in Whangarei.

·           7th - Ohakune records its warmest ever march night, after an overnight minimum of 17C. Wanganui records a warm 18C minimum at same time. Thunderstorms in western Bay of Plenty result in lightning strikes cutting power to about 74,000 households.

·           8th - Afternoon thunderstorms in Fiordland.

·           10th - Cold southerly change sweeps over South Island, with snow on hills in south.

·           11th - Unseasonably cold south to southwest flow covers NZ by end of day. Snow showers to unusually low levels on hills in parts of Otago and Southland, including higher Dunedin hill suburbs. Only 8C maximum in Queenstown; 12C at Castlepoint. Snow on North Canterbury/Kaikoura and (by evening) North Island ranges as well. Temperature drops to a wintry 5C at Takapau (inland Hawkes Bay) at 6pm.

·           12th - Chilly night minimums in areas sheltered from a continuing southwesterly flow, eg 0C at Takapau and Dannevirke, and 4C in Wairoa. Brief period of westerly gales in Hawkes Bay in afternoon; gust of 163 km/hr recorded on Takapau Plains.

·           17th - Heavy rain in western Bay of Plenty causes disruptive flooding and slips in Tauranga. A major triathlon race had to be cancelled.

·           19th - Band of heavy showers sweeps across northern North Island in morning.

·           22nd - Cold southerly flow chills east coast of South Island, with only 11C maximums in Dunedin and Christchurch, and 10C at Le Bons Bay. Morning frosts in many inland areas of South Island, e.g. -3C in Hakataramea Valley and -1C in Queenstown. (its coldest March temperature on record)

·           23rd - Cold southerly flow continues in central and eastern areas, with low maximums of 10C in Ohakune, and 13C in Hawera and Wellington.

·           24th - Another chilly start to the day in many places, e.g. only 3C minimum in Christchurch.

·           25th - Light morning frosts in Hawkes Bay and central North Island, but a warm 29C maximum in Culverden.

·           27th - Heavy rain in Fiordland and South Westland, e.g. 114mm at Milford Sound.

·           29th - 28C maximums in Ashburton and Culverden. Some fog in Waikato and central North Island. Northwesterly gales in the far south.

·           30th - 1C minimum in Waiouru.

·           31st - Only 13C maximum in Ashburton, thanks to a cool southerly.

 

APRIL

·           2nd - Anticyclonic conditions with clear skies result in a frosty start to the day in the central North Island. -3C in Turangi and -2C in Taumaranui are equal to the coldest April minimums for both these stations.

·           4th - Warm 27C maximum in Culverden.

·           5th - Overnight 16C minimum in Dunedin. (warmest ever for April)

·           6th - Heavy rain in Fiordland and Westland.

·           7th - Heavy rain and thunderstorms on South Island West Coast. 430mm recorded at Cropp on 5th and 6th. Warmest April night on record for Cheviot, with a 17C minimum under a northwesterly flow. However, becoming colder in the south later, with snow on the mountains.

·           8th - Cold southerlies over South Island with snow on hills and high country; brief flurries on upper Canterbury plains overnight. 20cm snow recorded at Mt Hutt; 10cm on Coronet peak and the Remarkables. Only 7C maximum in Dunedin; 8C in Queenstown and Reefton.

·           9th - Thunderstorms and hail in many parts of North Island; waterspout seen offshore from Opunaki. Snow showers on central high country, with flurries as low as Waiouru. Maximums of only 11C in Hawera, 13C in Hamilton, and  14C in Paeroa. Early morning snow showers reported to as low as 200m about Banks Peninsula and Port Hills, and brief hail and sleet in parts of Christchurch. Icy -5C minimum at Tekapo.

·           10th - Cold morning in many places in wake of previous day's cold southerly. Record 0C minimum in Kemeu; 0C also in Hamilton, and 3C in Warkworth.

·           11th - Overnight -4C minimum in Waiouru.

·           12th - 1C minimum in Masterton.

·           14th - Warm 25C maximum in Kawerau.

·           15th - Puysegur Point reaches an unseasonably warm 20C.

·           16th - Warm 28C maximum in Alexandra and 27C in Cromwell.

·           17th - A period of heavy rain in Fiordland and South Westland. 453mm recorded at Cropp. Warm northerly flow pushes maximum to 28C in Hororata.

·           20th - Cold southerly flow in east of South Island brings light snow to the Canterbury foothills.

·           20th/21st - Some heavy rain in Gisborne and northern Hawkes Bay (e.g. 130mm at Te Puia), but not enough to ease drought conditions there. Heavy falls also on Coromandel Peninsula, e.g. 117mm in Golden Valley; 87mm in Whitianga.

·           21st - Frosty start to the day in southern South Island, e.g. -5C minimum in Middlemarch, and -6C minimum in Ranfurly. Dunedin records an April record minimum of -4C, as does Balclutha with -3C.

·           22nd - Cold overnight minimums in many southern and central places, eg -2C in Christchurch, Cheviot, and Ohakune; 0C in Paraparaumu.

·           23rd - -3C minimum in Raetihi; -2C in Middlemarch.

·           24th - -3C minimum in Ranfurly.

·           25th - Heavy rain in Northland, e.g. 72mm in Kerikeri and 115mm in Kaitaia. (the latter's highest ever one-day April total) An unusually warm 22C maximum at Milford Sound, under a northeasterly flow.

·           26th - Heavy rain about and west of the Southern Alps, e.g. 170mm at Milford Sound. Warm northwesterlies result in 27C maximums in Alexandra, Dunedin, Timaru, and Kaikoura. Nugget Point records 25C, its highest recorded April maximum.

·           27th - Heavy rain in some northern and western areas of both islands, and Wellington. Flooding causes damage in Greymouth, with several houses having to be evacuated. Haast Pass and Punakaiki highways also closed by flooding. Trampers stranded in Mt Cook National park and on Milford Track. Cropp records 584mm in 48 hours to noon. 330mm recorded at North Egmont to 1pm. 341mm recorded at Mt Cook is the station's highest April one-day total. Takapau records its warmest ever recorded April maximum, with 26C, while Castlepoint records 24C. Overnight minimum of 19C is a April record for Darfield.

·           28th - Heavy rain continuing on Mt Taranaki. Warm 26C maximum in Napier.

·           30th - Only 9C maximums in Alexandra, Timaru, and Ashburton, under a chilly southerly flow. Arthurs Pass records only 5C, while Greymouth only reaches 10C. (its lowest April maximum ever recorded) Fresh snow on South Island mountains.

 

MAY

·           2nd - Frosty dawn in the south, e.g. -6C minimum in Middlemarch; -4C in Lumsden. Chilly 12C maximums in Auckland and Whitianga, under cloud and rain.

·           3rd - -5C minimum in Middlemarch; -3C in Alexandra.

·           4th - Continuing frosty in many parts of South Island, e.g. -6C minimum in Middlemarch; -3C at Christchurch Airport.

·           5th - Cold trough moving onto South Island, with snow on southern high country, including Milford Road.

·           6th - Cold southerlies spreading onto North Island, but easing over South Island. Snow on mountains and ski-fields.

·           7th-26th May - A prolonged period of stormy weather. (see details below)

·           26th/27th - Chilly 4C maximums in Alexandra.

·           28th - Cloud cover suppresses maximums in parts of South Island, e.g. only 4C maximum in Timaru, and 3C in Alexandra.

·           29th - Areas of fog about central NZ. Only 5C maximum in Murchison.

·           30 May to 1 June - Very cold southerly outbreak. (see details below)

 

MAJOR EVENTS

 

Stormy Spell - May 7th-26th

 

The weather from the 7th-24th May was very unsettled with frequent bouts of stormy and often very cold weather in many parts of the country. The rain, wind and snow caused disruption to many areas.

This period can be divided into three main parts:

1. Complex low pressure system 7th-13th

2. Strong west to northwest flow 14th-17th

3. Prolonged very cold southerly outbreak 18th-24th

 

 

1. Complex low pressure system 7th-13th

 

A trough and cold front moved onto the South Island late on the 7th, preceded by a westerly flow, and followed by colder southwesterlies. As the system crossed the rest of NZ the next day, a complex low pressure system developed over the North Island and east of the South Island with cold southerlies in its wake, bringing snow to the South Island high country.

 

On the 9th, the low remained to the east, with a decreasing south to southwest flow over the North Island. Meanwhile, following a weak ridge, another trough moved onto the South Island, with rain spreading to many areas during the day. Cold air resulted in snow falling to low levels in South Canterbury in the evening.

 

The next day, this trough (now moving onto the North Island) and the earlier low pressure system combined to form an even bigger system. Very cold southerlies over the South Island brought snow to about 200-300 metres in many eastern areas, with Le Bons bay on Banks Peninsula recorded its lowest ever recorded May maximum of 5C. In the North Island, thunder and hail affected many areas (especially in the west), while snow fell on the central high country by evening.

 

During the 11th and 12th, this low pressure system remained slow moving over the country, with unsettled weather continuing in many areas (though the central and northern South Island was mostly fair) A secondary low crossed the North Island during the 11th, with thunder and hail in many areas. The worst of these storms lashed the Bay of Plenty, with waterspouts visible offshore from Papamoa, while very heavy hail left a snow-like blanket in Mt Mangonui, causing damage but also some very rare opportunities for snow boarding and skiing on the beach. Snow showers continued on the central mountains and high country - not enough to close any roads, but enough on Mt Taranaki (50cm) to open parts of its ski-field for one of the earliest openings on record.

 

On the 13th, the system moved away to the southeast of the South Island, leaving a westerly flow over most of NZ by the end of the day.

 

Mean sea-level analyses for midday NZST 7th May to midday NZST 13th May in 12 hour steps are shown here.

anal_loop_200905070000.wmfanal_loop_200905071200.wmfanal_loop_200905080000.wmfanal_loop_200905081200.wmfanal_loop_200905090000.wmfanal_loop_200905091200.wmfanal_loop_200905100000.wmfanal_loop_200905101200.wmfanal_loop_200905110000.wmfanal_loop_200905111200.wmfanal_loop_200905120000.wmfanal_loop_200905121200.wmfanal_loop_200905130000.wmf

 


#227 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Tue Jul 7, 2009 11:21 am
Subject: METSOC NEWSLETTER -- Autumn Weather (part B)
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 For a printable pdf of this newsletter: http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/autumn2009b.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their “June” newsletter

 

 

NOTABLE WEATHER IN NZ - AUTUMN 2009

 

2. Strong west to northwest flow 14th-17th

 

This period was considerably warmer over the country, but unsettled weather affected western areas, with heavy falls about and west of the Southern Alps. This resulted in flooding of major rivers originating from the Alps, with flooding causing problems in the Clutha Valley and South Canterbury (including closures of State Highway One and the railway line where it crosses the Rangitata River) Mt Cook recorded 321mm on the 16th (highest ever recorded one day total in May), and Arthurs Pass received 214mm on the same day. Heavy rain also fell in Southland on the 14th, with flooding and disruption to roads.

 

In the east northwesterly gales lashed the Cook Strait area on the 15th (power cut to Karori and Makara), and areas from inland Canterbury to Wairarapa on the 17th, with more damage.  A small tornado caused some damage in Opunaki on the 17th.

 

However, temperatures rose to be considerably above normal during this period, with Kaikoura reaching 23C on the 16th (and 22C the next day) and many other eastern places and northern North Island recording 20-22C maximums the same day.

 

Mean sea-level analyses for midday NZST 14th May to midday NZST 17th May in 12 hour steps are shown here.

anal_loop_200905170000.wmfanal_loop_200905161200.wmfanal_loop_200905160000.wmfanal_loop_200905151200.wmfanal_loop_200905150000.wmfanal_loop_200905141200.wmfanal_loop_200905140000.wmf

 

3. Prolonged very cold southerly outbreak 18th-26th

 

The warm spell ended on the 18th, as a trough and cold front crossed the country, followed by colder southwesterlies over the South Island with some snow on the high country. More fronts moved onto NZ that night, and a low moved to the east of the South Island the next day, with an even colder southerly flow developing over the island. Snow lowered to about 300m in Central Otago, with Queenstown dropping to 2C by 3pm, after a maximum of only 6C.

 

On the 20th, the low moved only slowly away to the east, allowing very cold air from near Antarctica to flow up over the South Island, bringing snow showers to low levels in eastern areas, with flurries even in some Christchurch suburbs. (the city only reached a 5C maximum) This southerly spread onto the North Island during the day, with snow levels lowering in central areas, including Taranaki. (as low as Stratford) Further north, hail affected many areas, and waterspouts were again reported offshore from the western Bay of Plenty.  in In Rotorua, heavy hail in the early evening was followed by snow on the surrounding hills, leaving a spectacular white blanket visible the next morning.

 

The flow tended southwesterly over NZ during the 21st, with conditions easing over the country for a while. However, low pressure persisted to the east and, with the help of further frontal disturbances, deepened during the 22nd. This allowed southerlies to strengthen again over southern and central areas, with cold, wet weather in the east and south and snow on the high country. A trough  brought thunder and hail to some northern North Island areas, especially the Waikato, where it was also unusually cold. (Hamilton recorded its lowest ever May maximum of 7C, and was on 5C at 3pm)

 

Instead of moving away, low pressure remained near the Chatham Islands on the 23rd. This, combined with an intense high in the southern Tasman Sea, enabled the southerly flow to strengthen even further with gales lashing many exposed eastern coastal areas; severe about Cook Strait, resulting in disruptions in and around Wellington and cancellations of Inter-islander ferries. Rain was heavy in some eastern areas from Canterbury to Wairarapa. Meanwhile, heavy snow on the central North Island high country closed the Desert Road, and made adjacent highways hazardous.

 

On the 24th, the low moved further away, and the high pushed into the area immediately south of the South Island, where it remained slow moving until the 26th. This resulted in the flow tending southeasterly over NZ, with heavy rain spreading north to affect Hawkes bay and Gisborne (welcome after a long dry spell, but temperatures were now too cold for grass growth), but easing further south with freezing levels rising so snow was now confined to alpine areas. South Taranaki also experienced a brief spell of heavy rain, thanks a local convergence zone, and a frontal system brought some hail to areas just north of Auckland.

 

During the 26th, the southern anticyclone extended onto the South Island and the southeasterly flow eased over the North Island, along with the rain in the northeast. The frontal system (linked to another low pressure system well to the north) in the north delivered a period of heavy rain in Northland.

 

While eastern areas were plagued by a prolonged period of cold, wet weather during this period, the West Coast of the South Island enjoyed fine weather from the 22nd. While there were southeasterly gales in some valleys on the 22nd and 23rd,  daytime temperatures soon became significantly warmer than normal, with maximums of 19C at Milford Sound (23rd) and Westport (25th) and 18C in Greymouth. (25th)

 

Mean sea-level analyses for midday NZST 18th May to midday NZST 26th May in 12 hour steps are shown here.

anal_loop_200905180000.wmfanal_loop_200905181200.wmf

anal_loop_200905190000.wmfanal_loop_200905191200.wmf

anal_loop_200905200000.wmfanal_loop_200905201200.wmfanal_loop_200905210000.wmfanal_loop_200905211200.wmfanal_loop_200905220000.wmfanal_loop_200905221200.wmfanal_loop_200905230000.wmfanal_loop_200905231200.wmfanal_loop_200905240000.wmfanal_loop_200905241200.wmfanal_loop_200905250000.wmfanal_loop_200905251200.wmfanal_loop_200905260000.wmf

 

30 May to 1 June - Very cold southerly outbreak

 

A much colder than normal May ended with a southerly blast that was even colder than the ones before, though shorter lived and with generally lighter snowfalls.

 

A shallow low pressure system moved onto the North Island during the 30th, with rain spreading to many areas. Meanwhile, a weak south to southwest flow over the South Island strengthened in the far south later in the day, with snow showers to low levels at night.

During the 31st, the low system moved away to the east, allowing a strong, disturbed, and very cold southerly flow to spread over the whole country by later in the day. Snow showers again fell to very low levels in the east of the South Island, even as far north as Blenheim and Picton. Falls were mostly light, though up to 10cm fell in some inland parts of Mid and North Canterbury. Hanmer recorded an icy 2C maximum, while Arthurs Pass barely managed 0C.

 

In the lower North Island, snow fell to levels which would be unusual in mid winter, including flurries in downtown Wellington (first time since 1995), Napier, Hastings, Wairoa, and Palmerston North. Maximum temperatures were in single figures, with several places recording their lowest May maximums on record (including 1C in Waiouru and 5C in Dannevirke).  Areas north of the Central Plateau were sheltered from most of the precipitation, though trampers reported (non-settling) snow flurries on Mt Te Aroha. The snowfalls were, however mostly light, with roads generally staying open. The exception was the high country inland from Gisborne, where snow up to 20cm blanketed the Matawai area and closed the Waioeka Gorge highway overnight 31st/1st June. The Desert Road was closed by ice for a time on the 1st.

 

During the 1st June, the southerly flow gradually eased over the country. But it remained cold - a chilly start to the winter proper, after a May which already had much wintry weather.

 

Mean sea-level analyses for midday NZST 30th May to midday NZST 1st June in 12 hour steps are shown here.

anal_loop_200905300000.wmfanal_loop_200905301200.wmfanal_loop_200905310000.wmfanal_loop_200905311200.wmfanal_loop_200906010000.wmf

 


#228 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Mon Jul 13, 2009 11:29 am
Subject: METSOC NEWSEMAIL - Call for nominations for the Kidson Medal
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Call For Nominations

(Deadline, July 31, 2009)

The Edward Kidson Medal

 

The Meteorological Society of New Zealand (Inc) is now calling for nominations for the Edward Kidson Medal.  The award is made every two years and was first awarded in 2003.

 

The award is named in honour of Edward Kidson, Director of the New Zealand Meteorological Service from 1927 to 1939.  Kidson was instrumental in placing New Zealand meteorology on a sound scientific footing and is regarded as a key figure in the development of meteorology and climatology in this country.  His own scientific work in meteorology covered a wide field and he had an international reputation for his papers on Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation.  His papers on New Zealand’s climate remained standard works for many years.

 

The Edward Kidson Medal will be awarded to the author of an outstanding scientific paper published in a refereed scientific journal during the preceding three years, which:

           

â—advances the science of meteorology and/or climatology, or

 

â—advances understanding of the influence of meteorology and/or climatology or other meteorological factors in other fields of scientific or human endeavour, or conversely, the influence of other sciences or endeavours on meteorology and/or climatology, or

 

â—reports on significant and novel scientific, educational, social or economic application of meteorology and/or climatology.

 

Nominees for the Edward Kidson medal should normally be New Zealand residents, but others who have a significant connection with New Zealand, particularly in the field of the atmospheric sciences will be considered.  All nominations must either be by a current member of the Meteorological Society of New Zealand or include a written endorsement by a current member.  Nominations, with supporting statements and including copies of the relevant paper, should be posted or emailed to

 

                                    The Secretary

                                    Meteorological Society of New Zealand (inc)

                                    PO Box 6523

                                    Marion Square

                                    Wellington 6141

OR                              metsoc@yahoogroups.com

 

The deadline for nominations is July 31, 2009 

 

We appreciate that this is short notice, but  it is needed so that

the winner, if any, may be announced in September 2009 at our annual conference.

 

submitted by newsletter editor , Bob McDavitt, on behalf of the Met Society President and Committee 13 July 2009 .


#229 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Tue Jul 14, 2009 11:39 am
Subject: MET SOC NEWSEMAIL- REPORTS
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Met Society Newsletter

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter: http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/reportsjune2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their “June” newsletter

REGIONAL REPORTS

AUCKLAND

Richard McKenzie of NIWA, a world authority on UV from Lauder, gave a talk on 7 April at NIWA Auckland, open to Met Soc members, on “How to balance your benefits and risks of solar UV exposure"

It is well known that overexposure to UV radiation causes sunburn, which can lead to skin cancer. New Zealand has one of the highest rates of skin cancer in the world. However, there is also a risk from underexposure to UV, since it leads to the production of beneficial vitamin D in our bodies. Many New Zealanders have below-optimum vitamin D for health, and it is not generally available from diet. I investigate relationships between erythemally-weighted UV radiation that leads to sunburn (which can lead to skin cancer) and vitamin D-weighted radiation that is responsible for synthesis of vitamin D (which protects against many conditions including bowel cancer). An algorithm is developed using spectral measurements undertaken at Lauder Central Otago, and is used to relate vitamin D production to the widely-used UV Index. This is then used to calculate the behavioural patterns (exposure times and attire) required to enable the public to optimize their exposure to UV radiation. In the New Zealand summer at noon, there should be sufficient UV to photosynthesize optimal vitamin D in ~1 minute for full body exposure, whereas skin damage occurs after ~15 minutes. Further, while it should be possible to photosynthesise vitamin D in the winter, the amount of skin that must be exposed is larger than from the hands and face alone. This raises the question of whether the action spectrum for vitamin D production is correct, since previous studies have reported that production of vitamin D is not possible in the winter at mid-latitudes. However, evidence suggests that some supplementation of vitamin D is desirable, at least in the south island winter. I describe how a new HRC-funded research project involving NIWA addresses these questions by tracking personal UV exposure and relating this to vitamin D status.
The presentation is based on a paper that will soon appear in photochem photobiol website at www.photobiology.org .....

For a pdf of this PowerPoint check out http://tinyurl.com/n6kxo8 (use newsletter password)

CLIMATE AND HEALTH
Guest speaker: Dr. Glenn McGregor gave a talk at NIWA, Auckland on 19 June entitled "Heat waves - Causes, consequences, and responses".

Principal climate and health research questions of interest to Glenn are (a) what is the role of climate as a stressor on health? (b) are climate based predictions of health outcomes possible for a range of timescales? (c) to what extent might climate variability and change affect health and existing or predicted stresses on health? (d) what are the uncertainties associated with climate change related health projections? (e) what is the nature of the interaction between extreme weather and climate anomalies and the urban socio-economic landscape in terms of health outcomes? (f) does society possess the capacity to adapt to climate variability and change through modifications to health infrastructure, management and policy by adopting specific adaptive measures?
Glenn has been involved with numerous climate and health research projects, such as seasonal climate forecasting and health in the UK, investigating London's urban heat island, experimental heat health watch warning systems for 5 European cities, as well as the development and testing of summer season health forecasting models.

WELLINGTON

At our Special General Meeting held in Wellington on 18 March, there were two brief seminars.

 1.  Mike Revell, our President, spoke on "The Meteorology of the recent Australian bushfires" Mike was in Melbourne on what is now known as "Black Saturday" and in this talk he  described what it feels like to be in 46.8 degrees with 100 km an hour winds.

For a pdf of this PowerPoint check out http://tinyurl.com/nxz78p (use newsletter password)

 

2.  James Renwick presented a PowerPoint compiled by Joe Kidston and Sam Dean (our Secretary), on “Climate Change and the SAM/HLM” .  This talk investigated trends in the Southern Annular Mode, and the possibilities of a poleward shift of the jetstream  

For a pdf of this PowerPoint check out http://tinyurl.com/n25tqs (use newsletter password)

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> 

CHRISTCHURCH (Met soc Vice President Mikhail Titov)

The Christchurch branch of the Meteorological Society of New Zealand recently held several interesting lectures and presentations at the Department of Geography (the University of Canterbury).  Most of the scientific activity was at the beginning of the first semester and before winter student’s exams.

 

Prof. Nigel Tapper (Head of Department of the Environmental Science, Monash University, Australia) as visiting Erskine Fellow of the department made two presentations:

1) “The climate change – urban climate nexus: some reflections from Melbourne, Australia” (10 of March 2009)”. Prof. Tapper showed very serious problems with water in Melbourne and outlined a possibility of the Australian government to use stormy waters. This possibility is now under development at his department;

2) “Aeolian Dust in the Environment: Towards New Understandings of Some Critical Impacts” (31 of March 2009).

 Dr. Steve George (University of Canterbury) made a presentation “Ozone and Temperature over Antarctica: Co-variability and Change” (17 of March 2009) showing the results of numerical modelling over Antarctic with application of MM5 and RAMS.

Visiting Erskine Fellow Dr. Jim Hansom (University of Glasgow, Scotland) presented very interesting research: “Copying with sea level change?” and showed (using GIS) change of big cities (like London) street topography regarding to Global Warming and subsequent potential remarkable increase of sea level.

Prof. Glenn McGregor (School of Geography, Geology & Environmental Science (SGGES), University of Auckland) made a presentation “Heat Waves: Causes, Consequences and Responses” (15 of June 2009).  Originally this presentation was proposed on 18 of May but was postponed on one month. Prof. Glenn McGregor has displayed the most hazardous consequences associated with heat waves in different areas (health, engineering, hydrology-biology).   For more about this talk see the Auckland report.

 

 

 

 

Following NIWA’s recent dismissal of Jim Salinger, our President wrote a letter of support to Jim in recognition of the huge contribution that Jim has made over the past 20 years to the Met Society, including being our Secretary (a sometimes thankless role!) for most of ten years, President for two, general committee member for many more, including now, and a professional conference planner in the past and this year, helping to organise our upcoming conference wit the NZMSS Conference to be held in Auckland in September.

We consider Jim to be a valuable committee member, colleague, and scientist.  We hope that his enthusiasm and dedication to science will not be dampened by recent events and that he will continue to be an active committee member and a significant positive influence on our Society.

 

SEASONAL ANALYSIS, By Rupert Wood

Introduction

The following tables use a minor modification of an idea from the “USA Today” weather almanacs to define the temperature seasons for a particular location. Given a suitable quantity (say at least 30 years’ worth) of daily maximum and minimum temperature observations, calculate the means from these two values, and  then compute the average of those means for each day of the year. The highest and lowest of these 366 values define the annual temperature range (but see the comment below on a slight modification of this definition). Calculate the 1/4 and 3/4 marks on the scale. All values above the 3/4 line are “summer” ones, all those below the 1/4 line are “winter” ones, and the remainder are assigned to spring and autumn. For example, if the top value is 20.0 and the bottom one 10.0, the two boundaries are at 12.5 and 17.5.

 

The NZ data used

32 locations were selected. Raw data was downloaded from NIWA’s CliFlo database. Wherever possible, at least 30 years of data were used, consistent with avoiding hybrid sites if feasible, with the data as current as possible. In the case of Alexandra, several site changes made it necessary to use data prior to 1983. It is unlikely that patterns there have changed much since then. When examining the daily means, it was found that these have significant daily fluctuations even on 50+-year timescales, so to avoid outlier effects the top and bottom values used were the averages of the warmest and coolest 7-day periods, instead of those for single days.

 

Table 1 lists the stations, the length and completeness of the raw data, and the dates of the warmest and coolest 14-day periods of the year. These dates cannot be taken too literally in light of the fact that there are sometimes some close contenders for the extreme 14-day values, but the consistency of the early July dates for the coldest fortnight is striking. Even in the case of Kaitaia, July is the coldest month, though the July-August difference is small. There is considerably more variation in the dates of the warmest fortnight, reflecting the fact that January and February are equally warm for the country as a whole, with northernmost places warmest in February and a large portion of the south warmest in January.

 

Season data

 

Table 2 shows the start and duration of each season. The table is ordered by average seasonal latency (defined later – smallest values at the top), to show up the contrasts better. The length of a season is a measure of the amount of clustering in that part of the temperature spectrum, with summer slightly longer than winter on average, but with quite a large range over the sites for both (44 days for summer, 26 days for winter). For summer and winter lengths, there is quite a strong association with the overall latency – entries high in the table generally have longer summer periods and shorter winter ones, and conversely near the bottom. If one compares summer start with summer length, there is a very strong association – earlier starts correlate very highly with longer durations, so there is no correspondingly earlier finish.

 

 


Table 1: Station list

 

Station

# years

% complete

Warmest 14-day

Coolest 14-day

Alexandra

53

99.8

25 Jan=>07 Feb

02 Jul=>15 Jul

Blenheim

37

99.9

26 Jan=>08 Feb

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Christchurch Aero

54

100.0

21 Jan=>03 Feb

03 Jul=>16 Jul

Craigieburn Forest

37

97.9

29 Jan=>11 Feb

01 Jul=>14 Jul

Gisborne Aero

58

99.9

18 Jan=>31 Jan

03 Jul=>16 Jul

Hamilton, Ruakura

57

99.5

05 Feb=>18 Feb

05 Jul=>18 Jul

Hokitika Aero

45

100.0

07 Feb=>20 Feb

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Invercargill Aero

60

99.9

30 Jan=>12 Feb

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Kaikoura

37

99.8

22 Jan=>04 Feb

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Kaitaia

23

99.8

08 Feb=>21 Feb

11 Aug=>24 Aug

Kerikeri

27

98.0

02 Feb=>15 Feb

01 Jul=>14 Jul

Masterton

48

98.5

26 Jan=>08 Feb

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Milford Sound

60

98.8

05 Feb=>18 Feb

05 Jul=>18 Jul

Mt Cook Village

40

98.4

30 Jan=>12 Feb

05 Jul=>18 Jul

Dunedin, Musselburgh

60

99.9

29 Jan=>11 Feb

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Napier

69

99.2

22 Jan=>04 Feb

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Nelson Aero

65

95.3

22 Jan=>04 Feb

03 Jul=>16 Jul

New Plymouth Aero

48

99.9

04 Feb=>17 Feb

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Opotiki

54

96.0

30 Jan=>12 Feb

01 Jul=>14 Jul

Auckland, Owairaka

57

99.1

10 Feb=>23 Feb

03 Jul=>16 Jul

Palmerston North

69

99.7

30 Jan=>12 Feb

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Queenstown

60

99.1

09 Jan=>22 Jan

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Rotoiti

34

97.9

05 Feb=>18 Feb

03 Jul=>16 Jul

Rotorua Aero

37

99.9

30 Jan=>12 Feb

01 Jul=>14 Jul

Taupo

44

98.0

27 Jan=>09 Feb

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Tauranga Aero

47

99.3

27 Jan=>09 Feb

05 Jul=>18 Jul

Lake Tekapo

45

98.5

27 Jan=>09 Feb

05 Jul=>18 Jul

Timaru

60

99.6

20 Jan=>02 Feb

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Waiouru

37

96.9

30 Jan=>12 Feb

02 Jul=>15 Jul

Wanganui

37

99.2

17 Jan=>30 Jan

28 Jun=>11 Jul

Wellington, Kelburn

78

100.0

22 Jan=>04 Feb

04 Jul=>17 Jul

Westport Aero

43

98.1

10 Feb=>23 Feb

03 Jul=>16 Jul

 


 

Spring lengths are shorter than summer or winter ones, with autumn by far the shortest (as expected), autumn also having the least variability in length (though it anti-correlates quite strongly with duration). Alexandra stands out for summer values at the top of the table, with Kaitaia and Kerikeri most noteworthy at the other end. The winter start dates do not vary very much, but like the summer ones they correlate quite strongly with latency. The winter lengths at Alexandra, Tekapo and Milford are considerably shorter than at Kaitaia. This is in turn reflected in a range of 35 days in the spring start dates, between Alexandra and Kaitaia.

 

I have made an attempt to explain more of the variations between sites in the next section, where latency is defined.

 

Latency (seasonal delay)

 

This is a simple formula for the lateness or delay of a season, using the equinox/solstice as a baseline.

For a given season, the midpoint date is taken, and the average date of the equinox or solstice is subtracted from it. For New Zealand, the expectation is that allowing for latitudes, the smallish distances from the sea, and the prevailing winds, the highest values will be in western and northern areas, more particularly in the North Island, with smaller values (i.e. less effect from the ocean and prevailing windflows) in eastern districts and inland areas, especially in the South Island, given the barrier provided by the Alps. While the differences across the majority of the country are not large, the overall range is quite high for a small maritime country, and it is interesting to try and make some sense of it. Spring shows the greatest variability, while autumn has the least.

 

Table 3 gives values for each season, with the average of these determining the order of the site listing. Alexandra heads the list, with its spring and to a lesser extent summer values being easily the lowest. Its valley basin location allows fogs and hoar frosts, which are common in winter, but the occurrences are skewed to the early part of the cool season – August is much sunnier than May on average, and the July-September period is Alexandra’s driest. August is 2.3C warmer than July on average, while June is only 0.2C warmer than July. Spring northwesterlies contribute to its early start for summer. Queenstown’s winter is less affected by fogs than Alexandra’s, but the mountainous surroundings may help to keep

its latency numbers low by increasing the importance of available daylight. It may seem surprising that Invercargill ranks so high on the list, but April-June is its wettest and rainiest period, with a marked drop to the driest part, July-September, while April-June is also the cloudiest period. To a lesser extent Milford Sound has a similar rainfall difference between April-May and July-August, but the Queenstown factor may apply as well. Tekapo values are no lower than those on the Canterbury coast, with the spring northwesterly overspill effects and late summer rainfall minima probably a factor in that result. With seven times Tekapo’s rainfall, the values for the Mt Cook settlement in an overspill rainfall region are nevertheless very similar to Tekapo.

 


Table 2: Seasons

 

 

SUMMER

AUTUMN

WINTER

SPRING

STATION

Start

Length

Start

Length

Start

Length

Start

Length

Alexandra

11-Nov

136

27-Mar

55

21-May

93

22-Aug

81

Queenstown

27-Nov

120

27-Mar

54

20-May

102

30-Aug

89

Invercargill Aero

26-Nov

122

28-Mar

55

22-May

100

30-Aug

88

Milford Sound

30-Nov

121

31-Mar

54

24-May

95

27-Aug

95

Rotoiti

1-Dec

111

22-Mar

62

23-May

105

5-Sep

87

Christchurch Aero

30-Nov

114

24-Mar

61

24-May

103

4-Sep

87

Lake Tekapo

28-Nov

120

28-Mar

61

28-May

93

29-Aug

91

Timaru

26-Nov

124

30-Mar

54

23-May

103

3-Sep

84

Mt Cook Village

2-Dec

114

26-Mar

60

25-May

98

31-Aug

93

Craigieburn Forest

7-Dec

105

22-Mar

61

22-May

105

4-Sep

94

Dunedin,Musselburgh

29-Nov

123

1-Apr

53

24-May

101

2-Sep

88

Wanganui

30-Nov

117

27-Mar

58

24-May

105

6-Sep

85

Blenheim

27-Nov

122

29-Mar

60

28-May

99

4-Sep

84

Napier

1-Dec

110

21-Mar

66

26-May

107

10-Sep

82

Taupo

1-Dec

112

23-Mar

62

24-May

109

10-Sep

82

Nelson Aero

1-Dec

116

27-Mar

59

25-May

104

6-Sep

86

Masterton

9-Dec

100

19-Mar

65

23-May

109

9-Sep

91

Gisborne Aero

2-Dec

109

21-Mar

66

26-May

109

12-Sep

81

Hamilton, Ruakura

5-Dec

109

24-Mar

65

28-May

102

7-Sep

89

Waiouru

6-Dec

105

21-Mar

65

25-May

111

13-Sep

84

Palmerston North

5-Dec

113

28-Mar

60

27-May

104

8-Sep

88

Rotorua Aero

5-Dec

111

26-Mar

61

26-May

109

12-Sep

84

Hokitika Aero

12-Dec

109

31-Mar

55

25-May

102

4-Sep

99

Kaikoura

7-Dec

109

26-Mar

66

31-May

106

14-Sep

84

Tauranga Aero

11-Dec

105

26-Mar

63

28-May

108

13-Sep

89

New Plymouth Aero

14-Dec

101

25-Mar

67

31-May

101

9-Sep

96

Westport Aero

14-Dec

106

30-Mar

56

25-May

110

12-Sep

93

Wellington, Kelburn

11-Dec

108

29-Mar

60

28-May

108

13-Sep

89

Opotiki

9-Dec

113

1-Apr

57

28-May

110

15-Sep

85

Auckland, Owairaka

11-Dec

108

29-Mar

62

30-May

111

18-Sep

84

Kerikeri

17-Dec

101

28-Mar

63

30-May

113

20-Sep

88

Kaitaia

25-Dec

92

27-Mar

64

30-May

119

26-Sep

90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

4-Dec

112.1

26-Mar

60.3

26-May

104.8

7-Sep

87.8

Range in days

44

44

13

13

11

26

35

18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 3: Seasonal and average latencies

 

STATION

SUM

AUT

WIN

SPR

Average

Alexandra

27.0

34.0

15.0

8.5

21.1

Queenstown

35.0

33.5

18.5

20.5

26.9

Invercargill Aero

35.0

35.0

19.5

20.0

27.4

Milford Sound

38.5

37.5

19.0

20.5

28.9

Rotoiti

34.5

32.5

23.0

25.5

28.9

Christchurch Aero

35.0

34.0

23.0

24.5

29.1

Lake Tekapo

36.0

38.0

22.0

20.5

29.1

Timaru

36.0

36.5

22.0

22.0

29.1

Mt Cook Village

37.0

35.5

21.5

23.5

29.4

Craigieburn Forest

37.5

32.0

22.0

28.0

29.9

Dunedin, Musselburgh

38.5

38.0

22.0

23.0

30.4

Wanganui

36.5

35.5

24.0

25.5

30.4

Blenheim

36.0

38.5

25.0

23.0

30.6

Napier

34.0

33.5

27.0

28.0

30.6

Taupo

35.0

33.5

26.0

28.0

30.6

Nelson Aero

37.0

36.0

24.5

26.0

30.9

Masterton

37.0

31.0

25.0

31.5

31.1

Gisborne Aero

34.5

33.5

28.0

29.5

31.4

Hamilton, Ruakura

37.5

36.0

26.5

28.5

32.1

Waiouru

36.5

33.0

28.0

32.0

32.4

Palmerston North

39.5

37.5

26.5

29.0

33.1

Rotorua Aero

38.5

36.0

28.0

31.0

33.4

Hokitika Aero

44.5

38.0

23.5

30.5

34.1

Kaikoura

39.5

38.5

31.5

33.0

35.6

Tauranga Aero

41.5

37.0

29.5

34.5

35.6

New Plymouth Aero

42.5

38.0

29.0

34.0

35.9

Westport Aero

45.0

37.5

27.5

35.5

36.4

Wellington, Kelburn

43.0

38.5

29.5

34.5

36.4

Opotiki

43.5

40.0

30.5

34.5

37.1

Auckland, Owairaka

43.0

39.5

33.0

37.0

38.1

Kerikeri

45.5

39.0

34.0

41.0

39.9

Kaitaia

49.0

38.5

37.0

48.0

43.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

Averages

38.4

36.1

25.7

28.5

32.2

Std  Devs

4.4

2.4

4.8

7.4

4.3

Range

22.0

9.0

22.0

39.5

22.0

 

 

 

 


Values on the South Island east coast from Dunedin northwards and for Blenheim and Nelson vary little, with the latter places being sheltered from prevailing winds. Those in the east coast of the North Island are only very slightly higher. Kaikoura is an anomaly, probably because of the very exposed coastal headland where the station is sited.  It could be of interest to extract data for Akaroa for a comparison. It is not clear to me why Wanganui is not lower in the list. Palmerston North, Waiouru, Hamilton and Rotorua are intermediate between the eastern values and the remainder – Westland, Bay of Plenty, Wellington, the west of the North Island from Taranaki north, and Northland. Bay of Plenty locations have in common with the western ones a spring which is cloudier and more unsettled than late autumn. The values in Northland are clearly highest, especially in the case of spring.

 

Composite summary table

 

For the sake of completeness, Table 4 combines the seasonal tables, with dates in day-number format, and the latency data. There may be some factors of interest that have not been remarked on above, and any feedback on this would be welcomed.

 

Conclusion

 

The values calculated in these tables seem to be in good general accordance with general understanding of New Zealand climatology, but there are some cases that need more explaining, as detailed above.

 

 

Addendum:  Re: May 2009:

May NZ average 1971-2000 is 10.80C  and June average 1971-2000 is 8.58C

In 2009 the May NZ average was 9.0C (our THIRD coldest May on record - May 1959 was 8.4C and May 1913 7.7C).

Roughly speaking, it’s as if we dived into June-like temperatures about 25 days early.

 



#230 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Wed Jul 15, 2009 9:57 am
Subject: Aerosols and Climate seminar
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This seminar is open to Met Society members:
> In case you are interested …
>
>
> Physics Department Seminar
> Tuesday 21 July
> 11 am
>
> Speaker:
> A/Professor Michael Box, School of Physics, University of New South  Wales
>
> Title:
> Atmospheric Aerosols: Physics, Chemistry and Climatic Impacts
>
> Abstract:
> The Earth's climate is maintained by the atmospheric flows of solar and
> terrestrial radiation, which have almost no spectral overlap. Any  change
> in  atmospheric composition, or surface reflectivity, which alters one or
> both  of these flows is usually referred to as radiative (climate)
> forcing.  The  best known, and best understood, of these forcings is the
> impact of  increasing levels of greenhouse gases on terrestrial (thermal)
> radiation,  with a current estimate of about 2.5 Wm-2.
> Atmospheric aerosols  small particles of natural or human origin  are
> the  second key forcing agent. As well as reflecting some solar radiation
> back  to space, they may also modify both the albedo and lifetime of
> clouds,  again reflecting solar radiation. Both of these processes
> partially  counteract the effects of greenhouse gases  a negative forcing.
> Unlike the greenhouse gases, aerosols are extremely heterogeneous: not
> only  in space and time, but also in their optical/radiative properties.
> Black  soot absorbs solar radiation, rather than reflecting it, causing
> local  heating. Mineral dust is a mild absorber, with a question as to its
> net  radiative effect  cooling or warming.
> Australian desert dust , much redder than northern hemisphere    deserts,
> is  a major unknown. In recent years, my group has attempted to fill this
> gap.  In this talk I will discuss the physics behind aerosol forcing, and
> present  some results of our work.
>
> Venue: > Seminar Room > Room 426 Physics & Mathematics Bldg, Auckland
> University
>
> *****************************
> _______________________
> FROM Roger Davies
> Buckley-Glavish Professor of Climate Physics
>
> Mail: Dept. of Physics, The University of Auckland
> Private Bag 92019, Auckland 1142, New Zealand
> Deliveries: Room 605, Science Center, Building 303
> 38 Princes St, Auckland 1020, New Zealand
> phone: 64 9 923 8868
> fax: 64 9 373 7445
> email: r.davies@...
> _________________________
>
>
>
>
>
>

#231 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Thu Aug 13, 2009 10:33 am
Subject: M E T S O C N E W S E M A I L -- Media clips from June
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Met Society Newsletter

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/clipsjune2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their September  newsletter

Record cold in May and more chill to come

ONE News | Jun 3, 2009

http://aftermathnews.wordpress.com/2009/06/04/new-zealand-shivered-last-month-in-the-lowest-may-temperatures-ever-recorded/

The national average temperature of nine degrees was 1.6 degrees below the long-term average for May.

NIWA says extremely low temperatures, between two and 2.5 degrees lower than normal, were recorded over most of the South Island, lower parts of the North Island, King Country, Waikato, Auckland and parts of Northland.

Most other locations experienced well below average temperatures between 1.2 and two degrees lower than normal.

The lowest temperature during May was minus seven degrees recorded at Hanmer Forest on the 12th. The highest temperature was 23 degrees recorded at Christchurch on the 16th.

NIWA is warning we can expect below average temperatures in many regions in June. (Abridged)

 

Wet May heralds long, boggy winter

By Neal Wallace on Mon, 8 Jun 2009 Otago Daily Times

Wet weather in May has thrust farms in to mid-winter conditions such as these Taieri dairy cows grazing a crop. Photo by Peter McIntosh.

Otago farmers are hunkering down for what some expect to be a long, wet winter.

May rainfall over much of the province was double the long-term average, soaking soils, slowing grass growth and making access around farms more typical of the end of winter than the start.

Warepa farmer Mike Elliot said ground conditions resembled mid-winter rather than the start.  "May really was not a nice month. It has put us back a bit," the South Otago farmer said.

Snow arrived on the Central Otago mountain tops heavier and earlier than usual.

(Abridged)

 

'Frosty, settled' weather ahead

ROGER MORONEY Hawkes Bay Today 02.06.2009

http://www.hbtoday.co.nz/localnews/storydisplay.cfm?storyid=3798378&thesection=localnews&thesubsection=&thesecondsubsection=

 

Seven-year-old Hannah, left, and 9-year-old Sam Perry-Purchas of Havelock North having icy fun on the peak on Sunday.

Sunday's low snow flurries, which smeared Te Mata Peak and even speckled Napier Hill, were rarities and not portents that the region was in for an Antarctic-like winter.

``It was just a particularly cold southerly,' MetService weather ambassador Bob McDavitt said today.  ``The seasonal forecast was for a cool start to winter, but what you'll see for the rest of the week is more frosty, settled weather,' he said.

(abridged)

 

New label for clouds

Wednesday June 03, 2009 NZPA http://tvnz.co.nz/content/2766528

British efforts to find a new label for distinctive layered clouds that form "gravity waves" may not be necessary in New Zealand, says MetService spokesman Bob McDavitt.

Meteorologists in Britain are making a bid to have a new classification created for the cloud formation, which the Royal Meteorological Society wants to have named "asperatus" after the Latin word for rough.

The scientists want the label officially added to the international scheme used by forecasters to identify clouds.

New Zealand meteorologists normally describe the cloud pattern as altocumulus lentincularism and one formation of mountain wave clouds is commonly known the "northwest arch" in regions such as Canterbury, McDavitt said.

"So maybe no new name is required for such clouds," he said. "There is a whole zoo of cloud forms and changing shapes that occur".  McDavitt said there were already 10 or so varieties of cloud, and another 15 "species".

 

The cloud formations at the centre of the debate have underbellies like a rough sea. They are typical of clouds that form when there are two layers of different density in the air, one sitting on the other.

"The moister, cooler higher layer has cloud in it and the less moist layer is cloud-free," he said. "The boundary between these layers occasionally kicks up, then dips again because of gravity".

The northwest arch seen in Canterbury was usually a mix of lenticularis cloud at various levels - altocumulus altostratus and cirrostratus.

McDavitt said the asperatus label could be used to describe the undulations on the underbelly of the cloud but the current cloud classification system was sufficient to describe New Zealand clouds.

If the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) decided to add asperatus as a new species of cloud, "then we will probably use it to describe the times when the underbellies of altocumulus lenticularis clouds can be seen to change shape and "undulate" over a period of a time."

 

Residents endure flood frustrations

Peter de Graaf and Andre Hueber | 10th June 2009 Northern Advocate

http://www.northernadvocate.co.nz/local/news/residents-endure-flood-frustrations/3900333/

When Ricky Timms saw council contractors waterblasting Kaeo's main street to clean up after a flood two weeks earlier, the volunteer firefighter had a chuckle to himself.

"I told them as soon as they do that it'll flood again."

The clean-up was on Monday night; sure enough, by Tuesday morning parts of Kaeo were under water again.

 

Flooding at Jubilee Road. Whananaki. Picture/Michael Cunningham

Flooding at Jubilee Road. Whananaki. Picture/Michael Cunningham

MetService forecaster Nic Bonnette said by today most of the rain would have fallen, but some showers would linger until the front moved off in the afternoon. The rain that hit Northland, caused by a slow-moving trough, was significant but not exceptional, she said.

According to Northland Regional Council figures, the wettest place in the 36 hours to noon yesterday was Puhipuhi, about 30km north of Whangarei, with a whopping 117mm of rain. It was followed by Kerikeri's Western Hills (87mm), Kaeo East (85mm) and Glenbervie Forest (80.5mm).  (Abridged)

 

No business like snow business

By PAUL GORMAN - The Press 15/06/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/news/2499999/No-business-like-snow-business

NATASHA MARTIN/Timaru Herald

UPLIFTING: Richard Willis and daughter Claudia, 8, of Christchurch, enjoy Mt Dobson Ski Area's 90cm base on Saturday's opening day with more snow forecast this week

MetService forecaster Mark Pascoe said the cold air was going to "stick around for quite some time".

"Most of the week it will be cold and it'll probably snow on Banks Peninsula. It'll get pretty low, close to sea-level, probably down to 100 metres.

"Tuesday morning will be a pretty rough morning for Dunedin."

Blue Skies Weather forecaster Tony Trewinnard said "it will get very cold" tomorrow and the peninsula would "get a few more snow showers".

"Temperatures will be significantly cold, in single figures all week with some good frosts inland."

The Mt Dobson Ski Area opened on Saturday in fine, clear weather, with about 1300 snow lovers enjoying a 90cm base.  (Abridged)

 

Snow disrupts thousands around New Zealand 

ONE News Tuesday June 16, 2009

http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/snow-disrupts-thousands-around-new-zealand-2786332

Thousands have been disrupted by winter snow around New Zealand on one of the worst days of winter weather so far. 

The authorities are warning motorists to take extra care on Tuesday night.

In Otago, schools have closed, flights were cancelled and dozens of roads throughout the region have been affected by the conditions.

And the polar blast is making its way up the country, closing the Rimutaka Hill Road, north of Wellington.

Snow showers on the Desert Road are predicted with as much as 5cm of snow likely to accumulate on the road by 8pm Tuesday.

One viewer in Blenheim had this to say just after 1pm: "It's snowing snow and ice falling, and only five degrees in Blenheim right now. On the close hills going through from Blenheim to Picton the hills are white with snow. Blenheim doesn't usually get this snow and icy conditions. It's freezing, it's bitter."

Dunedin was virtually shut down. Many wish they had stayed home when they faced what was close to chaos on Dunedin streets.  (Abridged)

 

Snow closes Rimutaka Hill road

16/06/2009 Stuff/ NZPA

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2505467/Snow-closes-Rimutaka-Hill-road-overnight

The Rimutaka Hill Road north of Wellington was open early tonight after being closed because of snow but may close again later tonight.

Snow, black ice and sleet caused traffic chaos in and around the hills of Dunedin this morning.  Heavy snow falls in Dunedin caused a number of accidents and closed roads in and out of the city.  Snow also closed Dunedin Airport this morning, cancelling a total of 10 flights and the travel plans of 480 people.

Dunedin Airport was only rarely closed because of snow, said Air New Zealand airport manager Alistair Bevin.

The MetService predicted Dunedin would experience slightly warmer temperatures tomorrow.  Snow showers would clear by evening for a frosty night but it would be fine tomorrow for north and Central Otago.

For the rest of Otago, Southland and Fiordland there would be snow to near sea level, with snow levels rising.   (Abridged)

Otago University covered in Snow . Vicki Bradford

 

Weather kinder but not to be taken lightly

ODT Wed, 17 Jun 2009

After a milder night than expected Dunedin police reported no accidents this morning but asked motorists to drive carefully on snow and ice-covered roads around the region.

MetService weather ambassador Bob McDavitt said conditions were expected to be drier today, making for a frosty morning across the region but it was only a slight coating of white that greeted Dunedin residents today. 

"You'll have similar cold mornings for the rest of the week."

Severe frosts were expected in inland Otago and South Otago this morning.  Black ice is highly likely in Southland today and snow on the roads meant extreme care was needed when travelling over the Kilmog to Dunedin and on SH 1 from Balclutha to Clinton.

Dunedin viewed from the air above the Stuart St overbridge in Roslyn yesterday morning. Photo by Stephen Jaquiery.

The southwest front which brought the snow and dropped temperatures to a low of 1degC in the city moved north yesterday afternoon, but not before creating treacherous road conditions, closing schools, and delaying or preventing hundreds of people from getting to work or opening businesses.

Coastal Otago hill farms were covered by up to 100mm of snow yesterday morning, but farmers said ample warning and full hay barns and silage pits meant the storm caused few problems.  Abridged

 

Polar blast sweeps country

The Dominion Post 17/06/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/manawatu-standard/news/national-news/2506486/Polar-blast

ROBERT KITCHIN/ The Dominion Post

HEAVENLY CREATURE: Glen Lanceley, from Featherston, makes a "snow angel'' near the Rimutaka summit.

Rugby fans could be forced to sheepishly reach for the winter woollies, with temperatures expected to plunge to 4 degrees celsius for Saturday's grudge match between France and the All Blacks in Wellington.

Snow and ice closed roads, schools and airports as an Arctic blast swept up the country yesterday and MetService says there is more to come this weekend.

Weather forecaster Ramon Oosterkamp is warning Wellingtonians to batten down the hatches for a southerly storm expected to last till Monday.

Foul weather is expected in Wellington for the test match at Westpac Stadium. "Given wind chill factor, spectators at the game should prepare for four-degree temperatures," Mr Oosterkamp said.

Minimum temperature in Wellington

Yesterday: 1C,  Today: 3C

Coldest temperature recorded in June for Wellington: -1.2C in 1919.

The lowest temperature recorded in New Zealand was on July 3, 1995, -21.6C at Ophir, Central Otago.

 

Abridged

 

Shore freezes over and more to come

By TANYA KATTERNS - The Dominion Post 20/06/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/sunday-star-times/news/latest-news/2518791/Shore-freezes-over-and-more-to-come

NICOLA CUSTANCE

PRETTY SLICK: Pauatahanui Inlet displays an unusual frozen shoreline.

It was fine weather for polar bears, but not so hot for humans.

In the lower North Island, Paraparaumu woke up to a frozen -6.7C and the sea froze over on the shoreline of Pauatahanui Inlet.

With the shortest day of the year tomorrow, MetService is warning that frigid days are not over yet. The lowest air temperature was recorded in Tongariro a chilling -8.6C, though an estimated -11C "on the ground". Nelson was also bearing the brunt of the cold snap with a thick white frost and -10.6C ground temperature early yesterday.

Masterton recorded -6.2C, Levin -5.6C and Kelburn -1.6C. However, most roads remained open. Some streets in the Central Plateau resembled ice-rinks, but after a layer of grit was laid there were no closures.

The Rimutaka Hill Road was closed on and off throughout the morning as contractors cleared sleet and ice.  Abridged

 

Insurance bills to soar

By LOIS WATSON - Sunday Star Times  21/06/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/2520757/Insurance-bills-to-soar

The insurance industry says premiums have not kept up with repair costs.

http://inl-images.adbureau.net/inl/accipiter/images/AE3.gif

Many homeowners face steep premium increases as insurance companies try to claw back the huge payouts they have made in recent years.

In the year ending September 2008, New Zealand insurance companies paid out a record $566 million in domestic building and contents insurance claims. Industry insiders say this level of claims means companies now have little choice but to increase their premiums if they want to stay in the black.

Gary Young, chief executive of the Insurance Brokers' Association, said domestic insurance premiums were definitely rising: "Premium rates have fallen behind the increased cost of replacing housing.

Over the past five years building costs had increased at a faster pace than insurance premiums.  Increased frequency of personal insurance claims and weather events such as storms and flooding, combined with economic challenges, have also significantly influenced the cost of claims. Abridged

 

Wellington shivers as southerlies bite

By MICHAEL FOX - Stuff.co.nz 23/06/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2526339/Wellington-shivers-as-southerlies-bite/

Wellingtonians bemoaning the consistent cold weather have been vindicated by new figures released by the MetService.

KENT BLECHYNDEN/Dominion Post

WINTRY BLASTS: Between May 1 and June 21 Wellington copped 27 southerly days, with 16 of those wet.

"MetService data confirms the talk of the town that Wellingtonians have been experiencing a sustained southerly assault since May", he said.

Results show that in the 52 days between May 1 and June 21, Wellington copped 27 southerly days. On top of that, 16 of those days were wet.

This compares with 20 southerly days in the same period last year, of which 13 were wet.

Dunedin came second with 17 southerly days, and 13 wet ones compared with eight and four last year.

Christchurch and Auckland were equal with 13 southerly days. Twelve of these were wet in Christchurch and only nine in Auckland. In the same period last year, Auckland had 13 southerly days, but Christchurch only had five.

Mr McDavitt added that playing fields around the country this winter got muddy earlier than normal because of a very wet May.

"The hardest place to play weekend sport recently has been in Wellington. Their last dry weekend was the first weekend of May.

While temperatures across the country had taken a sharp dive into in May, they were now levelling out.

The coolest time of the year is likely to be between mid July and early August, as per normal, he said.

 

Flood fears as district faces continuing rain

Monday, 29 June 2009 Gisborne Herald By Marianne Gillingham

http://www.gisborneherald.co.nz/Default.aspx?s=3&s1=2&id=12499

Rivers were rising and drains around Gisborne city were overloaded as between 80-100 millimetres of rain fell in the 24 hours until 9am today.  There was widespread surface flooding around the city and across the Poverty Bay Flats.

With MetService this morning renewing and upgrading its heavy rain warning for the district, Civil Defence officer Richard Steele was keeping a close eye on the situation. The worst of the rain appeared to be concentrated in the area south of Tolaga Bay. Abridged

Mangapapa resident Arnold Hutchings keeps a concerned eye as the level of Mangapapa Stream under a footbridge at the back of his home reaches new heights. He was one of several residents who called The Herald, alarmed at the rapidly rising water in the area this morning. Picture by Paul Rickard

 

Rising rivers spark Gisborne flood concerns

Tuesday Jun 30, 2009 NZ Herald  By David Kraitzick with NZPA

Flooding in Gisborne. Photo / Julie Hollamby

Civil Defence is warning Gisborne area residents to be ready to leave their homes, as river levels across the region rise rapidly.

Residents from Mangatuna, 65km northeast of Gisborne, are currently being evacuated while those in Te Karaka are being warned of their probable isolation by tonight, said Civil Defence.

Gisborne's Civil Defence emergency operation was activated about 9.30am today as rivers around the Poverty Bay and Uawa catchments rose past warning levels, in the face of continuing south-easterly rain.

WeatherWatch analyst Philip Duncan said there is a "very high risk of slips and flooding over the next 24 to 36 hours".

Rainfall totals have reached the 180mm mark in both the Waipaoa and Uawa catchments, with a further heavy rain warning for another 150mm-200mm in the hills around Gisborne and Tolaga Bay from 8am today until 2pm tomorrow.

Yesterday's storm brought more than 1000 bolts of forked lightning to Auckland and Northland, while heavy rain caused slips and flooding, resulting in road closures in the central North Island and Manawatu.

Rain also caused slips in the Manawatu Gorge and contractors were called in to keep the road open.

The MetService said today the vigorous low that had caused the storm was now sitting north of Bay of Plenty and was predicted to move slowly east or southeast.

About 180mm of rain was also expected in the ranges north of Mohaka, in the Hawke's Bay, with snow falling down to about 900m.

Snow warnings were also issued for the Desert Road in the central North Island and Porters Pass in central Canterbury.  Abridged

 

MetService Launches New Warning Service

Monday, 29 June 2009, 4:35 pm

MetService has today announced a new warning service, commencing 1 July, that will warn people of localised severe weather caused by thunderstorms up to two hours in advance.

“Individual thunderstorms don't affect big areas like lows or fronts – and they only last an hour or two. But the sheer intensity of the rain, wind or hail associated with them can have a big impact. According to the Insurance Council of New Zealand website, insurance claims resulting from the tornadoes in Taranaki in early July 2007 totalled about $8 million, while the cost of a hail storm in Canterbury in November 2008 was about $11 million”, commented Peter Kreft of MetService.

 “The Severe Thunderstorm Warning service may provide up to two hours notice of such a weather event”, says Kreft. “Warnings will be available by email and on the MetService website.”

The new service will be invaluable for those managing risk, particularly in the outdoors. Severe Thunderstorm Warnings will provide detailed information on the expected track of the thunderstorm and associated severe weather. Warnings will only be issued once severe thunderstorms have been identified and will be valid for up to two hours.

Weather radar is essential for identifying and tracking thunderstorms. Because of this, Severe Thunderstorm Warnings will only be made available to places within 150 km of a weather radar.  To make the service available to more New Zealanders, MetService is installing radars in the Far North, Western Bay of Plenty, Mahia and on the South Island West Coast over the next three years.

All of New Zealand, including areas that are beyond the range of a weather radar, will continue to be covered by the Severe Thunderstorm Outlook and Severe Thunderstorm Watch. Both of these services are available from MetService’s website, and the Severe Thunderstorm Watch is also available by email.

Thunderstorms occur in varying circumstances over different parts of New Zealand. In inland and eastern parts of both islands, they tend to occur most often in the afternoons and evenings of summer and autumn.  In the west of both islands, however, they are often associated with vigorous and fast moving cold fronts and can occur at any time of the day and in any season.  For more information on how to stay safe in a thunderstorm visit: www.metservice.co.nz

 


#232 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Mon Aug 31, 2009 11:27 am
Subject: M E T S O C N E W S E M A I L - July clippings
bobmcd2001
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Met Society Newsletter

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/clipsjuly2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their September  newsletter

 

Evacuees prepare to return as floods ease

Jun 30, 2009 By Rachel Tiffen, HZ Herald/NZPA

A flooded bridge on the East Coast near Tolaga Bay.  / Gisborne District Council

Rain that raised river levels and caused slips on the East Coast has eased overnight, allowing people evacuated yesterday to prepare to return home.

About 500 people faced being cut off in the East Coast town of Te Karaka yesterday, as roads were swamped by flooding and further downpours loomed.

Te Karaka residents were told to evacuate homes by 4pm or stay put for the night.

Today, the region's Civil Defence head John Davies said homes and most roads had been spared damage from flooding overnight. Gisborne police told NZPA State Highway 35 between Tolaga Bay and Tokomaru Bay was still closed due to flooding but all other roads had reopened.  Further south, heavy rain had also caused slips on SH5 between Napier and Taupo, and SH2 between Napier and Wairoa, but both roads remained open. (abridged)

 

Motorists warned of wintry conditions

http://www.odt.co.nz/news/national/63882/motorists-warned-be-prepared-wintry-conditions

Fri, 3 Jul 2009 Otago Daily Times

Absolute bedlam ensues at the Speight's Dog Derby at Coronet Peak yesterday, as competitors do their best to whistle, yell and beg their dogs to go up the hill, round the flags and back to the finish line. Photo by Patrick Fallon.

School holidays, which begin today, are off to a chilly start in the South, with some roads closed by heavy snow yesterday and more snow expected to low levels around the region during the weekend.

Southern holiday motorists, particularly those in Central Otago, are being urged to carry chains in their vehicles and check the status of roads before setting out.

In Otago, road contracting services, tow truck operators, and police were kept busy yesterday afternoon and evening as the snow settled in and packed into ice.

A series of minor car crashes, mostly involving cars sliding off icy roads, were reported around Wanaka and other parts of Central Otago, but no significant injuries were reported.  Three passengers in a bus which collided with a car in icy conditions on the Chatto Creek Sprinvale Rd shortly before 9pm were taken to Dunstan Hospital.  (Abridged)

 

Bad weather coming from all directions 

Saturday July 04, 2009 Source: Newstalk ZB/ONE News

ONE News

Bad weather is expected to attack the country from both ends this weekend.

Allister Gorman from MetService says most of the country will be affected by rain. He says there will be persistent showers for Canterbury and Otago with snow down to three to four hundred metres.

For the top of the country rain will spread south from Northland, with thunderstorms possible for Auckland. The weather causing problems for the start of the school holidays with treacherous road conditions around New Zealand. Schools had to start their holidays early but the roads round some districts were too treacherous for travel. (Abridged)

 

Tornado rips into the North

Sunday Jul 05, 2009 By Heather McCracken and Anna Leask   NZ Herald

Damage to roof tiles on a Pukepoto Road home after the tornado swept through Kaitaia. Photo / John McLuckie

Twenty homes and a hospital were damaged when a tornado ripped through the Far North yesterday afternoon.

Residents were evacuated as the twister made landfall at Ninety Mile Beach and left a trail of destruction as it headed south east through Kaitaia.

"It was like a war zone," said Kaitaia volunteer fire chief Colin Kitchen. "There were trees down everywhere, a car got crushed by a tree. One person saw a large picnic table flying through the air and another saw a trampoline.

"Most of the damage was tiles and roofs off."

The tornado hit Kaitaia about 12.40pm, sweeping across Pukepoto Rd, Worth St and Redan Rd.

Four houses on Pukepoto Rd were so badly damaged residents could not go home last night. They were put up in motels.

Kaitaia Hospital was also damaged. The roof lifted off the boiler room and part of the administration building. Nurse Katrina Tonks was on her last shift at the accident and medical department when the tornado hit.

"A deafening roar started to come through. As I was standing there the ceiling tiles started to shift. The walls were shaking from the suction of the tornado lifting the roof," she said.

"Everyone just froze to start with, we weren't sure what was happening. Then everyone started ducking for cover and running to the walls.

"The children in the waiting room were screaming."

A thunderstorm outlook issued by Metservice at 12.30pm yesterday gave a high risk of thunderstorms for Northland and Auckland, with a "slight risk of a small tornado or waterspout". MetService weather ambassador Bob McDavitt said Kaitaia was too far north for the tornado to appear on the radar.

"We can't see them all, but the ones we can see, we tell you about."

Weatherwatch head weather analyst Phil Duncan said almost 1250 lightning strikes between East Cape and Northland between 3pm and 4pm. (Abridged)

 

New high-tech MetService service allows for better warning system

Sun, 05 Jul 2009 TV3

The state-of-the-art software increases sensitivity and allows forecasters to see things they never could before

 

Kaitaia's residents had no warning of yesterday's tornado that ripped the roofs off houses and damaged the hospital. The storm was an incredibly powerful one that went undetected before zeroing in on a very small area.

But in the future they'll be better prepared.

The MetService has a new high-tech weather warning service that's already operating in some regions and will cover most of the country, including Northland, within three years.

State-of-the-art software is applied to existing weather radars, which increases sensitivity and allows forecasters to see things they never could before.

"Severe weather events on a small scale can have just as big an impact on a community because while they're only over a small local area, they are very intense," explains senior forecaster Peter Kreft.

The system is already up and running in Auckland, Taranaki, Wellington, Canterbury and Otago.

"Just about anyone who manages a weather risk and needs to preserve life or property that is subject to the weather has something to gain from the use of this service," Mr Kreft says.

So everyone from builders working on roofs all the way down to contractors working in stormwater drains can benefit from the service.

 

20 homes damaged: clean-up to take weeks

Peter de Graaf | 6th July 2009 Northern Advocate

http://www.northernadvocate.co.nz/local/news/20-homes-damaged-clean-up-to-take-weeks/3901009/

Two of the worse-affected homes in Pukepoto Rd. Picture/Peter de Graaf

The tornado that hit Kaitaia sounded like a train roaring towards the town, according to a man whose roof was ripped off in the weekend's freak weather.

The worst damage was on Pukepoto Rd, where Lou Te Haara, 72, lost much of his roof. After a burst of hail he went outside to close the garage and heard something like a train thundering towards him.

"I saw it lifting the water, sucking it out of the river. When I saw the cows running and the trees moving, I went back inside and told my wife, 'Here it comes!'

"It was roaring as it came across the paddock. We saw the wishing well on the back lawn get sucked straight up into the air. When it hit the house we ran into the hallway where it's safer. We heard the roof go - the sound was terrible.

"I opened the door and all the tiles were on the front lawn and insulation was flying around. I saw it cross the road, hit the houses there, and then the hospital."

The tornado is thought to have crossed Ninety Mile Beach around 12.40pm. It raced across farmland before hitting Pukepoto Rd, Worth St and Kaitaia Hospital.

 

Snow blankets South Island

                 Sun, 05 Jul 2009 TV3

http://www.3news.co.nz/News/NationalNews/Snow-blankets-South-Island/tabid/423/articleID/111313/cat/64/Default.aspx

Parts of the South Island have received their heaviest snow dump this winter.

Areas around Tekapo were blanketed in snow, while in Canterbury and Otago it fell to 300 metres.

A cold south-easterly flowing over the South Island is to blame and is one in a long series that's had the country shivering over the last couple of months.

 Meteorologist Tony Trewinnard says it has not been this cold in decades

"If we look back at the month of May the temperatures over New Zealand were pretty much colder than anything we'd had since the mid 1950s," he says. "And we look back at the recently completely month of June you go back to into the '70s before you have a month that had similar cold weather patterns."

High country roads and passes have borne the brunt of the weather which is not expected to ease until tomorrow. (Abridged)

 

Stormy weather hits New Zealand's north

July 12, 2009 - Sydney Morning Herald © 2009 NZPA

http://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-world/stormy-weather-hits-new-zealands-north-20090712-dh09.html

Severe weather in New Zealand's far north has killed a teenage girl, caused flooding, lifted roofs off houses and brought down trees and power lines.

A 15-year-old girl died early on Sunday morning after a tree fell on a caravan she was sleeping in.

The accident happened on a rural property at Whakapara, 23km northwest of Whangarei. One other person was in the caravan but managed to escape uninjured, Whangarei police Acting Sergeant James Calvert said.

The Fire Service was kept busy on Sunday morning dealing with call-outs, northern communications centre shift manager Jaron Phillips told NZPA.

A lot of trees were down over roads and power lines were down, he said.

A high tide in Ruakaka, 30km southeast of Whangarei, was causing problems as it overflowed onto the road, Phillips said.

Roofs were being lifted off houses and a shed had blown over, he said.

A Vector power company spokeswoman said customers northwest of Auckland in Warkworth, Wellsford and Kaipara Flats were without power after trees fell on power lines.

The MetService has issued a severe weather warning for Northland, Waikato and the Bay of Plenty, but heavy rain and severe gales were expected to ease later on Sunday.  (Abridged)

 

NIWA developing rain predicting technology

Sun, 12 Jul 2009  TV3

http://www.3news.co...nz/News/NIWA-developing-rain-predicting-technology/tabid/209/articleID/112182/cat/41/Default.aspx

NIWA is developing world leading technology that can work out where the rain will end up, before it has fallen

Parts of Northland have just received a month’s rain in 36 hours, and the Bay of Plenty is expecting a drenching tonight.

As the weather gets wetter, the threats of flooding and landslides increase.

NIWA is developing world leading technology that can work out where the rain will end up, before it has even fallen.

Like many regions around New Zealand, the Bay of Plenty is vulnerable to flash floods.  The hills and ranges close to the coast hide a network of quiet streams and rivers that can change into raging torrents. The low lying flat land is quite close to the very steep hill country so when you get the very intense rainfall events the flooding occurs down the rivers and streams very quickly.

Regional Councils like Environment Bay of Plenty electronically monitor dozens of stream and river level sites And websites now mean anyone can click on remote locations to find out what's happening.

“EBOP is really just trying to get that warning out to people as quickly as we possibly can, so that they can then take actions to get out of the way of any flooding that may arise,” says Bruce Crabbe of Environment Bay of Plenty.

But that does not help in places like Matata near Whakatane, that was hit by  a massive mudslide 4 years ago. 

Here the rain catchments are so steep and so close to populated areas there are still no warning systems in place because there would be no time to act.

But now NIWA is developing what it hopes will be a world-leading weather forecasting model.

It will warn which rivers are going to flood and where - before the rain has even fallen. The model uses rainfall forecasts, soil saturation levels, river flows and storm surge activity to work out when and where rivers may flood.

“If you've got any possibility of reducing damage to somebody downstream you want to make sure you're doing that to the best of your ability - and that is what this is about,” says Mr Bryant.

“The technology represents more than 25 years of research and development and NIWA hopes to have it operating right around the country within two years.”

 

Gale force winds cause havoc in Taranaki

 

 

 

By HARRIET PALMER - Taranaki Daily News 13 July 2009

CAMERON BURNELL/Taranaki Daily News

LUCKY BLOKE: Stephen Watemburg struggles against the high winds which tore off his neighbour's roof in upper Mangorei Rd yesterday afternoon, narrowly missing his home.

Winds of up to 100kmh had Taranaki people scrambling yesterday as trees, power lines and roofs fell victim to ferocious weather.

The airport was closed from 10.30am and about 1200 homes lost power in New Plymouth, Bell Block and as far north as Uruti as fallen trees and wind-blown branches took down power lines throughout the day.

Forecaster Chris Noble, of the MetService, said the south easterly wind came from the same deep low which produced wind in Northland of up to 100kmh and killed a 15-year-old girl after a tree fell on the caravan she slept in early yesterday morning. (Abridged)

 

Idaburn now cold enough for curling

By JOHN EDENS in Alexandra - The Southland Times 14/07/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/southland-times/sport/2590450/Idaburn-now-cold-enough-for-curling

The first Wilson Cup curling fixture in six years will be played on natural ice today.

The mini-bonspiel was given the go-ahead on Sunday when Idaburn Curling Council members drilled the ice at Idaburn dam near Oturehua.

New Zealand Curling Association member and Idaburn Curling Council icemaster Stewart McKnight yesterday said the ice was about 15cm thick. (abridged)

 

Snow-lovers get stuck on Ruapehu after heavy fall

Wednesday Jul 15, 2009 By Rachel Tiffen  Herald

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10584529

Hundreds of drivers had to wait for their cars to be fitted with chains before they could leave the mountain. Photo / Sarah Ivey

Dozens of skiers and snowboarders were stuck on Mt Ruapehu last night after heavy snow made it unsafe to drive out without chains - and more snow is on the way.  Weather ambassador Bob McDavitt said rain would clear to showers today, with snow above 1600m. Whakapapa's carpark sits at 1500m. (abridged)

 

Death in the snow

By KAY BLUNDELL and TANYA KATTERNS - The Dominion Post 16/07/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/dominion-post/news/wellington/2597861/Death-in-the-snow

PHIL REID/ The Dominion Post

SIGN OF SORROW: Te Papa flies the New Zealand flag at half-mast to honour Dr Bennington, its chief executive for the past six years.

BARRY DURRANT

LONELY OUTPOST: Kime Hut in the Tararuas. "It was a blizzard up there,'' Metservice forecaster Steve Ready said of the conditions Seddon Bennington and Marcella Jackson perished in.

As Te Papa boss Seddon Bennington and Marcella Jackson walked to their deaths in Tararua Forest Park, MetService was warning of deteriorating weather.

Just hours later, at an altitude of 1400 metres, the pair encountered 80kmh southerly winds that whipped up snow, reduced temperatures to minus 20 degrees Celsius and visibility to almost zero.

"It was a blizzard up there," MetService forecaster Steve Ready said. "Trying to keep yourself upright in such atrocious conditions and with that wind-chill, it would have been horrific."

Search and rescue experts say the survival rate in such conditions without a tent would have been "hours rather than days".

Police believe Dr Bennington, 61, and his 54-year-old companion never made it to their destination, Kime Hut. They could have died as early as Saturday afternoon, and remained covered in snow till found by searchers yesterday morning. Their bodies were just off the track, a kilometre short of the hut and about 300 metres apart. It was unclear whether they had become separated. Neither appeared to have injuries that indicated a fall. "It appears they were overcome by the weather conditions," Inspector Mark Harrison of Palmerston North said. (abridged)

 

Student dies after wind gust blows him off ute.

July 22, 2009Police, Press Release   - New Zealand Police
There has been a fatal motor vehicle accident in Masterton.
At about 5pm on Tuesday, emergency services were notified of an incident on Te Ore Ore Road. Initial enquiries established that a 15 year old male student (the victim in this incident) had been on the back of a farm utility vehicle.

The vehicle was being driven by a 34 year old male family friend.

The pair had loaded a slat bed frame, a wooden cabinet and a fridge onto the back of the ute and had driven about 200 meters from the young person’s home.

The 15 year old was on the back of the ute holding onto the furniture when an extremely strong gust of wind has knocked the young person and all of the furniture onto the road. It appears that the young person struck the road and sustained facial injuries.

Emergency staff who attended the scene described the weather conditions as atrocious but localised to that area. (Abridged)

 

Tornado lifts roofs in Taranaki

Wednesday Jul 22, 2009 nz herald
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10585902

View looking up Layard St, Opunake, this morning. Photo / Mike Smith

Roofs went up and powerlines came down when a tornado hit the south Taranaki town of Opunake last night.

The tornado struck about 7.30pm, following a severe weather warning for the area from the MetService.

"Generally tornadoes are associated with thunder storms moving through... these small tornadoes are not uncommon in western areas," MetService forecaster Chris Noble said. He said New Zealand tended to only get small tornadoes, although they could still do serious damage. Several houses lost their roofs and had windows smashed in last night's tornado, and power poles across Opunake were knocked over. (Abridged)

 

Stormy weather lashes North Island

24/07/2009 CRAIG SIMCOX/Dominion Post

- By REBECCA PALMER, MATT CALMAN, TIM DONOGHUE and KELLY BURNS/Dominion Post with MICHAEL FOX, Stuff.co.nz

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2669407/Stormy-weather-lashes-North-Island

 

OFF THE RAILS: About 300 train passengers were stranded in a tunnel after a train's locomotive ploughed into a wall of mud and debris and derailed, north of Upper Hutt.

ROBERT KITCHIN/The Dominion Post

TRAIN DERAILED

About 300 train passengers were stranded in a tunnel last night after the train's locomotive ploughed into a wall of mud and debris and derailed as it left a tunnel at Maymorn, north of Upper Hutt, about 6.20pm.

The impact knocked the engine and one carriage about a metre off the tracks. There were no reports of injury last night.

Train driver Adam Ford, still inside his mud-covered engine, told The Dominion Post at the scene last night: "I came into the tunnel and I could not see out the other end. It was a sea of mud. The portal was completely blocked. We slammed into it and slid off the tracks."

 

Commuters in the capital are facing further weather-related chaos this morning, with floods, strong winds and several train lines out of action.

Emergency services are mopping up after wild weather last night caused commuter chaos around Wellington, with train passengers stranded by a derailment, slips blocking major roads, and widespread flooding.

Overnight the Fire Service received about 45 calls due to flooding - mainly in Porirua, Stokes Valley, Whitby and Silverstream - and downed trees.

This morning, flooding north of Melling on State Highway Two has caused northbound traffic to be reduced to one lane, and flooding has caused the closure of State Highway 53 between Martinborough and Featherston.

MetService said the front that brought the bad weather was now moving away from the country and heavy rain and strong wind warnings have been lifted.

MetService forecaster Kathleen Wozniak said the highest rain falls overnight were in the Tararua Ranges, where 253mm fell, and at Dawson Falls in Taranaki, where 223mm fell. Parts of Hawke's Bay received 74mm of rain while Lower Hutt soaked up 47mm worth. The strongest wind gusts were recorded at Mt Kaukau, which copped gusts of up to 142kmh, while Paraparaumu received 110kmh gusts.

High winds consistently dogged the coast between Wairarapa and Hawke's Bay, with an average wind speed of 100kmh, she said.

 

The downpour has raised concerns about how bad weather leaves the capital vulnerable. The capital is no stranger to bad weather, but Thursday night was one of the worst ever, with high waves, high winds and heavy rain battering the city.

The Chamber of Commerce said that cost to the city, and the country, could be millions of dollars. At one point Thursday night, the capital was cut off from the north. For several hours, the narrow Akatarawa Rd between Upper Hutt and Waikanae was the main route north.

Jo Bransgrove from the Wellington Chamber of Commerce says that is not what the capital of the country should be like when bad weather hits. "It leaves us as a cut off capital and that's no good, it's no good for us, it's no good for New Zealand," says Bransgrove.  (Abridged)

 

Avalanche risk remains high

By Joanne Carroll and Marjorie Cook on Sat, 1 Aug 2009 Otago Daily Times

http://www.odt.co.nz/news/queenstown-lakes/67898/avalanche-risk-remains-high

The risk of an avalanche remains high in the mountains around Queenstown and Wanaka this weekend, and snowboarders and skiers are being warned to stay away from the back country.  The Mountain Safety Council has issued high-risk avalanche warnings for all Queenstown and Wanaka back-country areas.

In the Wanaka back country, snow down to 1000m and severe gales added weight to the already overloaded snowpack.  Back country travel is not advised. (abridged)


#233 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Wed Sep 16, 2009 10:40 am
Subject: M E T S O C N E W S E M A I L == August weather clippings
bobmcd2001
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Met Society Newsletter

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter http://metsoc...rsnz.org/Newsletter/clipsaug2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their September  newsletter

 

Ski fields on high alert after 2nd avalanche death

Mon, 03 Aug 2009 5:33p.m. TV3 By Tristram Clayton

http://www.3news.co.nz/-Ski-fields-on-high-alert-after-2nd-avalanche-death-/tabid/423/articleID/115035/cat/64/Default.aspx


The Southern Alps have dealt up yet another tragedy to mountain goers with a second avalanche fatality in just two weeks.
The two incidents have put ski fields around the South Island on high alert.
The New Zealand Mountain Safety Council says new snow, frozen rain and warm wind have created an extreme avalanche risk.
Dan Kennedy, head of Mt Hutt ski patrol, says backcountry skiers need to take extra precautions.  “If they want to go out back country they need to advise patrol but most importantly they need to have a transceiver, a shovel and a probe and know how to use them and make sure they never travel alone,” he says.

Mr Wilson says most people caught in an avalanche survive the initial impact.

If someone trapped is not rescued within 18 minutes their chances of survival drop to just 10 percent. Mr Kennedy says if people carry a transceiver and get trapped in an avalanche, they can be located in around three minutes.
Weather forecasters predict north-westerly winds which means the risk of avalanches in the Southern Alps remains high.  (abridged)

Milford road still closed by slides

By Joanne Carroll on Tue, 4 Aug 2009 ODT

Snow remains on the side of the road near Lake Fraser on the way to Hollyford after an avalanche. Photo by NZPA

Milford Sound, one of New Zealand's premier tourist destinations, is likely to be cut off to road traffic until tomorrow because trees and snow up to 5m deep in places are blocking State Highway 94.

The main road between Te Anau and Milford Sound has been blocked by avalanche debris periodically since last Wednesday and numerous times in the past two weeks due to avalanche control work.

The avalanche risk has been high in the Queenstown and Wanaka backcountry areas for the past two weeks .

The Mountain Safety Council website www.avalanche.net.nz gives avalanche conditions for the main ski areas throughout the country, but does not include the Fiordland region.  (abridged)

 

Mild, wet weather brings forth smiles in drought

WET WET WET: Dismal weather greeted this whitebaiter on Ngaruroro River for the start of the season.

When skies darken and the rain falls ... and falls ... and falls, it is standard practice for most people to make remarks like ``rotten weather''.

But not Raukawa resident Alison Greenwood and her neighbours, who have spent the past three days smiling.

``I've been enjoying the weather because it's been raining,'' Mrs Greenwood said.

``We were having a drought,'' she added.

But three days of consistent rain _ nearly 20mm of it over the past 48 hours on her patch, as well as mild temperatures, had effectively knocked drought conditions on the head as there were already good signs of growth about.

Norsewood resident Lyn McConchie, who has been keeping weather records for more than 20 years, agreed.

``We've got good grass coming through already,'' she said, adding the conditions were similar to what she would usually see in early September.

``Over the last 48 hours there has been 44mm and it's misting heavily today ... no drought in Norsewood.'' (Abridged)

 

 

Start of the golden weather

By EMMA PAGE - Sunday Star Times

Last updated 05:00 23/08/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/sunday-star-times/news/2778444/Start-of-the-golden-weather

Photo: Kevin Stent

Raniera Sisley and her brother Toatoa get in some practice for summer on the Petone foreshore.

IF you thought there was a hint of spring in the air, you're right. After an extremely cold winter, temperatures for the first few weeks of August have been one to two degrees warmer than normal around the country.

Last week, magnolias and cherry blossoms were out in style in Auckland, and daffodils and other spring bulbs were bravely beginning to bloom in Wellington and Christchurch.

Senior climate scientist Georgina Griffiths from the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (Niwa) said that after the record-setting cold month of May, and a chilly June and July, spring was beginning. "Spring has sprung a wee bit early and the expectation is everything is back to normal."

Spring is usually considered to start in September and go through to November.

But it may not be such good news for summer and the Christmas holidays. Waiting in the wings is an El Nino weather pattern a temporary increase in sea temperatures in the Pacific that arrives at irregular intervals every few years and causes weather changes around the globe. Griffiths said Niwa was watching the seas in the tropical South Pacific and the corresponding changes in the atmosphere, which were currently looking "El Nino-like".

If the El Nino conditions continue to intensify it would mean more frequent and stronger south-westerlies, and the possibility of drought for the northern and eastern areas of both islands as higher temperatures and the wind dried out the soil.

Not every El Nino is the same but the weather pattern generally means cooler summer air and sea temperatures for most of New Zealand which could be a dampener for holiday makers. "Going swimming in an El Nino can be notably cooler," said Griffiths.

But some areas are likely to escape the cool El Nino weather, especially northern and eastern regions including Gisborne, Hawke's Bay, Nelson, Marlborough and Canterbury, because the wind tends to become dry and warm up as it travels over hills. (Abridged)

 

 

Spring is in the air

The Timaru Herald 25/08/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/timaru-herald/news/2783681/Spring-is-in-the-air

JOHN BISSET/Timaru Herald

THE COLOURFUL TOUCH: Yesterday's high of 15C was warm enough for Timaru's Charlee Charles, 3, to enjoy the spring blossom on Kent St.

The tropical weather which South Canterbury is basking in is set to continue today, with the MetService predicting a balmy 19 degrees Celsius.

 

 

Fierce electrical storm hits Auckland 

 Thursday August 27, 2009 Source: ONE News

http://tvnz.co.nz/national-news/fierce-electrical-storm-hits-auckland-2949510

ONE NewsLightning over Auckland

Many Aucklanders were woken over Wednesday night as a fierce electrical storm hit the area with loud thunder, lightning flashes and heavy rain in some places.

A total of 939 lightning strikes were reported in Auckland over a 24 hour period, setting off a number of fire alarms, although no major damage was reported.

Strong westerly winds and showers are forecast for much of the country on Thursday.

MetService is warning of severe westerly gales on Thursday for eastern North Island areas south of Hastings. It says the winds have the potential to damage trees and powerlines and make driving hazardous, especially for motorcycles and high sided vehicles.

 

Lightning strike wrecks home

Thursday Aug 27, 2009  By Isaac Davison  NZ Herald

Sam Johnston, son of the homeowner, sits on what remains of the garden wall. Photo / Alan Gibson

Sam Johnston, son of the homeowner, sits on what remains of the garden wall. Photo / Alan Gibson

The severe thunderstorms which cut power and demolished property in parts of the North Island will give way to warm, fine weather this weekend.

MetService warned of intermittent thundery weather until Saturday and gale-force winds on Sunday. But in between stormy spells it expected clearer conditions.

The vicious storm early yesterday morning cut power to 8500 homes in the Bay of Plenty, as well as breaking windows and damaging property. A bolt of lightning destroyed a concrete wall and steps at a house in Tauranga, throwing debris into the air.

"I used to work in Belfast and the only thing I've heard that loud was explosives," said homeowner Sam Johnston. "Inside ... papers flew in the air, and socket points blew off the wall across the living room, all melted."

Weather ambassador Bob McDavitt said 150 lightning strikes were recorded in Western Bay of Plenty over a two-hour period.

The warm, unsettled weather was typical of spring, said Weatherwatch analyst Philip Duncan, and had arrived a month earlier than expected. He said the drier conditions would be of concern to farmers. (abridged)

 

Wind back with a vengeance

By STACEY WOOD - The Dominion Post 27/08/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/2805102/Wind-back-with-a-vengeance

ROSS GIBLIN/The Dominion Post

HANGING ON FOR DEAR LIFE: "I was in danger of losing my beanie into the sea a number of times,'' says John Silvester of his windy walk.

Hold on to your hats, those winds are set to continue.

Wellington winds returned with a blast on Tuesday night and look set to bluster on until Sunday.

Wellington man John Silvester took a helping hand from runner Bernie Portenski and her friends when he was caught in high winds on his morning walk yesterday.

Mr Silvester said it was the strongest wind he had encountered on the point.

A front pushing a heavy band of rain passed over Wellington between midnight and 4am yesterday, dumping 30 to 35 millimetres of rain over the region in about four hours. Wind gusts reached up to 159kmh on Mt Kaukau. The Rimutaka Hill summit and Kelburn endured gusts of 120kmh and 110kmh, and most of the region was hit by gusts of more than 100kmh.

MetService forecaster Cameron Coutts said strong winds of up to gale force were likely to continue until Sunday. "It's typical spring, equinoxal weather, lots of wind but pretty fine." (Abridged)

 

Winds cut power at Mount

by Carly Udy | 28th August 2009  By of Plenty Times

High winds caused power cuts to around 2400 properties in Mount Maunganui yesterday.

Powerco Network operations manager Phil Marsh said outages started about 3.40pm and affected customers in and around central Mount Maunganui and Omanu.

MetService forecaster Oliver Druce said Tauranga received strong westerly winds yesterday with gusts of up to 70km/h recorded at Tauranga Airport at 3pm. MetService's weather station at Golden Valley behind Waihi recorded gusts of up to 110km/hr. Mr Druce said there would be less wind today and tomorrow, but Sunday would see heavy rain developing and gale force northerlies. (Abridged)

 

 

She's surely gonna blow, cap'n

By JEFF TOLLAN - The Timaru Herald  29/08/2009

http://www.stuff.co.nz/timaru-herald/news/2813574/Shes-surely-gonna-blow-cap-n

NATASHA MARTIN/ The Timaru Herald

SANDBLAST CENTRAL: There was little protection for those venturing outdoors yesterday and the weather is predicted to go downhill from today. With little cover to save them, Caroline Bay's sand dunes were blown across the port.

The winds that have battered the region of late are only a mild indication of what lies in wait for us, the MetService says.

Wind gusts of up to 70kmh tore through the district yesterday, whipping sand from the bay, sparking a minor rubbish fire and making life outdoors treacherous for anyone with a toupee.

MetService weather ambassador Bob McDavitt was yesterday warning of an unusually active front moving onto the country, which is set to hit tomorrow. It is predicted to deliver heavy rain to the western areas of the South Island and a strong nor-wester over much of the country.

"Powerful westerly winds over the Tasman Sea have been pushing active fronts onto New Zealand all week.  Saturday is the day between fronts, with generally lighter winds and lesser rainfalls expected."

But he expected tomorrow's front to hit the country hard. (Abridged)

 

Traffic, trains return to normal

Stuff.co.nz Last updated 31/08/2009 - with NZPA, The Dominion Post

http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2816820/Traffic-trains-return-to-normal

Heavy rain and gale-force winds played havoc with motorists in  Wellington yesterday.

A fierce spring storm made itself felt in the region late yesterday afternoon, moving quickly eastwards across the lower North Island.

Two people were taken to Wellington Hospital with moderate injuries after separate weather-related car crashes in Ngauranga Gorge within half an hour last night.

Roads in the lower North Island, closed during weekend flooding, rain-related slips and crashes, have reopened today.

State Highway 2 between Pakuratahi and Kaitoke has reopened after one lane was closed by a slip at Kaitoke Gardens, and Ngauranga Gorge, north of Wellington, has been cleared of flooding that resulted from a missing manhole cover.

A slip at the Johnsonville off-ramp that slowed traffic and a rockfall that blocked State Highway 58 at Haywards have both been cleared.

Awamutu Grove in Lower Hutt was also flooded but remained open.

Trains on the Paraparaumu line were disrupted by a slip near Pukerua Bay.

Flights were delayed coming in and going out of Wellington Airport.

The MetService said the strongest wind gust this morning was 155kph  at Cape Turnagain on the Wairarapa Coast and 145km/hr at Okahu Island off shore of the Bay of Islands ...

Wellington received a maximum gust of 113kmh while Manukau Heads (West Auckland) received 128kmh.  The highest wind speed for the South Island was at a remote part of Stewart Island which copped 113kmh.

Mt Taranaki had over 200mm of rain over the past 24 hours while Lower Hutt had 69mm. The Rimutaka Ranges has had 87mm in the last 12 hours. Cropp River on the West Coast received 194mm while Hokitika had 41mm in the 12 hours ...

MetService. forecasters predict more rain as a north-bound front moves over the west of the South Island on Tuesday, crossing over the lower North Island, with heavy falls over the Tararua Ranges.

"People planning a trip in the area should still watch out for rivers and streams rising rapidly and keep up to date with the latest forecasts," MetService. forecaster Gerard Barrow said.

Powerful westerly winds hitting much of the country would tail off on Wednesday, with lighter winds continuing into the weekend, MetService. spokesman Bob McDavitt said. "We are now stepping into the months of spring. As the sun moves south, the longer days mean extra warmth over the Southern Ocean and this powers up the winds known as the `Roaring 40s'." (Abridged)

 


#234 From: "bobmcd2001" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Sun Sep 27, 2009 7:44 pm
Subject: NOTICE OF AUCKLAND MEETINGS OPEN TO MET SOC MEMBERS
bobmcd2001
Offline Offline
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The following 2 School of Environment seminars may be of interest to the
Auckland Meteorological Community.

'1000 year climate reconstruction for Central Europe based on a multi proxy
approach' By Rüdiger Glaser, University of Freiburg

Thursday, 1 Oct 1:05pm · Human Sciences Building Room 429, 10 Symonds Street,
Auckland.

Abstract
The presentation compares the research results of historic climatology
approaches regarding temperature development within the last 1000 years to
scientific data derived from "natural archives". Climatological reconstruction
for the past 1000 years can, at least for Europe, presently be based upon time
series derived from documentary data.
Far-reaching conclusions concerning temperature development or specific phases
such as the "Medieval Warm Period" can be drawn. As to more comprehensive data
sets for the period to follow 1500, numerous regional european studies draw an
even more differentiated picture of
temperature- and precipitation developments. Based upon extensive archive
research results, substantial databases could be created and are partly
accessible via internet (www.hisklid.de).

Besides the climatological time series derived from documentary data, there are
existing climate reconstructions based on dendrochronological data, while others
are based on climate simulations. Nonetheless, their reliability and
significance within the context of climatological reconstruction has to be
examined. Accordingly, a comparision of common millenial temperature
reconstruction approaches is to be presented.

http://www.sgges.auckland.ac.nz/seminars/2009/Glaser_011009.pdf

What's hot on Snowball Earth? By Professor Ian Fairchild, University of
Birmingham, UK.

Thursday, 15 Oct 1:05pm · Human Sciences Building Room 429, 10 Symonds Street,
Auckland.

Abstract
Evidence has steadily accumulated that the Earth has experienced extreme glacial
states, with ice sheets reaching sea level in the tropics. This happened at
least twice during Neoproterozoic times when glacigenic sedimentary formations
have a practically global occurrence. The evidence has spawned a number of
conceptual models of which Snowball Earth is particularly well known because of
its extreme vision of an Earth with a mean annual temperature perhaps tens of
degrees below zero Celsius and thick, flowing ice on the oceans. The alternative
Slushball allows for open water in the tropics and more readily accounts for
non-glacial intercalations, whereas the HOLIST model, focusing on uncomfortable
evidence for short-term temperature change in the tropics, offers a
non-uniformitarian high-tilt alternative. Much literature focuses on the rapid
stratigraphic fluctuations in carbon isotope values (although these are not
restricted to glacial intervals) and the strikingly similar characteristics of
many upwards-deepening carbonate units overlying glacial deposits. We are still
struggling to understand how the likely pool of 13C-depleted water in the deep
ocean links to the observations in shallow water carbonates, whilst some invoke
meteoric diagenesis as a key process in the observed geochemical patterns which
draws attention to the sparse evidence on surface processes on land.
Svalbard is one of the few places where the chemistry of terrestrial
environments was preserved and here Neoproterozoic glacial lake carbonates
formed in an environment similar to the modern Antarctic Dry Valleys. Their
oxygen and sulphur isotopes bear witness to a combination of hyperaridity and
highly altered atmosphere, consistent with predictions of the Snowball.

http://www.sgges.auckland.ac.nz/seminars/2009/Fairchild_151009.pdf




Thanks!

Jenny

---------------------------------------------------

Dr. Jennifer Salmond
School of Environment,
University of Auckland,
Private Bag 92019,
Auckland,
NEW ZEALAND.

Tel:+ 64 9 3737599 ext 88650
Fax:  +64 9 373 7434

Office: Room 433 HSB Building, 10 Symonds Street

#235 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Wed Sep 30, 2009 8:20 am
Subject: M E T SO C N E W S E M A I L - Winter 2009
bobmcd2001
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Met Society Newsletter

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/winter2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their September  newsletter

Winter 2009 NIWA

Winter Climate Summary: the highlights

June 2009 was dominated by higher-than-normal pressures over the country, resulting in more frosts and much colder than normal temperatures everywhere.  During July 2009, there was a transition towards more southwesterly winds over New Zealand.  During August 2009, frequent northerly winds affected the country, resulting in very warm temperatures.

Temperature: Near average in many regions; after a cold start to winter, a record warm August.

The temperature averaged over the whole winter was close to average for much of New Zealand, with the three-month nationally-averaged temperature of 8.3°C being only 0.2°C above the winter mean. However, extreme temperature swings were observed through winter; June and July were colder than normal, followed by a record warm August.

Rainfall: Well above normal in Bay of Plenty, Gisborne, and Westland. Below normal in the east of the South Island and parts of Wellington, Kapiti Coast and the Wairarapa. Near normal elsewhere.

Winter rainfall totals were well above normal (between 120 and 150 percent of normal) in the Bay of Plenty, Gisborne, and Westland. In contrast, winter rainfalls were below normal (between 50 and 80 percent of normal) throughout the east of the South Island, as well as in parts of Wellington, Kapiti Coast and the Wairarapa. Rainfalls were near normal elsewhere.  

Sunshine:  A sunny winter for the north and west of the North Island, as well as in the Clutha, and parts of Canterbury and Westland.  Rather cloudy in Buller.

Major weather events:

·         16 - 26 June: Freezing southerly conditions brought snow and ice to low levels in Otago and Southland on the 16th. Frosty conditions and very cold temperatures then affected many areas until the 26th. 

·         27 - 30 June: A slow-moving low to the north of New Zealand brought heavy rain, strong winds and thunderstorms to the northeast of the country, as well as snow to the Central Plateau.  A civil defence emergency was put in place in Gisborne on the 30th, as rain continued and rivers rose.

·         23 - 24 July:  A powerful storm brought damaging winds to Wellington and much of the east coast of the North Island (cutting power to over 4,000 people), and heavy rain to Wellington, the Wairarapa and Greymouth, causing road and rail closures, slips and flooding in these areas.

·         26 - 31 August: Thunderstorms brought heavy rain and lightning to Taranaki, Auckland and the western Bay of Plenty (cutting power to more than 8000 homes). Heavy rain on the 31st resulted in surface flooding across the greater Wellington region.

Extremes: 

The lowest temperature during winter was recorded at Middlemarch, with a minimum temperature of -11.7°C on July 19th. The highest temperature for winter was 22.2 °C recorded at Timaru on August 25th. The highest 1-day rainfall was 205 mm, recorded at Te Puia Springs (Gisborne) on June 29th.

Of the six main centres, Auckland was the warmest, Christchurch the coldest, Tauranga the wettest but also the sunniest, and Dunedin was the driest.

Full details at http://www.niwa.co.nz/news-and-publications/

publications/all/cs/seasonal/sclisum-09-winter/winter09sum_FINAL.pdf

For further information, please contact:

Ms Georgina Griffiths – Climate Scientist– NIWA National Climate Centre, Auckland Tel. (09) 375 4506 or (027) 293 6545

Dr James Renwick – Principal Scientist– NIWA National Climate Centre, Wellington Tel. (021) 178 5550 

Michele Hollis, NIWA Communications Manager

Tel. (04) 386-0483 or (027) 255 2500

 

NOTABLE WEATHER IN NZ - WINTER 2009

The seasons seemed to be working a month ahead of schedule, with winter 2009 really beginning with the very cold weather of May, and colder than normal conditions continuing through June and most of July. However, milder weather set in late in July, and spring-like conditions resulted August being the warmest ever recorded in NZ. Nevertheless, all three months were changeable, with several wind, rain, and snow events affecting various areas at different times.

 

JUNE

·           2nd - Heavy frosts in many areas in wake of very cold southerly outbreak (see June newsletter for details), eg -6C minimum in Middlemarch.

·           4th - More heavy frosts in many parts of NZ, eg -7C in Waiouru and -3C in Kumeu.

·           5th - Another frost start to the day, eg -7C again in Waiouru and also Turangi (record June minimum there); -4C in Hamilton; -1C in Warkworth. (also a June record) However, milder westerlies push the thermometer up to 18C in Kaikoura.

·           6th - Cold southerly change over South island, with some light snow on southern hills.

·           7th - Cold southerlies ease in eastern areas, after some light snow on high country, including highest peaks of Port Hills. Frosty in sheltered areas, eg -7C minimum in Waiouru; -6C at Manapouri.

·           8th - -7C minimum in Ranfurly. Record minimums in Paraparaumu (-4C), Wanganui (-1C), and Wellington Airport. (0C)

·           9th - Heavy rain in Northland. Northeasterly gales in exposed parts of Dunedin area. Brief morning snow in Mackenzie Country and around Wanaka, due to moist air moving into cold airmass.

·           10th - Heavy rain in Bay of Plenty, including a one day record of 154mm at Awakeri.

·           11th - Unusually warm in Northland (eg  20C maximum in Kaitaia); warm unstable air triggers some thunderstorms. (Kaitaia records 84mm)

·           12th - Some heavy rain in Taranaki and again in Bay of Plenty. A station near Whakatane records 155mm. Northerly gales cause damage in Gisborne area.

·           13th - Some heavy rain about Bay of Plenty, Gisborne, and Nelson. (rain causes slip to block road near Ruatoria) Areas of fog about Cook Strait and in east of South Island.

·           15th-17th - Very cold southerly outbreak with snow to low levels. (see details below)

·           18th - Heavy frosts in wake of departing southerly outbreak, eg -8C minimum in Hanmer, -7C in Waiouru, and -5C in Taumaranui and Taupo.

·           19th-22nd - Cold southerly flow brings showers to many eastern areas, but remaining fine and frosty elsewhere. Minimums include -8C at St Arnaud; -7C in Tokoroa (both 19th) and -7C in Alexandra. (20th) -14C frost at Mt Cook Village on 22nd. Areas of freezing fog in inland valleys and basins of South Island (also on 22nd), with only 2C maximums in Alexandra and Manapouri, and a 0C maximum in Wanaka. Icy conditions force road between Tauranga and the Waikato over Kaimai Ranges to close for a time in morning. Edges of Pauatahanui Inlet, Porirua frozen over in morning.

·           23rd - Heavy frosts continue in many areas, as southerly flow weakens. -4C minimums in Taumaranui and Hamilton; -3C at Milford Sound. Only 1C maximum in Alexandra; 3C in Queenstown and Milford Sound. 0C in Wanaka at 4pm.

·           Only 2C maximum in Reefton.

·           25th - Only 2C maximum in Alexandra under freezing fog for much of the day. Freezing fog also in Hamilton until late morning.

·           26th/27th - Central Otago continues to shiver under freezing fogs, with 0C maximums in Alexandra on both days.

·           27th - Fog disrupts flight at Auckland Airport.

·           28th - Chill continues in Central Otago, with an -8C minimum in Ranfurly. 1C maximum in Alexandra. Heavy rain developing in many parts of North Island, with thunderstorms in Northland and Auckland. (91mm in Kaitaia)

·           29th - Heavy rain in east and south of North Island. Southeasterly gales about central NZ, especially about Cook Strait and in the lee of the ranges. Cold southeasterly flow brings snow down to about 300m in Canterbury and (at first) eastern Otago. Icy 1C maximum in Hanmer. Snow closes State Highway 8 between Tekapo and Fairlie. Cold also in Nelson region, with snow on the high country, briefly closing Takaka Hill road. Only 8C maximum in Takaka and 9C at Farewell Spit.

·           30th - Heavy rain continues in Gisborne and Hawkes Bay, especially in the ranges. Slips disrupt roads. Civil Defence emergency declared in Gisborne, as a small settlement nearby is evacuated for a time. Heavy overnight rain also causes flooding in Sawnson, West Auckland, isolating 30 homes. Snow on North Island high country.

 

JULY

·           2nd - Snow to low levels in some inland areas of South Island, as moist airmass moves in from west while very cold air is trapped in the valleys and basins. 0C maximums in Alexandra and Culverden. Hanmer also record a low 1C maximum, while Greymouth only reaches 7C. Desert Road closed by snow overnight.

·           3rd - Only 1C maximum in Alexandra, as snow still covers many parts of the area (several schools closed). Severe northeasterly gales for a time in Buller, eg July record 163 km/hr gust in Westport.

·           4th - Thunderstorms in north of North Island. Tornado damages several buildings in Kaitaia.

·           5th - Snow above about 400m in inland areas of Otago and Canterbury. About 20cm overnight snow triggers avalanche which closes access road on Mt Hutt.

·           6th - More thunderstorms in north of North Island. Light snow on Canterbury high country.

·           9th - -8C minimum at Lake Pukaki Aerodrome. Only 3C maximum at Manapouri, under persistent low cloud.

·           10th - Only 2C maximum in Alexandra.

·           11th-13th - Deep low brings heavy rain and gales to northeast of North Island (see details below)

·           16th - 0C maximum at Lake Pukaki Aerodrome.

·           18th - Southwesterly gales about Northland. Heavy rain about East Cape and Gisborne. Overnight and morning snow closes Desert Road. Thick fog closes Christchurch Airport for a time.

·           19th - Snow showers to sea-level in Southland, South Otago and Dunedin, closing Clinton to Mataura and Outram to Middlemarch highways. Sheltered from the flow, Central Otago is still very cold, with a -11C minimum in Middlemarch. Westerly gales in southeastern North Island, eg 182 km/hr recorded at Cape Turnagain.

·           20th - Some further snow showers about the Catlins hills in morning.

·           21st - Northwesterly gales in exposed eastern areas and about Central NZ, eg 85 km/hr at Tara Hills; 158 km/hr at Castlepoint. Mild temperatures as a result of the flow, eg 19C maximums in Timaru and Kaikoura. By contrast, heavy rain about and west of the Southern Alps and also in the northern South Island and in the far south. (31mm in Invercargill) The rain falling as snow for a time about the high country, especially about Arthurs Pass, before turning to rain below alpine areas. Funnel cloud seen in Milford Sound about 2pm.

·           22nd - 19C maximums in Tauranga and Hastings in a westerly flow.

·           23rd-24th - Trough brings stormy weather, especially about Central NZ. (see details below)

·           26th - Heavy frosts in many areas, eg -6C minimum at St Arnaud; -4C in Timaru. 0C minimum is a record for Warkworth.

·           27th - Another frosty start to the day in many parts of NZ. -6C minimum in Timaru; -4C in Dannevirke.

·           28th - -5C minimum in Timaru.

·           30th - Heavy rain in Fiordland, eg 125mm at Milford Sound.

·           31st - Heavy rain about and west of the Southern Alps, falling as heavy snow in alpine areas. Northwesterly gales in some eastern areas and in the south of the North Island. Warm 19C maximums in Ashburton, Christchurch, and Napier; 20C in Rangiora.

 

AUGUST

·           1st - Some thunderstorms with heavy rain in the central North Island and Taranaki. Small tornado reported in South Taranaki, while lightning bolt creates small crater in Stratford. 19C maximum in Napier, but only 5C at Milford Sound, with snow in Fiordland closing Homer Tunnel.

·           2nd - Heavy snow continues in southwest high country of South Island; avalanche keeping Milford Road blocked with more than 100,000 tonnes of debris. (not cleared until 11th)

·           3rd - Snow closes Desert Road for a time in morning.

·           5th - Thunderstorms on South Island West Coast.

·           6th - -6C minimum in Ranfurly. Only 5C maximum at Milford Sound.

·           7th - Morning fog about Gisborne, disrupts airport operations for a time. -5C minimum in Timaru. Only 6C maximum in Alexandra, but a warm 20C in Hanmer, and 18C in Ashburton.

·           13th - Heavy rain developing in Northland, plus northeasterly gales in exposed northeastern coastal areas. Unseasonable 19C maximum in Wanganui, thanks to fohn northeasterly. Arthurs Pass records an unseasonable 13C maximum.

·           14th - Northeasterly flow brings unusually warm temperatures to southwest of North Island, eg 19C maximum in Kapiti and Lower Hutt, and 18C in Levin. Heavy rain and northeasterly gales ease in Northland.

·           15th - Summery 21C maximums in Wanganui and Paraparaumu (August record in latter); 20C on Whangarei; 19C at Kelburn.

·           16th - Unseasonably warm 18C maximum at Milford Sound.

·           17th - 19C maximums in Murchison and Kawerau. Some heavy rain about the Gisborne and Hawkes Bay ranges.

·           19th - Fresh snow in central North Island, down to the summit area of the Desert Road.

·           24th - 20C maximum in Wanganui.

·           25th - Heavy rain about and west of the Southern Alps and Taranaki/central North Island. 260mm recorded at Awakino in 24 hours; 163mm at Arthurs Pass, and 82mm at Takaka. Northwesterly gales about central NZ and some exposed eastern areas. Warm in many eastern areas under the northwesterly flow, eg 22C maximum in Timaru and 25C in Culverden.

·           26th - Warm 25C maximum in Hastings. Evening thunderstorms in north of North Island and Mt Taranaki. Lightning strikes cut power to more than 8000 homes in Western Bay of Plenty.

·           27th - Thunderstorms on South Island West Coast. Snow down to entrance of Homer Tunnel in Fiordland. By contrast, 20C maximums in Napier and Gisborne.

·           28th - Another unseasonably warm day in many places, eg 22C maximums in Napier and Kaikoura, 21C in Whangarei (August record maximum), and 20C in Takaka. (also an August record) West or northwest gales in exposed eastern South Island and lower North Island areas. Thunderstorms continuing in Westland, Fiordland, and also Stewart Island.

·           29th - Warm spell continues in eastern areas, eg 22C maximum in Napier. Record August maximum of 18C in Waiouru.

·           30th - 22C maximums in Gisborne, Napier and Hastings, as warm northwesterlies continue.

·           30th-31st - A period of northwesterly gales about central NZ and some eastern areas of South Island. Heavy rain also affects some northern and western areas overnight 31st, with flooding and slips in areas adjacent to the Tararuas, and a slip closing a road near Waitomo. Totals include 53mm in Paraparaumu, 43mm in Ohakune, and 101mm at Wallaceville. Westport records an August record 100 km/hr wind gust. Unseasonably warm in many parts of North Island, eg 20C maximums in Dargaville and Kumeu (August record at latter station), 21C in Gisborne and Wairoa, and 20C in Palmerston North.

 

MAJOR EVENTS

15th-17th June - Very cold southerly outbreak with snow to low levels

 

A very cold southerly outbreak swept over NZ during this period, concentrating its impact on the far south with heavy snow about Dunedin and South Otago.

A west to southwest flow covered the country on the 15th, with temperatures becoming increasingly cold in the far south with snow levels lowering on the hills of Southland. By evening it was cold enough for snowfalls to reach sea-level in Southland, South Otago and Dunedin.

The snow continued in these areas through to the next afternoon. Falls were light in Southland, but heavier in South Otago and about Dunedin (where the maximum temperature for the day was only 4.0C ) Settling to sea-level, the snow caused considerable disruption to roads and many schools were closed.

The very cold air swept over the rest of NZ during the next day, with snow showers falling to low levels in eastern areas as far north as Hawke's Bay and the central North Island. Flurries were reported in Masterton and Dannevirke, while the Rimutaka Hill Road was closed for a time. Ngawi recorded its lowest ever June maximum of 6C, while Le Bons Bay on Banks Peninsula recorded its June equal lowest maximum of only 4C.

A cold south to southwest flow still covered the country on the 17th with snow showers still falling to low levels in some areas, but it eased considerably. It did remain cold, with Kaitaia recording its lowest ever June maximum of 11C, while Dannevirke shivered with only a 5C maximum. In areas sheltered from the flow, harsh frosts were recorded, with low minimum temperatures including 0C at Port Taharoa and Le Bons Bay (both June records for those stations), -1C in Te Puke, and -5C in Blenheim.

 

Mean sea-level analyses for midday NZST 15th June to midnight NZST 17th June in 12 hour steps are shown here.

 

 

11th-13th - Deep low brings heavy rain and gales to northeast of North Island

A deep low of sub-tropical origin moved southeastwards northeast of the North Island during this period, resulting in period of severe gales and heavy rain in some northeastern areas of the island.

The low, which had developed and deepened near new Caledonia over the previous two days, spread an increasing easterly flow over the north of the North Island on the 11th. Heavy rain developed in Northland during the day, with winds rising to gale and heavy swells pounding the east coast. The storm resulted in tragedy when a girl was killed by a tree falling on the caravan where she was, north of Whangarei. However, a family group of pig hunters were rescued the next day in bush southeast of Kaitaia. Cloud cover also suppressed daytime maximum temperatures, with record lows of 10C in Kaitaia and 8C in Pukekohe.

Further south, heavy rain and east to southeast gales lashed exposed areas from the Hauraki Gulf to East Cape on the 11th/12th; severe gales blasting some areas, including the lee of the Kaimai and eastern Bay of Plenty/East Cape ranges. Heavy rain eased in northern areas on the 12th, but set in about East Cape/Gisborne.

Meanwhile, also on the 12th, an anticyclone well to the south of the South Island pushed a cold southeasterly flow onto southern and central NZ, with fresh snow above 300-400m in the east of the South Island and later on the North Island high country.

The rain eased in the Gisborne/East Cape area on the 13th, as the southeasterly flow eased over the North Island, and tended southerly. The cold airflow delivered more snow to the high country; ice and snow briefly closing the Desert Road, and making the Napier-Taupo highway marginal for a while.

 

Mean sea-level analyses for midday NZST 11th July to midnight NZST 13th July in 12 hour steps are shown here.

 

23rd-24th July - Trough brings stormy weather, especially about Central NZ.

An active trough crossed NZ during this period, with the worst weather (rain and gales) being concentrated in central NZ and causing much disruption in Wellington.

The trough deepened as it moved onto the country on the 23rd. A mild northwesterly flow (19C maximum in Hastings and 18C in Kaikoura) increased in strength over northern and central areas, ahead of the first cold front, reaching gale force in southern North Island. The front brought a period of heavy rain to the South Island West Coast, with flooding and slips causing some damage around Greymouth.

As the front approached the North Island later in the day, rain also became heavy in the southwest of the island. The heaviest falls were in the Tararuas and other areas in the north of the Wellington region. This rain caused flooding and slips which disrupted road and rail transport around Wellington and the Wairarapa, as well as damaging some properties. Northwesterly gales (gusts around 130 km/hr in Wellington) also contributed to the damage.

The trough moved onto the upper North Island by early on the 24th, with a period of moderately heavy rain there (aggravating an existing slip at Bucklands Beach, east Auckland), plus northwesterly gales in Gisborne/East Cape area.  Meanwhile, a colder southerly flow spreading over remaining areas during the day, with some brief hail in eastern areas and light snow showers on the high country. Gisborne dropped from a mild 18C maximum to 10C by 3pm as the change arrived. The flow eased in the evening, as the trough moved off the north of the North island.

 

Mean sea-level analyses for midday NZST 23rd July to midnight NZST 24th July in 12 hour steps are shown here.

Ben Tichborne

 

 

MONTHLY WEATHER NOTES FOR CHRISTCHURCH - WINTER 2009

JUNE

Lower than normal rainfall in Christchurch disguised a month which saw a lot of cold damp weather under frequent onshore (especially southerly) airflows. There were only a few milder than normal days, and the brief sunny spells were marked by frosty nights. The main event of note during the month was a very cold southerly on the 16th, which brought hail and sleet, plus some brief snow flurries to the city. Snow settled lightly above about 300m on the Port Hills, with heavier coatings about the outer Banks Peninsula hills.

 

JULY

For the greater part of the month, the weather was rather similar to June, with colder than normal temperatures and several periods of drizzle and light rain. Snow fell higher Banks Peninsula hills and to lower levels about the inland high country on several occasions. However, the second half of the month was somewhat more settled, with some mild days as airflows tended west or northwest. The 31st saw temperatures almost reach 20C in the city.

 

AUGUST

Winter 2009 may have started early, but it seemed to have ended early too. A virtual absence of cold southerly winds, and a predominance of airflows between north and west (except for some days of dull, cool northeasterlies mid-month) resulted in a much warmer than average August. And it was drier too - only a few brief falls of rain occurred, though the rain was intense enough in the early hours of the 31st to result in some surface flooding.

 


#236 From: "Robert McDavitt" <bobmcd@...>
Date: Wed Oct 14, 2009 10:38 am
Subject: N E W S E M A I L Met Society - Recent and coming activities
bobmcd2001
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Met Society Newsletter

 For a printable pdf of this newsletter http://metsoc.rsnz.org/Newsletter/clipsjuly2009.pdf

Those members who have chosen the postal option will receive a hard copy of this in their September  newsletter

 

RECENT SEMINARS OPEN TO OUR AUCKLAND MEMBERS

 

AEROLSOLS: PHYSICS, CHEMISTRY AND CLIMATE IMPACTS

Physics Department Seminar, 11am Tuesday 21 July given by Professor Michael Box, School of Physics, University of New South Wales.

The Earth's climate is maintained by the atmospheric flows of solar and terrestrial radiation, which have almost no spectral overlap.  Any change in atmospheric composition, or surface reflectivity, which alters one or both of these flows is usually referred to as radiative (climate) forcing.  The best known, and best understood, of these forcings is the impact of increasing levels of greenhouse gases on terrestrial (thermal) radiation, with a current estimate of about 2.5 Wm-2.  Atmospheric aerosols, small particles of natural or human origin, are the second key forcing agent.  As well as reflecting some solar radiation back to space, they may also modify both the albedo and lifetime of clouds, again reflecting solar radiation.  Both of these processes partially counteract the effects of greenhouse gases a negative forcing.  Unlike the greenhouse gases, aerosols are extremely heterogeneous: not only in space and time, but also in their optical/radiative properties.  Black soot absorbs solar radiation, rather than reflecting it, causing local heating.  Mineral dust is a mild absorber, with a question as to its net radiative effect cooling or warming.  Australian desert dust, much redder than northern hemisphere deserts, is a major unknown. 

In this talk, the physics behind aerosol forcing was presented along with some recent research results.

***************************************************************************
1000 year climate reconstruction for Central Europe based on a multi proxy approach

School of Environment seminar presented 1:05pm Thursday, 1 Oct by Rüdiger Glaser, University of Freiburg

The presentation compared the research results of historic climatology approaches regarding temperature development within the last 1000 years to scientific data derived from "natural archives".  Climatological reconstruction for the past 1000 years can, at least for Europe, presently be based upon time series derived from documentary data.  Far-reaching conclusions concerning temperature development or specific phases such as the "Medieval Warm Period" can be drawn.  As to more comprehensive data sets for the period to follow 1500, numerous regional european studies draw an even more differentiated picture of temperature and precipitation developments. Based upon extensive archive research results, substantial databases could be created and are partly accessible via internet (www.hisklid.de).

A comparison of common millenial temperature reconstruction approaches, such as those based on dendrochronological data  and those based on climate simulations, was presented.

http://www.sgges.auckland.ac.nz/seminars/2009/Glaser_011009.pdf
***************************************************************************What's hot on Snowball Earth?

School of Environment seminar presented 1:05pm Thursday, 15 Oct by Professor Ian Fairchild, University of Birmingham, UK.

Evidence has steadily accumulated that the Earth has experienced extreme glacial states, with ice sheets reaching sea level in the tropics.  This happened at least twice during Neoproterozoic times when glacigenic sedimentary formations have a practically global occurrence.  The evidence has spawned a number of conceptual models of which Snowball Earth is particularly well known because of its extreme vision of an Earth with a mean annual temperature perhaps tens of degrees below zero Celsius and thick, flowing ice on the oceans.  The alternative Slushball allows for open water in the tropics and more readily accounts for non-glacial intercalations, whereas the HOLIST model, focusing on uncomfortable evidence for short-term temperature change in the tropics, offers a non-uniformitarian high-tilt alternative.  Much literature focuses on the rapid stratigraphic fluctuations in carbon isotope values (although these are not restricted to glacial intervals) and the strikingly similar characteristics of many upwards-deepening carbonate units overlying glacial deposits.  We are still struggling to understand how the likely pool of 13C-depleted water in the deep ocean links to the observations in shallow water carbonates, whilst some invoke meteoric diagenesis as a key process in the observed geochemical patterns which draws attention to the sparse evidence on surface processes on land.  Svalbard is one of the few places where the chemistry of terrestrial environments was preserved and here Neoproterozoic glacial lake carbonates formed in an environment similar to the modern Antarctic Dry Valleys.  Their oxygen and sulphur isotopes bear witness to a combination of hyperaridity and highly altered atmosphere, consistent with predictions of the Snowball.

http://www.sgges.auckland.ac.nz/seminars/2009/Fairchild_151009.pdf

2009 Conference

2-4 September, 2009

Auckland University, Auckland, NZ

 

This was held jointly with Marine Sciences Society.  Amongst over 200 talks and posters presented at this conference there were around 36 particular